Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Feb 2020

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 68-82

21-20 13-22 19-18 15-22

Position#19

Record6-18

FormLLLWL

Points / game70.5

Allowed / game78.0

Estudiantes

Boca Juniors 🏆

Position#10

Record10-12

FormLWLWL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game76.8

Liga A

Other2019-20

Meetings · Estudiantes v Boca Juniors

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hispano Americano

#12

66-67

-1

A14/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

74-86

-12

A16/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

88-84

H19/01

Liga A

Argentino

#14

64-72

-8

H22/01

Liga A

Penarol

#15

72-92

-20

A25/01

Liga A

Ferro

72-78

-6

A26/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

75-103

103

-28

A28/01

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

74-81

-7

H01/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

66-63

H06/02

Liga A

Quimsa

86-97

-11

H13/02

Liga A

10-16

15-17

24-12

17-22

24-20

16-24

11-22

23-20

28-20

21-19

18-18

21-27

13-20

11-26

17-15

23-11

18-27

18-18

24-19

12-28

16-20

7-21

26-20

23-17

16-30

16-23

29-17

14-33

20-14

16-22

22-19

16-26

12-14

17-11

24-22

13-16

16-26

22-21

25-30

23-20

156.0Avg total

73.7Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	70.5	78.0	148.5	-7.5	25%
Season at home (12)	71.9	74.2	146.1	-2.2	50%
Season away (12)	69.1	81.8	150.8	-12.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	73.7	82.3	156.0	-8.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	84.4	159.0	-9.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	71.2	79.4	150.6	-8.2	21%
vs Similar (1)	64.0	72.0	136.0	-8.0	0%
vs Weaker (1)	86.0	88.0	174.0	-2.0	0%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

#17

83-74

A13/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

#19

86-74

+12

H16/01

Liga A

Ferro

79-88

-9

A22/01

Liga A

Argentino

#14

74-82

-8

A27/01

Liga A

Platense

#18

48-57

-9

A30/01

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

71-93

-22

H04/02

Liga A

Olimpico

71-66

H07/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#11

95-97

-2

A10/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

79-70

H15/02

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

60-93

-33

A27/02

Liga A

22-12

24-13

17-33

20-16

20-24

24-16

22-11

20-23

23-28

11-23

20-19

25-18

12-22

26-16

21-18

15-26

7-12

12-15

21-16

8-14

16-17

17-22

18-21

20-33

11-17

13-14

21-18

26-17

18-28

22-25

29-17

26-27

17-11

27-22

12-17

23-20

9-18

23-25

10-26

18-24

154.0Avg total

74.6Scored

79.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	76.5	76.8	153.3	-0.3	45%
Season at home (10)	77.9	73.2	151.1	+4.7	70%
Season away (12)	75.3	79.8	155.1	-4.4	25%
Last 10 (10)	74.6	79.4	154.0	-4.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	83.8	159.0	-8.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	68.1	78.2	146.3	-10.1	20%
vs Similar (12)	77.0	73.3	150.3	+3.7	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	76.5	71.8	148.2	+4.8	50%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesBoca Juniors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.2	18.9	35.1	-2.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.6	18.1	34.7	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.9	19.7	35.6	-3.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.8	36.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	16.2	19.0	35.2	-2.9	29%	-
vs Similar (1)	13.0	20.0	33.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	13.0	34.0	+8.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	17.8	36.7	+1.0	55%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.7	17.0	36.7	+2.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	18.5	36.7	-0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	18.9	34.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	18.2	32.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.4	17.4	36.9	+2.0	44%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	17.4	18.6	36.0	-1.2	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.3	19.4	35.7	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.9	18.2	35.1	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.6	20.8	36.4	-5.2	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	20.2	36.1	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	19.6	35.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	16.2	19.0	35.2	-2.7	36%	-
vs Similar (1)	11.0	26.0	37.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	25.0	48.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.1	16.4	34.5	+1.7	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.1	15.0	32.1	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	17.6	36.4	+1.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.7	17.8	36.4	+0.9	44%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.2	15.1	32.2	+2.1	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	18.8	16.9	35.6	+1.9	50%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hispano Americano

#12

25-33

-8

A14/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

40-44

-4

A16/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

49-39

+10

H19/01

Liga A

Argentino

#14

24-46

-22

H22/01

Liga A

Penarol

#15

36-45

-9

A25/01

Liga A

Ferro

23-41

-18

A26/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

32-53

-21

A28/01

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

36-36

H01/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

29-25

H06/02

Liga A

Quimsa

38-47

-9

H13/02

Liga A

74.1Avg total

33.2Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.5	38.3	70.8	-5.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	33.5	36.3	69.8	-2.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	31.4	40.5	71.9	-9.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.2	40.9	74.1	-7.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	40.4	72.0	-8.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	32.4	38.0	70.4	-5.6	29%	-
vs Similar (1)	24.0	46.0	70.0	-22.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	44.0	38.0	82.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

