Bayreuth vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 102-85

26-18 22-21 27-27 27-19

Position#12

Record7-4

FormWWWLL

Points / game86.0

Allowed / game83.4

Bayreuth 🏆

Crailsheim Merlins

Position#16

Record1-11

FormLLLLL

Points / game79.1

Allowed / game89.8

BBLRound 13

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Bayreuth v Crailsheim Merlins

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crailsheim Merlins winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bayreuth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankfurt

#11

91-81

+10

A11/11

BBL

Petrol Olimpija

#45

76-67

A13/11

Champions League

Bremerhaven

#17

113-85

113

+28

H17/11

BBL

Neptunas

#24

102-78

102

+24

H20/11

Champions League

Gottingen

#14

89-80

A24/11

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#15

95-92

H08/12

BBL

Besiktas

#16

90-74

+16

A11/12

Champions League

Giessen

#13

95-90

A15/12

BBL

Strasbourg

#13

76-84

-8

H19/12

Champions League

Oldenburg

70-90

-20

H27/12

BBL

22-24

28-14

18-26

23-17

18-14

19-25

10-10

29-18

28-17

31-24

33-28

21-16

24-15

24-23

30-22

24-18

22-16

28-22

18-26

21-16

27-26

28-18

22-22

18-26

19-13

11-24

28-16

32-21

19-14

32-29

22-26

22-21

6-27

17-16

20-19

33-22

20-30

16-20

15-15

19-25

171.8Avg total

89.7Scored

82.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	86.0	83.4	169.4	+2.6	64%
Season at home (5)	87.0	86.4	173.4	+0.6	60%
Season away (6)	85.2	80.8	166.0	+4.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	89.7	82.1	171.8	+7.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	86.0	171.2	-0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	74.1	83.1	157.3	-9.0	14%
vs Similar (18)	81.4	79.4	160.8	+1.9	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	91.5	76.5	168.0	+15.0	100%

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crailsheim Merlins Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alba Berlin

76-115

115

-39

A12/10

BBL

Jena

#18

101-78

101

+23

H20/10

BBL

Gottingen

#14

80-93

-13

A28/10

BBL

Vechta

68-70

-2

H02/11

BBL

Bayern

71-96

-25

H04/11

BBL

Bonn

87-89

-2

A11/11

BBL

Oldenburg

79-87

-8

A24/11

BBL

Bamberg

77-93

-16

H08/12

BBL

Ludwigsburg

#10

70-82

-12

A15/12

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#15

70-89

-19

H26/12

BBL

15-33

16-20

22-27

23-35

23-16

27-17

29-17

22-28

15-26

20-24

22-17

23-26

19-14

15-15

19-18

15-23

18-24

28-33

18-17

7-22

14-23

24-28

24-17

25-21

25-23

11-22

28-17

15-25

22-29

12-23

25-27

18-14

13-22

11-16

27-18

19-26

19-20

20-26

15-18

16-25

167.1Avg total

77.9Scored

89.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	79.1	89.8	168.8	-10.7	8%
Season at home (6)	79.5	86.3	165.8	-6.8	17%
Season away (6)	78.7	93.2	171.8	-14.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	89.2	167.1	-11.3	10%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	88.0	164.6	-11.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	75.4	90.3	165.7	-14.9	0%
vs Similar (6)	79.7	88.7	168.3	-9.0	17%
vs Weaker (17)	94.9	76.3	171.2	+18.6	94%

This opponent (Bayreuth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BayreuthCrailsheim Merlins

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.6	40.1	+0.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.0	40.2	-3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	29%	-
vs Similar (18)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.8	72%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	23.8	15.2	39.0	+8.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.9	42.5	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	20.4	42.6	+1.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	23.0	41.3	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	23.4	42.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.0	24.0	42.0	-6.0	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.3	22.8	41.2	-4.5	17%	-
vs Weaker (17)	24.2	18.9	43.2	+5.3	82%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.5	41.1	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	21.5	44.9	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	43%	-
vs Similar (18)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	25.2	22.0	47.2	+3.2	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	20.6	43.4	+2.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	22.4	40.8	-4.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	23.0	38.6	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	16.7	22.4	39.1	-5.7	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.2	21.7	43.8	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.7	19.5	43.2	+4.2	82%	-

BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankfurt

#11

50-38

+12

A11/11

BBL

Petrol Olimpija

#45

37-39

-2

A13/11

Champions League

Bremerhaven

#17

59-41

+18

H17/11

BBL

Neptunas

#24

48-38

+10

H20/11

Champions League

Gottingen

#14

50-38

+12

A24/11

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#15

55-44

+11

H08/12

BBL

Besiktas

#16

30-37

-7

A11/12

Champions League

Giessen

#13

51-43

A15/12

BBL

Strasbourg

#13

23-43

-20

H19/12

Champions League

Oldenburg

36-50

-14

H27/12

BBL

85.0Avg total

43.9Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	39.9	81.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	40.1	81.7	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	39.8	80.8	+1.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	41.1	85.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	43.4	82.4	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.3	41.0	80.3	-1.7	29%	-
vs Similar (18)	40.8	39.5	80.3	+1.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	49.0	37.2	86.2	+11.8	75%	-

