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Pistoia vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 73-90
17-20 22-22 15-22 19-26
Position#16
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game94.6
Pistoia
Italy
vs
Cremona 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game84.4
ItalyLega ARound 6
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Pistoia v Cremona
04 May 2025
PIS65
CRE89
07 Jan 2024
PIS64
CRE60
30 Apr 2023
PIS73
CRE68
15 Dec 2019
PIS84
CRE71
11 Nov 2018
PIS73
CRE90
04 Feb 2018
PIS76
CRE65
22 Jan 2017
PIS64
CRE59
13 Mar 2016
PIS72
CRE79
26 Oct 2014
PIS76
CRE83
09 Nov 2013
PIS65
CRE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
94avg 111
H15/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
70-85
70
85
-15
93avg 111
A22/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
61-74
61
74
-13
85avg 111
H29/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-101
74
101
-27
99avg 111
A06/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
124avg 111
H09/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A07/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
69-97
69
97
-28
no box
H14/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
83-107
83
107
-24
no box
A21/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
95avg 111
H28/10
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
79-96
79
96
-17
103avg 111
A04/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
12-13
16-29
13-19
23-21
16-21
14-20
17-23
14-23
18-22
14-14
15-15
20-31
13-17
21-29
20-24
26-22
20-22
26-23
18-18
23-18
20-21
15-18
19-26
15-21
17-22
16-22
21-32
24-26
24-27
13-19
22-35
16-28
22-21
19-12
17-29
21-31
14-21
15-23
29-21
164.4Avg total
74.6Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.494.6171.0-18.20%
Season at home (2)71.593.5165.0-22.00%
Season away (3)79.795.3175.0-15.70%
Last 10 (10)74.689.8164.4-15.210%
Last 5 (5)76.494.6171.0-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)74.386.3160.5-12.017%
vs Similar (6)78.879.3158.2-0.550%
vs Weaker (1)91.069.0160.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
L
79-89
79
89
-10
108avg 114
A06/05
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
119-95
119
95
+24
151avg 114
H09/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
98avg 114
A13/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
76-108
76
108
-32
98avg 114
A15/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
72-99
72
99
-27
93avg 114
H17/05
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
no box
A06/10
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
no box
H14/10
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
79-96
79
96
-17
104avg 114
H20/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
84-66
84
66
+18
119avg 114
A28/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
H04/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
23-23
20-22
19-20
33-31
24-22
32-19
30-23
20-31
21-21
22-16
14-19
12-24
30-26
20-26
14-32
15-25
17-22
23-23
17-29
19-15
18-16
19-21
21-25
26-23
16-21
26-25
26-19
21-30
8-21
19-23
31-22
22-17
16-20
25-17
21-12
26-19
16-21
16-19
22-14
176.4Avg total
86.4Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.284.4172.6+3.880%
Season at home (3)84.385.7170.0-1.367%
Season away (2)94.082.5176.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.490.0176.4-3.650%
Last 5 (5)88.284.4172.6+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.192.6170.7-14.40%
vs Similar (12)86.484.5170.9+1.958%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)92.383.9176.2+8.480%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
PistoiaCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H15/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A22/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H29/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A06/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A07/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H14/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A21/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H28/10
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A04/11
Lega A
83.3Avg total
38.6Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.242.580.7-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.339.978.1-1.647%-
Last 30 away (15)38.245.183.3-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)38.644.783.3-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.247.286.4-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.343.881.0-6.522%-
vs Similar (6)40.738.879.5+1.867%-
vs Weaker (1)46.034.080.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A06/05
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H09/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A13/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A15/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H17/05
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A06/10
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H14/10
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H20/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A28/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H04/11
Lega A
85.2Avg total
40.0Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.284.6-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.542.185.6+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)39.244.483.6-5.213%-
Last 10 (10)40.045.285.2-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.678.2-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.448.387.7-8.90%-
vs Similar (12)42.141.883.8+0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.841.884.6+1.050%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.720.3
46.5%
51.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.4
31.8%
35.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.710.8
64.7%
72.3%10.8
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.922.5
52.4%
51.0%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.6
32.8%
35.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.2
74.2%
72.3%13.2
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLLLWLLLL
Cremona
WWLWWLLLWL
#16
League position
#3
-20.1
Net rating
-4.5
97.1
Offensive rating
108.3
117.2
Defensive rating
112.8
46.9%
Effective FG%
51.2%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.3%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.8%
3-point %
32.8%
43.3%
Assist %
40.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 108.3Defence117.2 · 112.8Shooting46.9% · 51.2%3-point %31.8% · 32.8%Ball care17.0% · 15.3%Off. rebounds28.3% · 29.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Pistoia   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pistoia wins
6
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
04/02/18Pistoia v Cremona76-65
15/10/17Cremona v Pistoia92-77
22/01/17Pistoia v Cremona64-59
03/10/16Cremona v Pistoia87-67
13/03/16Pistoia v Cremona72-79
23/11/15Cremona v Pistoia82-66
08/02/15Cremona v Pistoia75-81
26/10/14Pistoia v Cremona76-83
23/02/14Cremona v Pistoia81-76
09/11/13Pistoia v Cremona65-60
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/18ATrieste79-96
28/10/18HBrindisi74-90
21/10/18AOlimpia Milano83-107
14/10/18HVenezia69-97
07/10/18APesaro77-83
09/05/18HBrescia90-85
06/05/18AOlimpia Milano74-101
29/04/18HVirtus Bologna61-74
22/04/18ATrento70-85
15/04/18HSassari69-80
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/18HSassari80-73
28/10/18AVirtus Bologna84-66
20/10/18HCantu79-96
14/10/18HAvellino94-88
06/10/18ATrento104-99 OT
17/05/18HVenezia72-99
15/05/18AVenezia76-108
13/05/18AVenezia77-87
09/05/18HCapo d'Orlando119-95
06/05/18AVarese79-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.471.579.7
Allowed / game94.693.595.3
Point differential-18.2-22.0-15.7
Avg total171.0165.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game88.284.394.0
Allowed / game84.485.782.5
Point differential+3.8-1.3+11.5
Avg total172.6170.0176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia660100%89.571.3+18.2
2 Olimpia Milano660100%98.080.3+17.7
3 Cremona54180%88.284.4+3.8
4 Avellino64267%91.082.7+8.3
5 Brindisi64267%83.777.5+6.2
6 Sassari63350%81.779.5+2.2
7 Varese63350%76.576.5+0.0
8 Cantu63350%83.785.0-1.3
9 Virtus Bologna63350%83.087.5-4.5
10 Trieste52340%82.884.2-1.4
11 Brescia62433%80.380.7-0.3
12 Torino62433%79.782.7-3.0
13 Reggiana62433%82.287.8-5.7
14 Pesaro51420%76.288.6-12.4
15 Trento61517%78.092.2-14.2
16 Pistoia5050%76.494.6-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1722151973
Cremona2022222690
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