PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Copenhagen vs BMS Herlev Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 16 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game82.3
Copenhagen
Denmark
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
BMS Herlev
Denmark
Position#12
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game97.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· N
Other2026-27
Meetings · Copenhagen v BMS Herlev
16 Dec 2026
COPE v BMS
upcoming
23 Sep 2025
COPE100
BMS 79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Copenhagen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
BMS Herlev win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CopenhagenDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCopenhagen
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#11
W
88-74
88
74
+14
89avg 75
H22/09
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
77-62
77
62
+15
81avg 75
A26/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
66-90
66
90
-24
52avg 75
A30/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
56avg 75
H10/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
78-66
78
66
+12
73avg 75
A17/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
97-96
97
96
+1
93avg 75
H24/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
89avg 75
H31/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
93-67
93
67
+26
no box
A04/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
90-96
90
96
-6
no box
H07/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
74-89
74
89
-15
no box
A13/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
23-19
24-14
25-21
21-17
23-13
13-16
20-16
12-25
12-24
24-18
18-23
22-16
20-21
13-27
14-16
19-13
15-19
18-16
26-18
30-35
24-17
25-15
18-29
30-22
17-25
22-23
24-23
12-17
18-20
33-11
30-19
22-29
22-21
15-25
31-21
17-26
16-15
19-19
22-29
165.3Avg total
83.0Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.082.3165.3+0.750%
Season at home (5)88.489.8178.2-1.440%
Season away (5)77.674.8152.4+2.860%
Last 10 (10)83.082.3165.3+0.750%
Last 5 (5)90.490.2180.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)82.292.2174.3-10.011%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.376.5164.8+11.782%
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS HerlevDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHerlev
Date
Competition
Gladsaxe
#8
L
70-102
70
102
-32
49avg 67
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
95-106
95
106
-11
85avg 67
H26/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
77-80
77
80
-3
63avg 67
A01/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
55-117
55
117
-62
33avg 67
H10/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
71-93
71
93
-22
55avg 67
A18/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
67-105
67
105
-38
55avg 67
A24/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
L
99-107 OT
99
107
-8
89avg 67
H30/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
67-93
67
93
-26
no box
H04/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
57-98
57
98
-41
no box
A08/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
no box
H12/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
10-33
13-21
25-27
25-31
18-36
27-16
25-23
26-21
12-16
16-25
23-18
17-27
12-35
11-30
15-25
22-18
14-31
23-19
12-25
20-19
19-34
14-27
14-25
25-23
24-25
17-17
23-24
17-12
20-18
11-33
19-30
11-28
12-24
17-26
17-20
25-20
11-23
16-22
26-26
172.8Avg total
73.6Scored
99.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.497.0171.4-22.69%
Season at home (6)77.3102.7180.0-25.30%
Season away (5)70.890.2161.0-19.420%
Last 10 (10)73.699.2172.8-25.60%
Last 5 (5)73.698.8172.4-25.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)75.096.6171.6-21.612%
vs Similar (5)82.479.0161.4+3.460%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -12.3-12.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -4.4-4.4
-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -12.3-12.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -4.4-4.4
CopenhagenBMS Herlev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CopenhagenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H22/09
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A26/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A30/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A17/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H24/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H31/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A04/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H07/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A13/11
Basketligaen
80.5Avg total
39.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.083.6-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.744.688.3-0.933%-
Last 30 away (15)37.541.478.9-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.480.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.645.487.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.445.583.9-7.216%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.538.683.1+5.873%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS HerlevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gladsaxe
#8
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H26/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
29-62
29
62
-33
H10/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A18/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A24/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H30/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H04/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
23-52
23
52
-29
A08/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H12/11
Basketligaen
85.7Avg total
36.2Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.446.686.0-7.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.346.886.1-7.438%-
Last 30 away (14)39.446.485.9-7.029%-
Last 10 (10)36.249.585.7-13.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.845.282.0-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.848.487.1-9.624%-
vs Similar (5)42.437.880.2+4.680%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Copenhagentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Copenhagen: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.8
51.7%
55.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.48.6
27.4%
31.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.912.8
67.7%
68.0%12.8
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BMS Herlevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.2
46.9%
55.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.0
32.0%
31.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.813.2
63.5%
68.0%13.2
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Copenhagen
LLWLWWLLWW
BMS Herlev
LLLLLLLLLL
#6
League position
#12
-4.5
Net rating
-13.1
83.4
Offensive rating
81.6
87.9
Defensive rating
94.7
47.1%
Effective FG%
47.4%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.4%
3-point %
32.0%
68.0%
Assist %
57.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence83.4 · 81.6Defence87.9 · 94.7Shooting47.1% · 47.4%3-point %27.4% · 32.0%Ball care17.8% · 18.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 0%
■ Copenhagen   ■ BMS Herlev
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Copenhagen wins
0
BMS Herlev wins
DateGameScore
04/11/26BMS Herlev v Copenhagen67-93
18/12/25BMS Herlev v Copenhagen72-96
23/09/25Copenhagen v BMS Herlev100-79
Copenhagenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AHolbaek-Stenhus74-89
07/11/26HRanders90-96
04/11/26ABMS Herlev93-67
31/10/26HSvendborg98-103 OT
24/10/26HVejen97-96
17/10/26ABears Academy78-66
10/10/26HHorsens69-80
30/09/26ATeam FOG Naestved66-90
26/09/26AGladsaxe77-62
22/09/26HVaerlose88-74
BMS Herlevlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HSvendborg78-91
08/11/26AHorsens57-98
04/11/26HCopenhagen67-93
30/10/26HVaerlose99-107 OT
24/10/26ABakken Bears67-105
18/10/26ARanders71-93
10/10/26HTeam FOG Naestved55-117
01/10/26AHolbaek-Stenhus77-80
26/09/26HVejen95-106
23/09/26HGladsaxe70-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Copenhagen
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game83.088.477.6
Allowed / game82.389.874.8
Point differential+0.7-1.4+2.8
Avg total165.3178.2152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%20%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %10%20%0%
BMS Herlev
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%0%20%
Points / game74.477.370.8
Allowed / game97.0102.790.2
Point differential-22.6-25.3-19.4
Avg total171.4180.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved1110191%99.072.6+26.4
2 Bakken Bears98189%104.774.9+29.8
3 Horsens108280%89.277.6+11.6
4 Svendborg108280%90.679.7+10.9
5 Randers107370%95.686.0+9.6
6 Copenhagen105550%83.082.3+0.7
7 Holbaek-Stenhus115645%78.286.2-8.0
8 Gladsaxe103730%79.488.9-9.5
9 Vejen103730%78.996.8-17.9
10 Bears Academy112918%79.591.1-11.6
11 Vaerlose112918%77.891.2-13.4
12 BMS Herlev111109%74.497.0-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.