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Croatia vs Cyprus Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 100-60
28-8 19-19 28-23 25-10
Position#5
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.5
Allowed / game67.0
Croatia 🏆
vs
Position#92
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· Stadion Gradski vrt
Other2027
Meetings · Croatia v Cyprus
28 Nov 2025
CROA100
CYPR60
26 Feb 2024
CROA92
CYPR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cyprus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
France
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
92-63
92
63
+29
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
89-76
89
76
+13
no box
H21/11
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
L
90-110
90
110
-20
no box
A24/11
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
69avg 86
H21/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
104-67
104
67
+37
112avg 86
A24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
101-68
101
68
+33
no box
A06/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
100-71
100
71
+29
no box
H09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
102-53
102
53
+49
no box
H16/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
A20/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
16-20
14-22
17-16
22-8
26-16
22-26
22-13
30-19
20-29
23-12
16-16
21-22
29-28
13-33
27-27
17-20
18-17
16-22
29-24
26-14
22-11
26-18
30-24
20-21
31-18
27-12
23-17
24-14
32-29
21-16
23-12
28-14
34-8
22-13
18-18
12-21
24-17
24-19
19-19
163.8Avg total
89.8Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)95.567.0162.5+28.5100%
Season at home (2)101.062.0163.0+39.0100%
Season away (2)90.072.0162.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.874.0163.8+15.870%
Last 5 (5)97.267.0164.2+30.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.286.5165.8-7.225%
vs Similar (6)86.089.2175.2-3.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.767.7154.4+19.085%
This opponent (Cyprus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCyprus
Date
Competition
Croatia
#7
L
63-92
63
92
-29
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
59-75
59
75
-16
no box
H21/11
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
no box
A24/11
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
L
62-108
62
108
-46
44avg 47
A21/02
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
67-104
67
104
-37
55avg 47
H24/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
64-91
64
91
-27
48avg 47
A28/08
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
69-96
69
96
-27
61avg 47
H30/08
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
L
47-91
47
91
-44
34avg 47
A31/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
L
61-93
61
93
-32
48avg 47
H02/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
L
54-89
54
89
-35
47avg 47
A04/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-22
16-26
26-22
13-22
15-20
16-17
19-14
9-24
14-28
20-19
24-21
12-17
14-28
15-25
21-29
12-26
14-26
11-22
18-26
24-30
13-23
13-24
23-11
15-33
13-22
18-21
16-26
22-27
9-19
8-22
12-29
18-21
13-15
13-27
15-26
20-25
6-24
13-16
24-27
11-22
154.0Avg total
61.6Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)61.692.4154.0-30.80%
Last 5 (5)59.092.0151.0-33.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)61.984.5146.4-22.57%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -10.8-10.8Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: -7.6-7.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -9.1-9.1
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -10.8-10.8Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: -7.6-7.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -9.1-9.1
CroatiaCyprus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A23/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H26/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/11
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A24/11
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H21/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A06/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
62-22
62
22
+40
H16/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A20/08
World Cup
82.7Avg total
46.6Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.036.678.7+5.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.234.479.6+10.873%-
Last 30 away (15)38.938.977.7+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)46.636.182.7+10.560%-
Last 5 (5)50.633.484.0+17.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.543.275.8-10.80%-
vs Similar (6)42.045.587.5-3.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.032.676.6+11.375%-
This opponent (Cyprus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CyprusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia
#7
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A26/02
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H21/11
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A24/11
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A21/02
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
25-48
25
48
-23
H24/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A28/08
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H30/08
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
L
17-41
