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Scafati vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 94-85
27-25 22-25 18-21 27-14
Position#15
Record2-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game88.7
Scafati 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record2-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game105.0
ItalyLega ARound 8· Pala Mangano
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Scafati v Varese
04 Oct 2026
SKA77
VAR85
16 Nov 2024
SKA94
VAR85
14 Apr 2024
SKA102
VAR90
06 Nov 2022
SKA93
VAR101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Scafati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-99
77
99
-22
72avg 74
A21/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
74-99
74
99
-25
72avg 74
H28/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
92-102
92
102
-10
83avg 74
A05/05
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
97-86
97
86
+11
97avg 74
A28/09
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
93-95
93
95
-2
86avg 74
H06/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
87-101
87
101
-14
80avg 74
A13/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
69avg 74
H20/10
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
69-75
69
75
-6
55avg 74
A27/10
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
85-77
85
77
+8
87avg 74
H03/11
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
75-104
75
104
-29
59avg 74
A10/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
18-21
19-21
20-29
19-23
16-26
17-26
22-24
25-25
21-31
26-29
20-17
22-21
19-16
22-23
34-26
24-21
20-14
23-33
26-27
30-25
24-29
12-22
21-25
14-21
23-15
18-26
23-21
23-19
17-18
17-18
12-20
22-20
24-22
21-19
18-16
17-26
28-9
14-35
16-34
174.8Avg total
82.7Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.488.7172.1-5.329%
Season at home (3)85.385.0170.3+0.333%
Season away (4)82.091.5173.5-9.525%
Last 10 (10)82.792.1174.8-9.420%
Last 5 (5)78.888.0166.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.588.6166.1-11.119%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.486.2171.6-0.950%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
W
112-88
112
88
+24
108avg 82
A21/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
95-100
95
100
-5
82avg 82
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
96-78
96
78
+18
89avg 82
A05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
94-118
94
118
-24
81avg 82
A29/09
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
95-105
95
105
-10
86avg 82
H06/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
100-106
100
106
-6
85avg 82
A13/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
100-109
100
109
-9
94avg 82
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
102-95
102
95
+7
93avg 82
H27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
81-107
81
107
-26
66avg 82
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
104-95
104
95
+9
100avg 82
H10/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-25
29-16
27-28
21-19
19-31
30-27
25-19
21-23
26-19
28-23
23-15
19-21
24-29
28-28
23-36
19-25
28-29
32-22
13-31
22-23
27-25
31-25
14-29
28-27
33-24
24-28
21-27
22-30
26-18
21-32
31-14
24-31
15-27
17-23
21-24
28-33
24-22
27-22
25-30
28-21
198.0Avg total
97.9Scored
100.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)96.6105.0201.6-8.429%
Season at home (4)100.2101.0201.2-0.850%
Season away (3)91.7110.3202.0-18.70%
Last 10 (10)97.9100.1198.0-2.240%
Last 5 (5)97.4102.4199.8-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)87.296.3183.5-9.123%
vs Similar ◀ (15)92.987.2180.1+5.767%
vs Weaker (2)84.080.5164.5+3.550%
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
ScafatiVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A21/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H28/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A05/05
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A28/09
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H06/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A13/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H20/10
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/10
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H03/11
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A10/11
Lega A
85.6Avg total
42.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.483.7+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.440.484.9+4.079%-
Last 30 away (16)40.442.282.6-1.944%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.085.6-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.885.2+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.740.881.4-0.156%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.142.186.2+1.964%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A21/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A29/09
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H06/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A13/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H10/11
Lega A
101.9Avg total
52.4Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.945.991.7+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.345.794.0+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)43.446.189.5-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)52.449.5101.9+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)49.049.298.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)46.749.195.8-2.454%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.543.388.7+2.247%-
vs Weaker (2)43.544.588.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.6
51.5%
52.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.2
38.5%
35.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.216.7
75.2%
76.8%16.7
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 97.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.6
58.2%
52.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.0
36.4%
35.8%36.0
🏀 Free throws23.519.8
84.3%
76.8%19.8
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Scafati
LWLLLLWLLL
Varese
WLWLLLLWLW
#15
League position
#12
-13.3
Net rating
-2.7
110.2
Offensive rating
120.0
123.5
Defensive rating
122.7
54.0%
Effective FG%
56.4%
58.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
18.5%
Turnover %
14.2%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.5%
3-point %
36.4%
57.9%
Assist %
53.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 120.0Defence123.5 · 122.7Shooting54.0% · 56.4%3-point %38.5% · 36.4%Ball care18.5% · 14.2%Off. rebounds28.0% · 25.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Scafati   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Scafati wins
3
Varese wins
DateGameScore
14/04/24Scafati v Varese102-90
19/11/23Varese v Scafati94-93
30/04/23Varese v Scafati95-81
06/11/22Scafati v Varese93-101
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24ATreviso75-104
03/11/24HCremona85-77
27/10/24AVenezia69-75
20/10/24HOlimpia Milano78-83
13/10/24ATrapani87-101
06/10/24HBrescia93-95
28/09/24ASassari97-86
05/05/24ABasket Napoli92-102
28/04/24HSassari74-99
21/04/24AOlimpia Milano77-99
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HVirtus Bologna104-95
03/11/24ATrieste81-107
27/10/24HPistoia102-95
19/10/24HTrapani100-109
13/10/24ATrento100-106
06/10/24HTortona95-105
29/09/24ABrescia94-118
05/05/24APistoia96-78
28/04/24HTreviso95-100
21/04/24ASassari112-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Scafati
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game83.485.382.0
Allowed / game88.785.091.5
Point differential-5.3+0.3-9.5
Avg total172.1170.3173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW29%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game96.6100.291.7
Allowed / game105.0101.0110.3
Point differential-8.4-0.8-18.7
Avg total201.6201.2202.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento770100%87.775.4+12.3
2 Virtus Bologna76186%86.782.1+4.6
3 Trapani75271%93.384.3+9.0
4 Brescia75271%92.387.7+4.6
5 Trieste75271%88.784.6+4.1
6 Olimpia Milano75271%82.081.9+0.1
7 Tortona74357%83.680.7+2.9
8 Reggiana74357%80.378.6+1.7
9 Venezia73443%74.975.4-0.6
10 Pistoia73443%75.679.6-4.0
11 Treviso72529%83.687.4-3.9
12 Sassari72529%81.185.3-4.1
13 Scafati72529%83.488.7-5.3
14 Varese72529%96.6105.0-8.4
15 Cremona71614%75.680.4-4.9
16 Basket Napoli7070%81.389.4-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Scafati2722182794
Varese2525211485
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