#17

46-25

+21

A13/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

#19

44-40

H16/01

Liga A

Ferro

34-51

-17

A22/01

Liga A

Argentino

#14

38-38

A27/01

Liga A

Platense

#18

19-27

-8

A30/01

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

33-39

-6

H04/02

Liga A

Olimpico

24-31

-7

H07/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#11

40-53

-13

A10/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

44-33

+11

H15/02

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

32-43

-11

A27/02

Liga A

73.4Avg total

35.4Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.9	34.2	71.2	+2.7	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.8	32.0	68.8	+4.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.1	36.1	73.1	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	38.0	73.4	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	39.8	74.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.1	35.2	73.3	+2.9	67%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.6	32.7	69.2	+3.9	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	36.1	35.5	71.6	+0.6	38%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	21.6	46.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	46%	-
vs Similar (1)	17.0	15.0	32.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	7.0	18.0	25.0	-11.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+1.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	21.6	39.2	-3.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.3	24.1	39.4	-8.8	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.3	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.1	13.9	35.0	+7.2	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.3	39.6	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	19.8	38.6	-0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.4	40.2	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	23.0	11.0	34.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	10.0	25.0	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	21.0	41.3	-0.7	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	21.4	42.5	-0.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	20.7	40.2	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.8	41.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	24.2	46.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.3	22%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.8	19.7	41.4	+2.1	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.1	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	40.4	78.7	-2.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	40.9	79.9	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	39.9	77.3	-2.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	41.4	81.9	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	44.0	87.0	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	38.8	41.4	80.2	-2.6	25%	-
vs Similar (1)	40.0	26.0	66.0	+14.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	28.0	50.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.6	41.0	79.6	-2.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.2	39.5	79.7	+0.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	42.2	79.5	-5.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	41.4	80.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	44.0	84.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	34.6	45.7	80.2	-11.1	11%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.4	40.7	81.1	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	40.4	36.2	76.6	+4.1	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	17.9	50.7%	53.8%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	10.5	37.4%	32.9%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.4	74.8%	71.7%	15.4

They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	21.1	57.8%	53.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	11.8	41.7%	32.9%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.0	73.3%	71.7%	14.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	19.7	51.5%	53.8%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.3	36.0%	32.9%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.4	73.4%	71.7%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	20.9	56.2%	53.8%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.2	37.3%	32.9%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.8	74.8%	71.7%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Boca Juniors wins

Date	Game	Score
16/01/20	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	86-74
21/05/19	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	73-69
18/05/19	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	83-50
16/05/19	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	84-82
03/02/19	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	67-60
21/12/18	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	78-60
07/04/18	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	81-80
05/03/18	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	72-82
10/02/17	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	69-74
25/01/17	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	84-76

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/02/20	H	Quimsa	86-97
06/02/20	H	Obras Sanitarias	66-63
01/02/20	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	74-81
28/01/20	A	Obras Sanitarias	75-103
26/01/20	A	Ferro	72-78
25/01/20	A	Penarol	72-92
22/01/20	H	Argentino	64-72
19/01/20	H	Hispano Americano	88-84
16/01/20	A	Boca Juniors	74-86
14/01/20	A	Hispano Americano	66-67

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/02/20	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	60-93
15/02/20	H	Obras Sanitarias	79-70
10/02/20	A	Weber Bahia	95-97
07/02/20	H	Olimpico	71-66
04/02/20	H	Instituto de Cordoba	71-93
30/01/20	A	Platense	48-57
27/01/20	A	Argentino	74-82
22/01/20	A	Ferro	79-88
16/01/20	H	Estudiantes	86-74
13/01/20	A	Atenas	83-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	25%
Home	WLLWL	50%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	25%	50%	0%
Points / game	70.5	71.9	69.1
Allowed / game	78.0	74.2	81.8
Point differential	-7.5	-2.2	-12.7
Avg total	148.5	146.1	150.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	80% (5)	0% (2)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	45%
Home	WWLWW	70%
Away	LLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	10	12
Win %	45%	70%	25%
Points / game	76.5	77.9	75.3
Allowed / game	76.8	73.2	79.8
Point differential	-0.3	+4.7	-4.4
Avg total	153.3	151.1	155.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	30%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	75% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	5%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	19	16	3	84%	89.8	83.8	+6.1
2	San Lorenzo	18	15	3	83%	87.3	79.5	+7.8
3	Gimnasia	21	15	6	71%	87.6	81.2	+6.4
4	Instituto de Cordoba	19	13	6	68%	81.9	74.7	+7.2
5	Comunicaciones Mercedes	22	15	7	68%	87.1	78.0	+9.1
6	Ferro	20	13	7	65%	78.8	74.5	+4.2
7	San Martin	19	11	8	58%	83.5	79.4	+4.1
8	Regatas	20	11	9	55%	84.5	81.8	+2.7
9	Weber Bahia	22	11	11	50%	90.4	94.8	-4.4
10	Olimpico	19	9	10	47%	80.1	79.2	+0.9
11	Obras Sanitarias	22	10	12	45%	84.4	83.3	+1.1
12	Boca Juniors	22	10	12	45%	76.5	76.8	-0.3
13	Hispano Americano	23	10	13	43%	82.4	81.9	+0.5
14	Argentino	23	10	13	43%	77.4	83.5	-6.1
15	Atenas	22	9	13	41%	81.1	82.5	-1.4
16	Penarol	24	9	15	38%	83.4	84.2	-0.8
17	La Union	23	8	15	35%	82.3	84.9	-2.5
18	Platense	21	7	14	33%	75.5	83.0	-7.4
19	Estudiantes	24	6	18	25%	70.5	78.0	-7.5
20	Libertad	23	5	18	22%	71.1	84.8	-13.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	21	13	19	15	68
Boca Juniors	20	22	18	22	82

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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