17
41
-24
A31/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H02/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
L
19-40
19
40
-21
A04/09
EuroBasket
70.8Avg total
26.2Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.842.971.7-14.27%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.241.671.9-11.47%-
Last 30 away (16)27.544.171.6-16.66%-
Last 10 (10)26.244.670.8-18.40%-
Last 5 (5)23.842.666.4-18.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)28.842.971.7-14.27%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.3
55.3%
-36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.812.1
40.6%
-36.3
🏀 Free throws19.215.0
78.1%
-15.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cyprustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cyprus: 60.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.8 pts a game · 13% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.415.0
46.3%
-30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.6
27.1%
-22.8
🏀 Free throws10.47.8
75.0%
-7.8
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Croatia
WWWWWLLWWL
Cyprus
LLLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#92
+22.7
Net rating
-42.5
120.4
Offensive rating
83.5
97.6
Defensive rating
126.0
57.9%
Effective FG%
43.7%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
15.9%
Turnover %
20.8%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
21.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.17
40.6%
3-point %
27.1%
74.0%
Assist %
58.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ Croatia   ■ Cyprus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Croatia wins
0
Cyprus wins
DateGameScore
24/02/25Cyprus v Croatia67-104
26/02/24Croatia v Cyprus92-63
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/08/25ADenmark79-76
16/08/25HNorway102-53
09/08/25HDenmark100-71
06/08/25ANorway101-68
24/02/25ACyprus104-67
21/02/25HFrance80-83
24/11/24ABosnia & Herzegovina90-110
21/11/24HBosnia & Herzegovina89-76
26/02/24HCyprus92-63
23/02/24AFrance61-73
Cypruslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/09/25AItaly54-89
02/09/25HGeorgia61-93
31/08/25ASpain47-91
30/08/25HGreece69-96
28/08/25ABosnia & Herzegovina64-91
24/02/25HCroatia67-104
21/02/25ABosnia & Herzegovina62-108
24/11/24AFrance70-85
21/11/24HFrance59-75
26/02/24ACroatia63-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.5101.090.0
Allowed / game67.062.072.0
Point differential+28.5+39.0+18.0
Avg total162.5163.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cyprus
World Cup 2027
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philippines110100%87.046.0+41.0
2 Uruguay110100%93.060.0+33.0
3 Croatia440100%95.567.0+28.5
4 Greece110100%91.064.0+27.0
5 South Sudan220100%94.067.0+27.0
6 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
7 Iran110100%94.068.0+26.0
8 Japan110100%90.064.0+26.0
9 Saudi Arabia110100%75.051.0+24.0
10 Turkey110100%93.071.0+22.0
11 Portugal110100%83.062.0+21.0
12 Brazil110100%82.066.0+16.0
13 Jordan110100%74.059.0+15.0
14 Argentina110100%80.068.0+12.0
15 Guinea110100%82.070.0+12.0
16 Spain110100%74.064.0+10.0
17 Tunisia110100%88.078.0+10.0
18 Australia110100%84.079.0+5.0
19 Iceland110100%81.076.0+5.0
20 Serbia110100%90.086.0+4.0
21 South Korea110100%80.076.0+4.0
22 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
23 Estonia110100%94.093.0+1.0
24 Lebanon110100%75.074.0+1.0
25 Lithuania110100%89.088.0+1.0
26 Ukraine54180%81.473.2+8.2
27 Netherlands54180%79.873.0+6.8
28 Switzerland118373%76.864.8+12.0
29 Romania96367%75.774.0+1.7
30 Austria85362%89.276.2+13.0
31 Hungary53260%82.072.8+9.2
32 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
33 Cameroon21150%77.076.5+0.5
34 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
35 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
36 Cape Verde21150%80.593.0-12.5
37 Denmark52340%75.878.8-3.0
38 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
39 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
40 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
41 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
42 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
43 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
44 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
45 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
46 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
47 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
48 Great Britain1010%88.089.0-1.0
49 Qatar1010%74.075.0-1.0
50 Slovenia1010%93.094.0-1.0
51 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
52 China1010%76.080.0-4.0
53 Italy1010%76.081.0-5.0
54 New Zealand1010%79.084.0-5.0
55 Finland1010%82.089.0-7.0
56 Latvia1010%78.086.0-8.0
57 Nigeria1010%78.088.0-10.0
58 Cuba1010%68.080.0-12.0
59 Rwanda1010%70.082.0-12.0
60 Georgia1010%79.092.0-13.0
61 Libya2020%63.078.0-15.0
62 Syria1010%59.074.0-15.0
63 Chile1010%66.082.0-16.0
64 Montenegro1010%62.083.0-21.0
65 Bosnia & Herzegovina1010%71.093.0-22.0
66 India1010%51.075.0-24.0
67 Chinese Taipei1010%64.090.0-26.0
68 Iraq1010%68.094.0-26.0
69 Panama1010%60.093.0-33.0
70 Guam1010%46.087.0-41.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 70 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia28192825100
Cyprus819231060
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