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Cremona vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-60
17-14 18-18 23-8 20-20
Position#13
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game81.9
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record2-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game101.7
ItalyLega ARound 10· PalaRadi
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Cremona v Varese
08 Dec 2025
CRE79
VAR87
08 Dec 2024
CRE78
VAR60
28 Jan 2024
CRE82
VAR83
17 Oct 2021
CRE94
VAR78
06 Sep 2021
CRE80
VAR70
17 Oct 2020
CRE80
VAR67
21 Dec 2019
CRE93
VAR72
14 Feb 2019
CRE82
VAR73
18 Nov 2018
CRE79
VAR82
07 Jan 2018
CRE80
VAR72
02 Jan 2017
CRE85
VAR71
16 Apr 2016
CRE70
VAR79
30 Nov 2014
CRE64
VAR53
29 Dec 2013
CRE75
VAR94
21 Apr 2013
CRE88
VAR92
08 Jan 2012
CRE69
VAR61
21 Nov 2010
CRE103
VAR79
16 Jan 2010
CRE78
VAR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-73
72
73
-1
66avg 69
H05/05
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 69
A29/09
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
64avg 69
H06/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
65-66
65
66
-1
48avg 69
H13/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
87-81
87
81
+6
78avg 69
A19/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
69-74
69
74
-5
48avg 69
H26/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
77-85
77
85
-8
67avg 69
A03/11
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
89-100
89
100
-11
80avg 69
H10/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
83-95
83
95
-12
77avg 69
H18/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
73-79 OT
73
79
-6
65avg 69
A01/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
13-18
15-18
18-20
24-27
13-18
22-17
9-18
19-13
17-20
22-17
9-17
14-12
11-21
20-16
20-17
24-21
19-23
14-21
30-16
20-15
17-17
17-23
15-19
20-22
22-24
19-21
16-18
21-25
20-29
26-31
22-15
16-28
22-26
29-16
16-25
13-13
18-15
21-20
15-19
156.7Avg total
75.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.181.9158.0-5.811%
Season at home (5)76.082.4158.4-6.40%
Season away (4)76.281.2157.5-5.025%
Last 10 (10)75.781.0156.7-5.310%
Last 5 (5)78.286.6164.8-8.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.882.2157.0-7.410%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.980.7163.6+2.255%
vs Weaker (9)70.972.1143.0-1.222%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#10
W
96-78
96
78
+18
89avg 82
A05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
94-118
94
118
-24
81avg 82
A29/09
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
95-105
95
105
-10
86avg 82
H06/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
100-106
100
106
-6
85avg 82
A13/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
100-109
100
109
-9
94avg 82
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
102-95
102
95
+7
93avg 82
H27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
81-107
81
107
-26
66avg 82
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
104-95
104
95
+9
100avg 82
H10/11
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
85-94
85
94
-9
73avg 82
A16/11
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 82
H01/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
28-23
23-15
19-21
24-29
28-28
23-36
19-25
28-29
32-22
13-31
22-23
27-25
31-25
14-29
28-27
33-24
24-28
21-27
22-30
26-18
21-32
31-14
24-31
15-27
17-23
21-24
28-33
24-22
27-22
25-30
28-21
25-27
25-22
21-18
14-27
27-21
12-27
21-20
17-18
192.7Avg total
93.4Scored
99.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.1101.7194.8-8.622%
Season at home (5)95.698.0193.6-2.440%
Season away (4)90.0106.2196.2-16.20%
Last 10 (10)93.499.3192.7-5.930%
Last 5 (5)89.895.4185.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)86.195.0181.1-8.923%
vs Similar ◀ (15)91.988.1179.9+3.860%
vs Weaker (2)84.080.5164.5+3.550%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -3.5-3.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -3.5-3.5
CremonaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H05/05
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A29/09
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H06/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H13/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A19/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H26/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A03/11
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H10/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H18/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A01/12