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alba Berlin

31-53

-22

A12/10

BBL

Jena

#18

50-33

+17

H20/10

BBL

Gottingen

#14

35-50

-15

A28/10

BBL

Vechta

34-29

H02/11

BBL

Bayern

46-57

-11

H04/11

BBL

Bonn

38-51

-13

A11/11

BBL

Oldenburg

36-45

-9

A24/11

BBL

Bamberg

34-52

-18

H08/12

BBL

Ludwigsburg

#10

24-38

-14

A15/12

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#15

39-46

-7

H26/12

BBL

82.1Avg total

36.7Scored

45.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	41.5	84.9	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.0	41.0	86.0	+4.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.5	42.1	83.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	45.4	82.1	-8.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	46.4	80.6	-12.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	34.7	46.4	81.1	-11.7	14%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.5	44.5	85.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (17)	47.9	38.4	86.4	+9.5	82%	-

This opponent (Bayreuth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.3	21.2	38.6	-3.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.1	20.9	39.0	-2.7	43%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.1	20.2	39.3	-1.2	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	19.8	21.5	41.2	-1.8	25%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.8	42.3	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.2	19.1	42.4	+4.1	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.3	42.2	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.4	43.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	23.3	20.1	43.4	+3.1	71%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.9	18.9	41.9	+4.0	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	20.4	40.6	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	20.0	44.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	23.0	47.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.7	21.3	38.0	-4.6	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	22.8	17.8	40.5	+5.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.7	42.2	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	21.4	44.2	+1.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	24.5	42.8	-6.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.2	40.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.4	23.7	41.1	-6.3	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.2	22.2	41.3	-3.0	17%	-
vs Weaker (17)	24.1	18.9	43.0	+5.1	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	40.3	79.6	-1.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.8	39.7	80.5	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	40.8	78.8	-2.9	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	41.0	86.8	+4.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	42.6	88.8	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	34.9	42.1	77.0	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	40.6	39.9	80.5	+0.6	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	42.5	39.2	81.8	+3.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	40.5	84.5	+3.4	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	40.6	82.7	+1.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.1	40.5	86.6	+5.6	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	43.8	85.0	-2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	41.6	84.0	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	40.7	43.9	84.6	-3.1	57%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.2	44.2	83.3	-5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	47.0	37.9	84.9	+9.1	94%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bayreuth wins

Crailsheim Merlins wins

Date	Game	Score
06/02/16	Bayreuth v Crailsheim Merlins	78-70
19/12/15	Crailsheim Merlins v Bayreuth	73-70
27/02/15	Crailsheim Merlins v Bayreuth	88-84
02/10/14	Bayreuth v Crailsheim Merlins	80-71

Bayreuthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/12/18	H	Oldenburg	70-90
19/12/18	H	Strasbourg	76-84
15/12/18	A	Giessen	95-90
11/12/18	A	Besiktas	90-74
08/12/18	H	Mitteldeutscher	95-92
24/11/18	A	Gottingen	89-80
20/11/18	H	Neptunas	102-78
17/11/18	H	Bremerhaven	113-85
13/11/18	A	Petrol Olimpija	76-67
11/11/18	A	Frankfurt	91-81

Crailsheim Merlinslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/12/18	H	Mitteldeutscher	70-89
15/12/18	A	Ludwigsburg	70-82
08/12/18	H	Bamberg	77-93
24/11/18	A	Oldenburg	79-87
11/11/18	A	Bonn	87-89
04/11/18	H	Bayern	71-96
02/11/18	H	Vechta	68-70
28/10/18	A	Gottingen	80-93
20/10/18	H	Jena	101-78
12/10/18	A	Alba Berlin	76-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	64%
Home	WLWWL	60%
Away	LLWWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	64%	60%	67%
Points / game	86.0	87.0	85.2
Allowed / game	83.4	86.4	80.8
Point differential	+2.6	+0.6	+4.3
Avg total	169.4	173.4	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	20%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Crailsheim Merlins

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	8%
Home	WLLLL	17%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	8%	17%	0%
Points / game	79.1	79.5	78.7
Allowed / game	89.8	86.3	93.2
Point differential	-10.7	-6.8	-14.5
Avg total	168.8	165.8	171.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bayern	12	12	0	100%	88.2	72.8	+15.4
2	Alba Berlin	11	9	2	82%	93.7	77.2	+16.5
3	Oldenburg	11	9	2	82%	89.4	77.3	+12.1
4	Bamberg	11	9	2	82%	88.0	82.5	+5.5
5	Bayreuth	11	7	4	64%	86.0	83.4	+2.6
6	Vechta	12	7	5	58%	80.2	80.2	+0.0
7	Ludwigsburg	11	6	5	55%	81.5	79.2	+2.3
8	Ulm	12	6	6	50%	84.8	84.4	+0.4
9	Basketball Braunschweig	12	6	6	50%	78.4	79.5	-1.1
10	Giessen	12	6	6	50%	90.3	91.9	-1.6
11	Bonn	12	5	7	42%	82.9	86.2	-3.3
12	Frankfurt	12	5	7	42%	79.8	83.5	-3.7
13	s.Oliver Wurzburg	11	4	7	36%	79.0	82.2	-3.2
14	Gottingen	12	4	8	33%	78.5	80.3	-1.8
15	Jena	11	3	8	27%	76.2	87.5	-11.4
16	Bremerhaven	12	3	9	25%	79.5	87.3	-7.8
17	Mitteldeutscher	11	2	9	18%	78.5	87.5	-9.0
18	Crailsheim Merlins	12	1	11	8%	79.1	89.8	-10.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bayreuth	26	22	27	27	102
Crailsheim Merlins	18	21	27	19	85

← all games of the day

Bayreuth vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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