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Creighton vs Providence Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 76-79
0-0 37-39 0-0 39-40
Position#238
Record14-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Position#246
Record13-15
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game84.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Creighton v Providence
28 Feb 2026
CREI76
PROV79
14 Jan 2025
CREI84
PROV64
14 Mar 2024
CREI73
PROV78
06 Jan 2024
CREI69
PROV60
14 Jan 2023
CREI73
PROV67
11 Jan 2022
CREI v PROV
upcoming
20 Jan 2021
CREI70
PROV74
18 Jan 2020
CREI78
PROV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Creighton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Providence winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CreightonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
W
94-93
94
93
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A28/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
58-85
58
85
-27
H01/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A05/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H07/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A12/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
69-80
69
80
-11
H14/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A19/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
52-81
52
81
-29
A21/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
42-39
0-0
52-54
0-0
23-52
0-0
39-34
0-0
30-41
0-0
28-44
0-0
29-27
0-0
39-49
0-0
32-34
0-0
37-34
0-0
42-40
0-0
29-32
0-0
27-41
0-0
42-39
0-0
45-45
0-0
46-39
0-0
27-42
0-0
25-39
0-0
38-30
0-0
33-42
150.2Avg total
70.5Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.675.6151.1+0.048%
Season at home (17)79.174.8153.9+4.265%
Season away (12)70.676.6147.2-6.025%
Last 10 (10)70.579.7150.2-9.230%
Last 5 (5)70.877.8148.6-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)66.178.3144.4-12.223%
vs Similar ◀ (16)82.475.6158.0+6.862%
vs Weaker (1)84.045.0129.0+39.0100%
This opponent (Providence) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ProvidenceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#290
L
104-105 OT
104
105
-1
A19/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H24/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A31/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
97-87 OT
97
87
+10
H05/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H07/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A12/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H14/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H26/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
44-54
0-0
50-40
0-0
43-25
0-0
35-56
0-0
37-41
0-0
44-46
0-0
28-45
0-0
45-42
0-0
32-34
0-0
41-39
0-0
43-26
0-0
47-46
0-0
43-39
0-0
37-48
0-0
29-34
0-0
40-45
0-0
38-35
0-0
33-33
0-0
47-34
0-0
47-50
167.4Avg total
83.7Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)87.184.7171.8+2.446%
Season at home (16)88.481.1169.5+7.262%
Season away (12)85.389.5174.8-4.225%
Last 10 (10)83.783.7167.4+0.040%
Last 5 (5)80.878.0158.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.887.2166.0-8.411%
vs Similar ◀ (17)88.786.1174.8+2.647%
vs Weaker (4)89.568.5158.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Creighton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
CreightonProvidence
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CreightonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
23-52
23
52
-29
A28/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H01/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H07/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H14/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A19/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A21/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H26/02
NCAA
72.6Avg total
33.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.036.873.8+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.936.675.5+2.265%-
Last 30 away (13)34.537.071.5-2.546%-
Last 10 (10)33.539.172.6-5.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.675.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.438.770.1-7.315%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.536.177.6+5.488%-
vs Weaker (1)37.023.060.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Providence) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ProvidenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#290
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A19/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H24/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A31/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H05/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H07/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H14/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H26/02
NCAA
75.1Avg total
38.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.576.3+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.835.174.8+4.759%-
Last 30 away (13)37.540.678.2-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.436.775.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.033.673.6+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.341.475.8-7.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.537.778.2+2.859%-
vs Weaker (4)41.527.569.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Creighton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Creighton wins
5
Providence wins
DateGameScore
16/01/26Providence v Creighton93-88
06/02/25Providence v Creighton69-80
15/01/25Creighton v Providence84-64
14/03/24Creighton v Providence73-78
08/02/24Providence v Creighton91-87 OT
06/01/24Creighton v Providence69-60
15/02/23Providence v Creighton94-86 OT
14/01/23Creighton v Providence73-67
11/03/22Providence v Creighton58-85
27/02/22Providence v Creighton72-51
Creightonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26HDePaul71-72
21/02/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)52-81
19/02/26AUconn91-84
14/02/26HVillanova69-80
12/02/26ADePaul71-72
07/02/26HSeton Hall69-68
05/02/26AGeorgetown68-76
01/02/26HUconn58-85
28/01/26AMarquette62-86
22/01/26HXavier94-93
Providencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26HXavier94-84
22/02/26ADePaul71-68
14/02/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)69-79
12/02/26ASeton Hall80-87
07/02/26HDePaul90-72
05/02/26HButler97-87 OT
31/01/26AVillanova73-87
28/01/26AUconn81-87
24/01/26HGeorgetown78-81
19/01/26AMarquette104-105 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Creighton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL48%
HomeWLWLL65%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %48%65%25%
Points / game75.679.170.6
Allowed / game75.674.876.6
Point differential+0.0+4.2-6.0
Avg total151.1153.9147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%41%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)80% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Providence
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW46%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %46%62%25%
Points / game87.188.485.3
Allowed / game84.781.189.5
Point differential+2.4+7.2-4.2
Avg total171.8169.5174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %18%12%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn3027390%78.765.2+13.5
2 Villanova2822679%77.970.1+7.8
3 St. John's (N.Y.)3022873%80.472.3+8.0
4 Seton Hall29191066%70.364.7+5.6
5 DePaul28151354%71.569.8+1.7
6 Butler29151452%80.077.3+2.6
7 Creighton29141548%75.675.6+0.0
8 Xavier29141548%78.779.8-1.0
9 Providence28131546%87.184.7+2.4
10 Georgetown29131645%74.673.8+0.7
11 Marquette28101836%75.877.0-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Creighton03703976
Providence03904079
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