Lega A
77.3Avg total
36.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.538.075.4-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.737.075.7+1.762%-
Last 30 away (14)36.139.175.1-3.029%-
Last 10 (10)36.940.477.3-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.880.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.940.378.2-2.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.138.877.9+0.327%-
vs Weaker (9)35.034.369.3+0.756%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A29/09
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H06/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A13/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H10/11
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A16/11
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H01/12
Lega A
99.3Avg total
50.0Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.545.891.4-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.545.492.9+2.164%-
Last 30 away (16)43.846.290.1-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)50.049.399.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.848.292.0-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)46.148.294.2-2.154%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.344.089.3+1.347%-
vs Weaker (2)43.544.588.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.0
46.9%
52.9%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.8
33.9%
35.8%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.313.5
78.0%
76.8%13.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 92.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.5
52.7%
52.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.512.3
35.7%
35.8%36.9
🏀 Free throws23.018.5
80.4%
76.8%18.5
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LLLLLWLLLL
Varese
LLWLWLLLLW
#13
League position
#12
-6.4
Net rating
-7.7
106.1
Offensive rating
114.2
112.5
Defensive rating
121.8
48.7%
Effective FG%
53.1%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
17.0%
Turnover %
14.3%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.9%
3-point %
35.7%
56.6%
Assist %
54.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 114.2Defence112.5 · 121.8Shooting48.7% · 53.1%3-point %33.9% · 35.7%Ball care17.0% · 14.3%Off. rebounds30.2% · 25.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Cremona   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cremona wins
5
Varese wins
DateGameScore
28/01/24Cremona v Varese82-83
03/12/23Varese v Cremona68-75
06/03/22Varese v Cremona90-78
17/10/21Cremona v Varese94-78
12/09/21Varese v Cremona86-78
06/09/21Cremona v Varese80-70
07/02/21Varese v Cremona110-105 OT
17/10/20Cremona v Varese80-67
21/12/19Cremona v Varese93-72
17/03/19Varese v Cremona83-64
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24ATrapani73-79 OT
18/11/24HOlimpia Milano83-95
10/11/24HBrescia89-100
03/11/24AScafati77-85
26/10/24HVirtus Bologna69-74
19/10/24ABasket Napoli87-81
13/10/24HPistoia65-66
06/10/24HReggiana74-77 OT
29/09/24ATortona68-80
05/05/24HOlimpia Milano72-73
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HVenezia77-86
16/11/24AScafati85-94
10/11/24HVirtus Bologna104-95
03/11/24ATrieste81-107
27/10/24HPistoia102-95
19/10/24HTrapani100-109
13/10/24ATrento100-106
06/10/24HTortona95-105
29/09/24ABrescia94-118
05/05/24APistoia96-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%0%25%
Points / game76.176.076.2
Allowed / game81.982.481.2
Point differential-5.8-6.4-5.0
Avg total158.0158.4157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %22%20%25%
Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL22%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game93.195.690.0
Allowed / game101.798.0106.2
Point differential-8.6-2.4-16.2
Avg total194.8193.6196.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento10100100%91.580.9+10.6
2 Trapani108280%92.484.4+8.0
3 Virtus Bologna108280%88.183.1+5.0
4 Brescia108280%89.885.4+4.4
5 Reggiana107370%79.874.2+5.6
6 Olimpia Milano106460%83.683.6+0.0
7 Tortona105550%85.183.9+1.2
8 Trieste105550%86.585.7+0.8
9 Treviso105550%85.585.9-0.4
10 Venezia104640%74.775.1-0.4
11 Sassari104640%83.585.6-2.1
12 Pistoia103730%79.383.4-4.1
13 Scafati103730%84.591.5-7.0
14 Varese92722%93.1101.7-8.6
15 Cremona91811%76.181.9-5.8
16 Basket Napoli100100%79.788.4-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona1718232078
Varese141882060
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