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Crailsheim Merlins vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 86-84
19-16 22-17 26-36 19-15
Position#5
Record8-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#6
Record5-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game79.7
GermanyBBLRound 10
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Ulm
27 Apr 2024
CME66
ULM86
18 Mar 2023
CME76
ULM68
16 Oct 2021
CME71
ULM93
29 Dec 2020
CME86
ULM84
29 Dec 2019
CME91
ULM79
18 Apr 2019
CME79
ULM82
18 Oct 2015
CME99
ULM90
06 Dec 2014
CME80
ULM88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#10
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A12/11
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
84-66
84
66
+18
82avg 87
A14/11
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
101-95
101
95
+6
98avg 87
H22/11
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
89-77
89
77
+12
80avg 87
H04/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
88-97
88
97
-9
82avg 87
A06/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
88-76
88
76
+12
no box
H09/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
94-80
94
80
+14
97avg 87
H12/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
108-75
108
75
+33
109avg 87
A20/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
76-64
76
64
+12
61avg 87
H22/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
98-81
98
81
+17
87avg 87
A27/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
21-23
16-23
25-19
22-18
22-15
20-16
20-17
28-27
30-27
23-18
20-23
29-14
19-15
18-28
23-20
18-24
25-25
22-25
23-23
19-14
20-18
22-23
27-21
23-19
16-13
29-30
26-18
30-10
30-23
19-20
29-22
11-15
23-19
19-17
23-13
31-22
17-30
27-7
23-22
169.5Avg total
90.7Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.879.0170.8+12.889%
Season at home (5)89.678.4168.0+11.2100%
Season away (4)94.579.8174.2+14.875%
Last 10 (10)90.778.8169.5+11.990%
Last 5 (5)92.875.2168.0+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)81.288.9170.1-7.733%
vs Similar (9)88.888.7177.4+0.156%
vs Weaker (12)87.578.3165.8+9.283%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Brescia
#20
W
88-76
88
76
+12
86avg 79
H10/11
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#10
W
104-76
104
76
+28
107avg 79
H14/11
BBL
Levallois
#8
L
65-72
65
72
-7
57avg 79
A17/11
Eurocup
Giessen
#17
W
106-81
106
81
+25
109avg 79
A21/11
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
74-73
74
73
+1
72avg 79
H06/12
BBL
Buducnost
#12
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 79
H08/12
Eurocup
Hamburg
#7
W
73-69
73
69
+4
64avg 79
A13/12
BBL
Unicaja
#10
W
94-90
94
90
+4
no box
A16/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#1
L
83-93
83
93
-10
no box
A19/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
80avg 79
H26/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
24-12
22-27
23-19
30-18
21-21
26-22
27-15
16-16
23-16
11-17
15-23
21-11
39-22
26-21
20-27
20-11
15-21
12-18
27-23
24-12
11-25
14-18
24-22
20-25
18-15
15-14
20-15
17-24
34-21
17-26
26-19
19-20
22-31
20-22
22-20
22-19
25-23
23-21
16-26
164.2Avg total
84.6Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.079.7167.7+8.371%
Season at home (3)88.079.3167.3+8.767%
Season away (4)88.080.0168.0+8.075%
Last 10 (10)84.679.6164.2+5.060%
Last 5 (5)81.883.6165.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.085.0180.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (13)78.082.0160.0-4.015%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.372.9161.2+15.494%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
Crailsheim MerlinsUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A12/11
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A14/11
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H22/11
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H04/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A06/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H09/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H12/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
60-33
60
33
+27
A20/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H22/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/12
BBL
83.6Avg total
45.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.342.585.8+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.640.181.6+1.556%-
Last 30 away (14)45.345.490.6-0.136%-
Last 10 (10)45.338.383.6+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.680.6+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.145.385.4-5.222%-
vs Similar (9)45.344.689.9+0.867%-
vs Weaker (12)44.238.983.1+5.250%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#20
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H10/11
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#10
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H14/11
BBL
Levallois
#8
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A17/11
Eurocup
Giessen
#17
W
60-33
60
33
+27
A21/11
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H06/12
BBL
Buducnost
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H08/12
Eurocup
Hamburg
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A13/12
BBL
Unicaja
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A16/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#1
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A19/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H26/12
BBL
82.1Avg total
44.0Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.180.8+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.239.480.6+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)42.438.681.1+3.850%-
Last 10 (10)44.038.182.1+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.085.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.040.081.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (13)40.240.380.5-0.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.138.081.1+5.156%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.719.2
58.8%
54.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.6
38.0%
37.1%31.7
🏀 Free throws26.721.2
79.6%
78.0%21.2
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.1
53.6%
54.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.2
37.2%
37.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.820.0
84.0%
78.0%20.0
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
WWWWWLWWWW
Ulm
LLWWLWWLWW
#5
League position
#6
+17.6
Net rating
+6.4
121.5
Offensive rating
112.2
103.9
Defensive rating
105.7
58.0%
Effective FG%
54.5%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.5%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.41
38.0%
3-point %
37.2%
60.1%
Assist %
65.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.5 · 112.2Defence103.9 · 105.7Shooting58.0% · 54.5%3-point %38.0% · 37.2%Ball care17.8% · 17.5%Off. rebounds33.1% · 23.2%Free throws0.44 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Crailsheim Merlins wins
6
Ulm wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/20AVechta98-81
22/12/20HFrankfurt76-64
20/12/20ABasketball Braunschweig108-75
12/12/20HOldenburg94-80
09/12/20HChemnitz88-76
06/12/20ALudwigsburg88-97
04/12/20HGottingen89-77
22/11/20HBamberg101-95
14/11/20ASyntainics MBC84-66
12/11/20ABayreuth81-77
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/20HOldenburg86-89
19/12/20AAlba Berlin83-93
16/12/20AUnicaja94-90
13/12/20AHamburg73-69
08/12/20HBuducnost73-77
06/12/20HVechta74-73
21/11/20AGiessen106-81
17/11/20ALevallois65-72
14/11/20HBayreuth104-76
10/11/20HBrescia88-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game91.889.694.5
Allowed / game79.078.479.8
Point differential+12.8+11.2+14.8
Avg total170.8168.0174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%80%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game88.088.088.0
Allowed / game79.779.380.0
Point differential+8.3+8.7+8.0
Avg total167.7167.3168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crailsheim Merlins98189%91.879.0+12.8
2 Ludwigsburg98189%90.180.3+9.8
3 Bayern87188%89.574.6+14.9
4 Alba Berlin76186%83.175.1+8.0
5 Oldenburg97278%95.283.8+11.4
6 Hamburg86275%86.077.5+8.5
7 Ulm75271%88.079.7+8.3
8 Bamberg84450%83.882.8+1.0
9 Syntainics MBC84450%83.985.2-1.4
10 Basketball Braunschweig84450%88.091.5-3.5
11 Frankfurt83538%77.683.0-5.4
12 Bonn93633%79.784.4-4.8
13 Bayreuth93633%85.691.0-5.4
14 s.Oliver Wurzburg93633%76.783.9-7.2
15 Chemnitz92722%83.692.7-9.1
16 Gottingen92722%82.692.9-10.3
17 Giessen91811%85.497.6-12.1
18 Vechta9090%77.087.2-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1922261986
Ulm1617361584
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