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Trieste vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 91-83
23-17 16-19 27-22 25-25
Position#6
Record6-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game84.3
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Cremona
Italy
Position#13
Record2-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game80.4
ItalyLega ARound 12· PalaTrieste
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Trieste v Cremona
10 May 2026
TRI89
CRE94
21 Dec 2024
TRI91
CRE83
16 Apr 2022
TRI84
CRE72
27 Sep 2020
TRI102
CRE77
22 Mar 2020
TRI v CRE
upcoming
23 May 2019
TRI v CRE
upcoming
31 Mar 2019
TRI97
CRE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#14
W
92-83
92
83
+9
94avg 77
A06/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
85-82
85
82
+3
83avg 77
A12/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
85-97
85
97
-12
83avg 77
H20/10
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
100-95
100
95
+5
97avg 77
A26/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
107-81
107
81
+26
105avg 77
H03/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
68-76
68
76
-8
57avg 77
A09/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
93-98
93
98
-5
90avg 77
H17/11
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
86-98
86
98
-12
83avg 77
A01/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
65-69
65
69
-4
52avg 77
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
78-70
78
70
+8
70avg 77
A15/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
22-22
29-21
21-16
23-22
20-15
22-23
20-22
25-19
25-30
21-28
14-20
27-29
25-28
22-12
26-26
27-15
23-17
24-21
33-28
19-23
6-23
25-14
18-16
20-23
25-27
20-22
28-26
27-27
21-22
22-24
16-25
17-14
9-21
8-18
31-16
14-17
26-15
14-23
24-15
170.8Avg total
85.9Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.784.3170.0+1.555%
Season at home (5)86.884.6171.4+2.240%
Season away (6)84.884.0168.8+0.867%
Last 10 (10)85.984.9170.8+1.050%
Last 5 (5)78.082.2160.2-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.383.0164.3-1.733%
vs Similar (18)81.477.6158.9+3.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)88.778.1166.8+10.667%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
64avg 69
H06/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
65-66
65
66
-1
48avg 69
H13/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
87-81
87
81
+6
78avg 69
A19/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
69-74
69
74
-5
48avg 69
H26/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
77-85
77
85
-8
67avg 69
A03/11
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
89-100
89
100
-11
80avg 69
H10/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
83-95
83
95
-12
77avg 69
H18/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
73-79 OT
73
79
-6
65avg 69
A01/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
78-60
78
60
+18
75avg 69
H08/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
84-87
84
87
-3
79avg 69
A15/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
17-20
22-17
9-17
14-12
11-21
20-16
20-17
24-21
19-23
14-21
30-16
20-15
17-17
17-23
15-19
20-22
22-24
19-21
16-18
21-25
20-29
26-31
22-15
16-28
22-26
29-16
16-25
13-13
18-15
21-20
15-19
17-14
18-18
23-8
20-20
22-22
25-24
19-21
18-20
158.3Avg total
77.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.080.4157.4-3.418%
Season at home (6)76.378.7155.0-2.317%
Season away (5)77.882.4160.2-4.620%
Last 10 (10)77.980.4158.3-2.520%
Last 5 (5)81.484.2165.6-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.882.2157.0-7.410%
vs Similar (12)83.280.6163.8+2.750%
vs Weaker (8)71.071.6142.6-0.625%
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
TriesteCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#14
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A06/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H20/10
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A26/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H03/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A09/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H17/11
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A01/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A15/12
Lega A
85.4Avg total
42.1Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.382.3+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.337.181.4+7.262%-
Last 30 away (17)42.140.983.1+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.385.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.479.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.040.780.7-0.733%-
vs Similar (18)41.839.180.9+2.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.639.185.7+7.444%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H06/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H13/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A19/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H26/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A03/11
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H10/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H18/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A01/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H08/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A15/12
Lega A
77.7Avg total
37.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.576.4-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.437.175.5+1.462%-
Last 30 away (14)37.340.177.4-2.836%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.277.7-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.881.2-4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.940.378.2-2.460%-
vs Similar (12)40.239.479.6+0.842%-
vs Weaker (8)34.534.869.2-0.250%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.216.0
53.0%
52.9%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.812.6
38.4%
35.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws21.515.4
71.6%
76.8%15.4
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.416.9
52.2%
52.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.6
33.0%
35.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.614.5
78.0%
76.8%14.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WLLLLWWLWW
Cremona
LWLLLLLWLL
#6
League position
#13
+1.5
Net rating
-2.4
113.1
Offensive rating
108.5
111.6
Defensive rating
110.9
55.4%
Effective FG%
50.9%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
21.1%
Turnover %
16.1%
37.7%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.4%
3-point %
33.0%
62.6%
Assist %
54.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 108.5Defence111.6 · 110.9Shooting55.4% · 50.9%3-point %38.4% · 33.0%Ball care21.1% · 16.1%Off. rebounds37.7% · 26.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Trieste   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Trieste wins
3
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
16/04/22Trieste v Cremona84-72
12/01/22Cremona v Trieste75-80
17/01/21Cremona v Trieste80-101
27/09/20Trieste v Cremona102-77
24/11/19Cremona v Trieste88-78
19/05/19Cremona v Trieste82-75
31/03/19Trieste v Cremona97-80
09/12/18Cremona v Trieste87-78
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24AVirtus Bologna78-70
08/12/24HBrescia65-69
01/12/24ASassari86-98
17/11/24HTrapani93-98
09/11/24ATrento68-76
03/11/24HVarese107-81
26/10/24ATreviso100-95
20/10/24HReggiana85-97
12/10/24ATortona85-82
06/10/24ABasket Napoli92-83
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24ATreviso84-87
08/12/24HVarese78-60
01/12/24ATrapani73-79 OT
18/11/24HOlimpia Milano83-95
10/11/24HBrescia89-100
03/11/24AScafati77-85
26/10/24HVirtus Bologna69-74
19/10/24ABasket Napoli87-81
13/10/24HPistoia65-66
06/10/24HReggiana74-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW55%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%40%67%
Points / game85.786.884.8
Allowed / game84.384.684.0
Point differential+1.5+2.2+0.8
Avg total170.0171.4168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL18%
HomeLLLLW17%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %18%17%20%
Points / game77.076.377.8
Allowed / game80.478.782.4
Point differential-3.4-2.3-4.6
Avg total157.4155.0160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %18%17%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento1110191%92.283.3+8.9
2 Trapani119282%93.785.7+8.0
3 Brescia119282%90.585.3+5.2
4 Reggiana118373%79.774.0+5.7
5 Virtus Bologna118373%86.582.6+3.8
6 Tortona116555%85.583.7+1.7
7 Trieste116555%85.784.3+1.5
8 Treviso116555%85.685.7-0.1
9 Olimpia Milano116555%84.484.5-0.2
10 Venezia114736%75.476.4-1.0
11 Sassari114736%82.585.0-2.5
12 Scafati114736%86.592.5-5.9
13 Pistoia113827%81.485.5-4.2
14 Varese113827%90.298.6-8.5
15 Cremona112918%77.080.4-3.4
16 Basket Napoli110110%80.189.2-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste2316272591
Cremona1719222583
← all games of the day
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