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Pistoia vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 84-71
29-15 11-20 15-23 29-13
Position#16
Record3-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game83.9
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Cremona
Italy
Position#6
Record7-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game77.4
ItalyLega ARound 13
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Pistoia v Cremona
04 May 2025
PIS65
CRE89
07 Jan 2024
PIS64
CRE60
30 Apr 2023
PIS73
CRE68
15 Dec 2019
PIS84
CRE71
11 Nov 2018
PIS73
CRE90
04 Feb 2018
PIS76
CRE65
22 Jan 2017
PIS64
CRE59
13 Mar 2016
PIS72
CRE79
26 Oct 2014
PIS76
CRE83
09 Nov 2013
PIS65
CRE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
72-87
72
87
-15
69avg 82
A06/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
67-81
67
81
-14
53avg 82
H12/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 82
A20/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
70avg 82
A27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 82
H03/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
63-83
63
83
-20
no box
A11/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
77-69
77
69
+8
69avg 82
H17/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
67-100
67
100
-33
52avg 82
A24/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
89-87
89
87
+2
81avg 82
H01/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
52avg 82
A08/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-15
24-26
23-22
16-24
19-22
16-19
17-24
15-16
23-20
20-17
13-20
16-27
17-22
22-17
15-16
17-27
14-19
16-17
19-17
27-19
12-21
16-21
15-33
20-8
17-14
18-24
26-13
16-18
13-26
15-26
22-27
17-21
16-21
25-25
28-22
20-19
19-28
20-20
14-14
21-24
155.9Avg total
72.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.483.9157.3-10.525%
Season at home (5)77.479.4156.8-2.060%
Season away (7)70.687.1157.7-16.60%
Last 10 (10)72.883.1155.9-10.330%
Last 5 (5)74.085.0159.0-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)73.081.6154.6-8.621%
vs Similar (2)72.081.0153.0-9.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
L
94-97
94
97
-3
76avg 99
A06/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
71-85
71
85
-14
54avg 99
A13/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
82-78
82
78
+4
77avg 99
H20/10
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
55-67
55
67
-12
43avg 99
A26/10
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
54-78
54
78
-24
35avg 99
H03/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-73
80
73
+7
72avg 99
H10/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
no box
A17/11
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 99
H24/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
74-63
74
63
+11
64avg 99
A01/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
78-66
78
66
+12
71avg 99
H08/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
23-27
23-21
22-26
17-23
17-17
22-30
15-15
16-24
24-13
23-17
19-24
15-21
17-16
13-18
10-12
14-29
19-20
14-9
7-20
24-19
24-19
19-22
13-13
22-21
22-22
22-20
23-16
22-21
16-17
28-17
22-23
18-13
22-14
19-18
15-18
26-14
20-20
14-18
18-14
152.9Avg total
76.5Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.677.4155.0+0.364%
Season at home (6)78.576.7155.2+1.883%
Season away (5)76.678.2154.8-1.640%
Last 10 (10)76.576.4152.9+0.160%
Last 5 (5)81.871.8153.6+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.072.0152.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (13)71.872.8144.6-1.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.679.0164.6+6.671%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
PistoiaCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A06/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H12/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A20/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H03/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A11/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H17/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A24/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H01/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A08/12
Lega A
77.1Avg total
35.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.741.779.4-4.121%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.240.578.7-2.415%-
Last 30 away (16)37.242.779.9-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)35.142.077.1-6.910%-
Last 5 (5)34.245.279.4-11.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.441.679.0-4.122%-
vs Similar (2)40.543.584.0-3.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A06/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H20/10
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/10
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H03/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H10/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A17/11
Lega A
Trieste
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A01/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H08/12
Lega A
79.7Avg total
40.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.541.884.3+0.755%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.440.383.7+3.169%-
Last 30 away (13)41.543.785.2-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.379.7+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.079.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.035.578.5+7.5100%-
vs Similar (12)39.343.883.1-4.442%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.141.286.3+3.957%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.5
48.7%
52.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.5
33.2%
35.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.814.1
79.2%
73.6%14.1
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.621.4
48.0%
52.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.26.8
29.3%
35.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.712.3
65.8%
73.6%12.3
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LWLWLWLLLL
Cremona
WWWWWLLWLL
#16
League position
#6
-15.0
Net rating
+0.1
100.7
Offensive rating
106.2
115.7
Defensive rating
106.1
49.1%
Effective FG%
46.6%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
18.4%
Turnover %
16.0%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
37.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.2%
3-point %
29.3%
47.2%
Assist %
52.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 106.2Defence115.7 · 106.1Shooting49.1% · 46.6%3-point %33.2% · 29.3%Ball care18.4% · 16.0%Off. rebounds23.8% · 37.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Pistoia   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pistoia wins
7
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
10/03/19Cremona v Pistoia90-80
11/11/18Pistoia v Cremona73-90
04/02/18Pistoia v Cremona76-65
15/10/17Cremona v Pistoia92-77
22/01/17Pistoia v Cremona64-59
03/10/16Cremona v Pistoia87-67
13/03/16Pistoia v Cremona72-79
23/11/15Cremona v Pistoia82-66
08/02/15Cremona v Pistoia75-81
26/10/14Pistoia v Cremona76-83
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/19ABrescia74-86
01/12/19HVenezia89-87
24/11/19ABrindisi67-100
17/11/19HCantu77-69
11/11/19AOlimpia Milano63-83
03/11/19HTrieste76-72
27/10/19AFortitudo Bologna71-82
20/10/19AReggiana72-84
12/10/19HVirtus Roma67-81
06/10/19ATreviso72-87
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/19HVirtus Bologna78-66
01/12/19APesaro74-63
24/11/19HTrieste88-78
17/11/19ATrento89-79
10/11/19HFortitudo Bologna80-73
03/11/19HCantu54-78
26/10/19AVenezia55-67
20/10/19HOlimpia Milano82-78
13/10/19AReggiana71-85
06/10/19AVirtus Roma94-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL25%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %25%60%0%
Points / game73.477.470.6
Allowed / game83.979.487.1
Point differential-10.5-2.0-16.6
Avg total157.3156.8157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%83%40%
Points / game77.678.576.6
Allowed / game77.476.778.2
Point differential+0.3+1.8-1.6
Avg total155.0155.2154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1211192%83.876.0+7.8
2 Sassari129375%81.772.0+9.7
3 Olimpia Milano139469%80.873.4+7.5
4 Cremona117464%77.677.4+0.3
5 Brescia127558%82.675.2+7.3
6 Brindisi127558%83.680.8+2.8
7 Fortitudo Bologna127558%78.578.3+0.2
8 Virtus Roma137654%77.581.9-4.4
9 Varese126650%82.378.9+3.4
10 Reggiana126650%81.581.3+0.2
11 Treviso136746%76.976.4+0.5
12 Venezia125742%75.473.2+2.2
13 Trento125742%78.081.6-3.6
14 Cantu125742%71.876.0-4.2
15 Trieste123925%73.679.5-5.9
16 Pistoia123925%73.483.9-10.5
17 Pesaro120120%78.091.5-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2911152984
Cremona1520231371
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