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Cremona vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 67-74
17-18 11-21 19-17 20-18
Position#11
Record9-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game79.2
Cremona
Italy
vs
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
Position#10
Record10-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game82.6
ItalyLega ARound 22· PalaRadi
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Cremona v Pistoia
13 Oct 2024
CRE65
PIS66
10 Mar 2024
CRE67
PIS74
08 Apr 2023
CRE85
PIS80
11 Apr 2020
CRE v PIS
upcoming
10 Mar 2019
CRE90
PIS80
15 Oct 2017
CRE92
PIS77
03 Oct 2016
CRE87
PIS67
23 Nov 2015
CRE82
PIS66
08 Feb 2015
CRE75
PIS81
23 Feb 2014
CRE81
PIS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
W
83-67
83
67
+16
76avg 74
H17/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
51-74
51
74
-23
38avg 74
A24/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
75-58
75
58
+17
76avg 74
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
60-64
60
64
-4
51avg 74
A07/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
99-80
99
80
+19
101avg 74
H13/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 74
A21/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 74
H28/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
76avg 74
A04/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
90-83
90
83
+7
87avg 74
H11/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
76-79
76
79
-3
62avg 74
A03/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
22-13
22-22
21-14
11-16
11-16
25-22
4-20
18-13
22-12
15-22
20-11
17-14
15-20
20-13
8-17
26-21
27-16
23-21
23-22
18-24
13-16
15-17
25-21
12-19
23-20
22-26
25-18
15-17
17-22
26-20
22-27
20-18
26-18
19-29
25-18
14-21
15-17
20-20
27-21
151.9Avg total
76.7Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.279.2160.4+2.043%
Season at home (10)86.576.8163.3+9.770%
Season away (11)76.481.4157.7-5.018%
Last 10 (10)76.775.2151.9+1.540%
Last 5 (5)79.881.8161.6-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.080.3153.3-7.333%
vs Similar (15)81.578.3159.7+3.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.875.2159.1+8.667%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
70-91
70
91
-21
59avg 67
H23/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 67
A30/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
64-60
64
60
+4
58avg 67
H07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
69-107
69
107
-38
57avg 67
A14/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 67
H20/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
90-109
90
109
-19
78avg 67
A28/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-78
72
78
-6
62avg 67
H04/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
69-96
69
96
-27
56avg 67
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
71-86
71
86
-15
4avg 67
A14/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#9
W
84-71
84
71
+13
75avg 67
H03/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
12-23
20-16
22-24
23-19
21-23
21-18
24-26
14-17
20-15
13-20
17-8
12-32
16-30
14-27
27-18
10-21
21-22
20-11
27-17
13-27
32-29
26-18
19-35
24-21
9-20
23-16
16-21
12-27
10-24
21-27
26-18
16-19
18-17
16-25
21-25
23-17
22-13
12-24
27-17
161.1Avg total
75.6Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.282.6160.8-4.448%
Season at home (11)74.574.8149.4-0.355%
Season away (10)82.291.1173.3-8.940%
Last 10 (10)75.685.5161.1-9.940%
Last 5 (5)77.288.0165.2-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.284.4163.6-5.250%
vs Similar (19)74.876.2151.0-1.358%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
CremonaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H17/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A24/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A07/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H13/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A21/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H11/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A03/03
Lega A
71.1Avg total
36.0Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.275.6+1.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.735.679.4+8.164%-
Last 30 away (16)33.838.672.4-4.812%-
Last 10 (10)36.035.171.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.638.473.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.336.370.7-2.033%-
vs Similar (15)39.138.577.5+0.627%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.735.874.5+2.850%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H23/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A30/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
28-62
28
62
-34
A14/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H20/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A28/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H04/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A14/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#9
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H03/03
Lega A
78.8Avg total
34.4Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.741.378.9-3.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.037.174.1-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.345.483.7-7.133%-
Last 10 (10)34.444.478.8-10.030%-
Last 5 (5)35.842.878.6-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.543.681.1-6.140%-
vs Similar (19)37.940.378.3-2.447%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.816.2
52.6%
53.1%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.9
36.0%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws14.310.7
74.8%
76.3%10.7
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.715.4
48.6%
53.1%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.911.0
38.1%
35.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws13.19.2
70.2%
76.3%9.2
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LWLLLWLWLW
Pistoia
WLLLLWLWWL
#11
League position
#10
+1.7
Net rating
-15.7
108.8
Offensive rating
103.1
107.1
Defensive rating
118.7
53.3%
Effective FG%
52.6%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.3%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.0%
3-point %
38.1%
59.8%
Assist %
56.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 103.1Defence107.1 · 118.7Shooting53.3% · 52.6%3-point %36.0% · 38.1%Ball care16.5% · 17.3%Off. rebounds27.6% · 23.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Cremona   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cremona wins
5
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
07/01/24Pistoia v Cremona64-60
30/04/23Pistoia v Cremona73-68
08/04/23Cremona v Pistoia85-80
15/12/19Pistoia v Cremona84-71
10/03/19Cremona v Pistoia90-80
11/11/18Pistoia v Cremona73-90
04/02/18Pistoia v Cremona76-65
15/10/17Cremona v Pistoia92-77
22/01/17Pistoia v Cremona64-59
03/10/16Cremona v Pistoia87-67
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24ABrindisi76-79
11/02/24HBasket Napoli90-83
04/02/24ASassari80-86
28/01/24HVarese82-83
21/01/24AReggiana71-78
13/01/24HTrento99-80
07/01/24APistoia60-64
30/12/23HBrindisi75-58
24/12/23AOlimpia Milano51-74
17/12/23HTortona83-67
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HTortona84-71
14/02/24AVenezia71-86
11/02/24AVenezia69-96
04/02/24HOlimpia Milano72-78
28/01/24ABrescia90-109
20/01/24HScafati78-71
14/01/24ASassari69-107
07/01/24HCremona64-60
30/12/23ATreviso89-86
23/12/23HVirtus Bologna70-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL43%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%70%18%
Points / game81.286.576.4
Allowed / game79.276.881.4
Point differential+2.0+9.7-5.0
Avg total160.4163.3157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW48%
HomeLWWLW55%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%55%40%
Points / game78.274.582.2
Allowed / game82.674.891.1
Point differential-4.4-0.3-8.9
Avg total160.8149.4173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2116576%88.176.1+12.0
2 Virtus Bologna2216673%88.476.3+12.1
3 Olimpia Milano2215768%79.372.9+6.4
4 Venezia2215768%82.176.5+5.7
5 Basket Napoli22121055%85.684.5+1.1
6 Reggiana22121055%79.881.1-1.3
7 Tortona22111150%79.678.3+1.3
8 Trento22111150%83.383.4-0.1
9 Scafati21101148%83.186.7-3.5
10 Pistoia21101148%78.282.6-4.4
11 Sassari22101245%76.581.4-4.9
12 Cremona2191243%81.279.2+2.0
13 Varese2291341%84.489.0-4.5
14 Treviso2271532%79.584.5-4.9
15 Pesaro2261627%79.187.1-8.0
16 Brindisi2251723%73.582.2-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona1711192067
Pistoia1821171874
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