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Cremona vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-85 (OT)
26-23 14-18 21-15 13-18 14-11
Position#13
Record3-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game81.1
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record4-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game93.9
ItalyLega ARound 17· PalaRadi
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Cremona v Scafati
26 Jan 2025
CRE88
SKA85
07 Apr 2024
CRE68
SKA63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
L
89-100
89
100
-11
80avg 68
H10/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
83-95
83
95
-12
77avg 68
H18/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
73-79 OT
73
79
-6
65avg 68
A01/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
78-60
78
60
+18
75avg 68
H08/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
84-87
84
87
-3
79avg 68
A15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
83-91
83
91
-8
76avg 68
A21/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
65-80
65
80
-15
54avg 68
H28/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
80-76
80
76
+4
68avg 68
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
78-86
78
86
-8
62avg 68
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
63-81
63
81
-18
50avg 68
A20/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
20-29
26-31
22-15
16-28
22-26
29-16
16-25
13-13
18-15
21-20
15-19
17-14
18-18
23-8
20-20
22-22
25-24
19-21
18-20
17-23
19-16
22-27
25-25
24-15
20-25
10-14
11-26
9-22
27-22
16-15
28-17
26-21
9-25
22-16
21-24
13-23
19-18
23-20
8-20
161.1Avg total
77.6Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.081.1157.1-5.119%
Season at home (8)75.179.8154.9-4.612%
Season away (8)76.982.5159.4-5.625%
Last 10 (10)77.683.5161.1-5.920%
Last 5 (5)73.882.8156.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.083.2160.2-6.215%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.281.8162.0-1.636%
vs Weaker (6)72.275.2147.3-3.017%
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
L
75-104
75
104
-29
59avg 76
A10/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
94-85
94
85
+9
84avg 76
H16/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
57-90
57
90
-33
39avg 76
A01/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
110-119
110
119
-9
102avg 76
H08/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
107-102 OT
107
102
+5
85avg 76
H14/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
94-96 OT
94
96
-2
92avg 76
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
71-97
71
97
-26
57avg 76
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
107-110 OT
107
110
-3
98avg 76
H05/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
94-99
94
99
-5
86avg 76
A11/01
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 76
H19/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
28-9
14-35
16-34
27-25
22-25
18-21
27-14
18-26
8-20
18-20
13-24
30-31
29-29
23-28
28-31
22-22
16-23
28-24
17-14
19-22
19-24
19-18
25-18
14-21
22-22
16-31
19-23
31-17
23-30
22-23
18-24
27-24
23-23
30-23
14-29
14-26
12-23
19-13
21-21
186.0Avg total
87.5Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.593.9180.4-7.425%
Season at home (8)92.594.2186.8-1.838%
Season away (8)80.593.5174.0-13.012%
Last 10 (10)87.598.5186.0-11.020%
Last 5 (5)86.497.0183.4-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)80.593.2173.7-12.711%
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.789.3177.0-1.750%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
CremonaScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H10/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H18/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A01/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H08/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A20/01
Lega A
79.9Avg total
37.5Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.277.9-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.439.176.5-1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)38.141.379.4-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)37.542.479.9-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.642.078.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.241.679.8-3.546%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.440.579.8-1.136%-
vs Weaker (6)34.036.570.5-2.550%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A10/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H16/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A01/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H08/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H05/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A11/01
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H19/01
Lega A
88.9Avg total
42.1Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.844.186.9-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.445.089.4-0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)41.243.284.4-2.047%-
Last 10 (10)42.146.888.9-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.846.487.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)41.844.185.9-2.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.344.188.4+0.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.716.4
51.7%
52.9%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.2
35.7%
35.8%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.513.2
75.4%
76.8%13.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.2
51.3%
52.9%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.4
30.3%
35.8%22.2
🏀 Free throws25.619.9
77.7%
76.8%19.9
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LLWLLLWLLL
Scafati
LLLLLWLLWL
#13
League position
#15
-7.8
Net rating
-13.4
108.3
Offensive rating
107.0
116.1
Defensive rating
120.4
52.6%
Effective FG%
49.2%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.1%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.7%
3-point %
30.3%
59.8%
Assist %
50.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 107.0Defence116.1 · 120.4Shooting52.6% · 49.2%3-point %35.7% · 30.3%Ball care16.5% · 15.1%Off. rebounds25.2% · 25.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Cremona   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cremona wins
1
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
03/11/24Scafati v Cremona85-77
07/04/24Cremona v Scafati68-63
29/10/23Scafati v Cremona112-122 OT
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25AVirtus Bologna63-81
12/01/25HVenezia78-86
05/01/25ATrento80-76
28/12/24HSassari65-80
21/12/24ATrieste83-91
15/12/24ATreviso84-87
08/12/24HVarese78-60
01/12/24ATrapani73-79 OT
18/11/24HOlimpia Milano83-95
10/11/24HBrescia89-100
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25HTrapani66-83
11/01/25ATortona94-99
05/01/25HTrieste107-110 OT
29/12/24AVirtus Bologna71-97
22/12/24ABasket Napoli94-96 OT
14/12/24HPistoia107-102 OT
08/12/24HTrento110-119
01/12/24AReggiana57-90
16/11/24HVarese94-85
10/11/24ATreviso75-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL19%
HomeLLWLL12%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %19%12%25%
Points / game76.075.176.9
Allowed / game81.179.882.5
Point differential-5.1-4.6-5.6
Avg total157.1154.9159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Scafati
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLWLL38%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%38%12%
Points / game86.592.580.5
Allowed / game93.994.293.5
Point differential-7.4-1.8-13.0
Avg total180.4186.8174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %19%25%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1713476%93.482.7+10.6
2 Brescia1713476%91.685.6+6.0
3 Virtus Bologna1612475%85.278.9+6.3
4 Trento1612475%89.583.4+6.1
5 Olimpia Milano1610662%88.685.8+2.8
6 Trieste1610662%86.984.3+2.6
7 Tortona1710759%87.084.7+2.3
8 Reggiana1710759%80.079.0+1.0
9 Venezia168850%78.577.0+1.5
10 Treviso1771041%85.587.9-2.4
11 Sassari1661038%81.484.7-3.3
12 Varese1761135%88.998.1-9.1
13 Scafati1641225%86.593.9-7.4
14 Basket Napoli1741324%82.887.1-4.4
15 Pistoia1741324%82.189.4-7.3
16 Cremona1631319%76.081.1-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Cremona261421131488
Scafati231815181185
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