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Pistoia vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-65
24-13 11-21 22-17 19-14
Position#13
Record5-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game80.5
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Cremona
Italy
Position#10
Record9-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game81.2
ItalyLega ARound 18
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Pistoia v Cremona
04 May 2025
PIS65
CRE89
07 Jan 2024
PIS64
CRE60
30 Apr 2023
PIS73
CRE68
15 Dec 2019
PIS84
CRE71
11 Nov 2018
PIS73
CRE90
04 Feb 2018
PIS76
CRE65
22 Jan 2017
PIS64
CRE59
13 Mar 2016
PIS72
CRE79
26 Oct 2014
PIS76
CRE83
09 Nov 2013
PIS65
CRE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A18/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H03/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H09/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A16/12
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A02/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A14/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A28/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
24-18
15-23
24-16
16-18
20-16
26-15
18-16
22-25
23-26
18-21
23-11
23-26
18-17
20-22
20-23
18-26
23-17
15-24
23-19
20-25
18-23
17-9
12-18
19-26
13-9
14-21
17-23
20-22
16-24
19-14
17-16
27-17
19-17
29-19
16-16
21-20
23-19
19-33
11-16
156.6Avg total
77.3Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.980.5155.5-5.629%
Season at home (8)79.479.8159.1-0.450%
Season away (9)71.081.2152.2-10.211%
Last 10 (10)77.379.3156.6-2.030%
Last 5 (5)73.477.4150.8-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.184.8158.9-10.88%
vs Similar (13)78.877.2156.0+1.754%
vs Weaker (4)80.570.5151.0+10.075%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H18/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A03/12
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H10/12
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A17/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A02/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H07/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
95-85
95
85
+10
A14/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A22/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
109-100
109
100
+9
H28/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
22-21
13-15
20-21
16-23
20-17
20-17
22-22
21-19
27-21
22-11
16-22
20-21
17-24
17-12
25-33
16-23
31-9
18-24
27-27
18-18
19-21
25-15
18-13
22-14
22-17
21-26
15-15
21-27
25-23
21-14
28-21
21-23
18-25
25-21
16-13
33-17
24-33
31-27
21-23
164.9Avg total
84.7Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.281.2164.5+2.053%
Season at home (8)85.479.1164.5+6.275%
Season away (9)81.383.1164.4-1.833%
Last 10 (10)84.780.2164.9+4.560%
Last 5 (5)88.881.2170.0+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.182.3161.4-3.129%
vs Similar (19)84.582.3166.8+2.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)89.578.2167.8+11.2100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
PistoiaCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A18/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H03/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H09/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A16/12
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A02/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A14/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/01
Lega A
81.8Avg total
40.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.079.4-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.439.279.6+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)36.542.879.3-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)40.041.881.8-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.479.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.844.881.6-8.18%-
vs Similar (13)39.639.278.8+0.454%-
vs Weaker (4)40.034.274.2+5.8100%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H18/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A03/12
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H10/12
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A17/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A02/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H07/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A14/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A22/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H28/01
Lega A
83.6Avg total
42.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.983.9+2.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.738.585.3+8.273%-
Last 30 away (15)39.343.282.5-3.920%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.083.6+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.688.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.943.385.1-1.429%-
vs Similar (19)42.640.583.1+2.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)47.038.585.5+8.575%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.818.8
48.5%
51.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.8
36.7%
34.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.39.7
67.8%
73.0%9.7
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.5
52.0%
51.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.9
37.5%
34.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws16.112.2
75.8%
73.0%12.2
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LWLLLLLWWL
Cremona
WLWWWWLWLL
#13
League position
#10
-2.6
Net rating
+5.9
106.8
Offensive rating
109.7
109.4
Defensive rating
103.8
51.1%
Effective FG%
53.8%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.6%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.7%
3-point %
37.5%
55.6%
Assist %
51.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 109.7Defence109.4 · 103.8Shooting51.1% · 53.8%3-point %36.7% · 37.5%Ball care15.4% · 16.6%Off. rebounds29.8% · 27.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Pistoia   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pistoia wins
6
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
15/10/17Cremona v Pistoia92-77
22/01/17Pistoia v Cremona64-59
03/10/16Cremona v Pistoia87-67
13/03/16Pistoia v Cremona72-79
23/11/15Cremona v Pistoia82-66
08/02/15Cremona v Pistoia75-81
26/10/14Pistoia v Cremona76-83
23/02/14Cremona v Pistoia81-76
09/11/13Pistoia v Cremona65-60
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/18ABrindisi74-88
21/01/18HCapo d'Orlando91-69
14/01/18ABrescia72-76
08/01/18HOlimpia Milano63-79
02/01/18AVirtus Bologna67-75
23/12/17HTrento79-86
16/12/17ASassari81-88
09/12/17HPesaro86-83
03/12/17HTorino80-65
18/11/17AVenezia80-84
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/18HCantu109-100
22/01/18AOlimpia Milano80-82
14/01/18ACapo d'Orlando95-85
07/01/18HVarese80-72
02/01/18ABrescia80-67
26/12/17HBrindisi92-83
17/12/17ATrento79-90
10/12/17HAvellino86-73
03/12/17AVirtus Bologna78-79
18/11/17HReggiana68-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %29%50%11%
Points / game74.979.471.0
Allowed / game80.579.881.2
Point differential-5.6-0.4-10.2
Avg total155.5159.1152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW53%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%75%33%
Points / game83.285.481.3
Allowed / game81.279.183.1
Point differential+2.0+6.2-1.8
Avg total164.5164.5164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1813572%77.771.2+6.4
2 Brescia1813572%79.973.9+6.0
3 Venezia1813572%80.578.3+2.2
4 Avellino1712571%84.178.4+5.6
5 Virtus Bologna1811761%80.275.8+4.4
6 Torino1710759%80.480.0+0.4
7 Cremona179853%83.281.2+2.0
8 Cantu179853%87.887.6+0.1
9 Sassari189950%83.880.6+3.2
10 Trento1881044%77.277.9-0.8
11 Reggiana1881044%75.776.6-0.9
12 Varese1761135%76.475.1+1.3
13 Brindisi1861233%77.380.1-2.7
14 Pistoia1751229%74.980.5-5.6
15 Capo d'Orlando1851328%67.581.7-14.2
16 Pesaro1841422%76.083.3-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2411221976
Cremona1321171465
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