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Croatia vs Cyprus Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 92-63
22-8 26-16 22-26 22-13
Position#7
Record9-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game67.1
Croatia 🏆
vs
Position#40
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.5
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· Centar Zamet
Other2023
Meetings · Croatia v Cyprus
28 Nov 2025
CROA100
CYPR60
26 Feb 2024
CROA92
CYPR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cyprus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Finland
#16
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
A11/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
100-75
100
75
+25
no box
A10/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
H13/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
64-56
64
56
+8
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
84-74
84
74
+10
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
89-49
89
49
+40
97avg 87
H19/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
98-62
98
62
+36
105avg 87
H22/07
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
95-61
95
61
+34
95avg 87
A29/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
91-79
91
79
+12
88avg 87
A02/08
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
52avg 87
A23/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
22-25
22-22
21-27
18-24
30-19
25-16
27-16
18-21
19-13
19-24
23-29
13-21
19-17
15-11
17-7
23-19
27-17
21-20
13-18
24-5
32-12
14-16
19-16
31-14
26-20
23-12
18-16
20-12
22-22
21-8
32-19
25-12
25-25
24-18
17-24
14-15
16-20
14-22
17-16
155.7Avg total
84.7Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.467.1150.5+16.382%
Season at home (5)86.865.0151.8+21.880%
Season away (6)80.568.8149.3+11.783%
Last 10 (10)84.771.0155.7+13.770%
Last 5 (5)86.864.8151.6+22.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.684.9160.5-9.212%
vs Similar (6)82.382.5164.8-0.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)80.967.5148.4+13.481%
This opponent (Cyprus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCyprus
Date
Competition
Ireland
#29
L
75-83 OT
75
83
-8
no box
A27/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
71-63
71
63
+8
no box
H30/06
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
L
49-78
49
78
-29
no box
A03/07
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
55-88
55
88
-33
no box
A25/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
69-102
69
102
-33
no box
A28/08
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
65-69
65
69
-4
no box
H10/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
66-75
66
75
-9
no box
H13/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
66-75
66
75
-9
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
50-75
50
75
-25
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
L
66-99
66
99
-33
44avg 44
H23/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
11-23
21-10
17-16
22-21
21-19
11-6
17-17
15-19
5-18
15-21
14-20
15-19
15-29
11-16
14-24
17-35
22-23
18-23
12-21
19-19
16-21
13-14
17-15
8-16
13-17
27-24
18-18
9-21
27-17
22-26
8-11
11-24
20-16
6-18
13-17
27-28
11-23
18-26
10-22
143.9Avg total
63.2Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)63.580.0143.5-16.58%
Season at home (7)69.178.3147.4-9.114%
Season away (6)56.882.0138.8-25.20%
Last 10 (10)63.280.7143.9-17.510%
Last 5 (5)62.678.6141.2-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)63.781.9145.6-18.27%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -4.1-4.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -4.1-4.1
CroatiaCyprus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland
#16
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A10/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H13/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H26/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
56-17
56
17
+39
H19/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H22/07
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A29/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A02/08
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A23/02
EuroBasket
79.8Avg total
44.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.375.8+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.033.075.0+9.071%-
Last 30 away (16)37.439.176.6-1.738%-
Last 10 (10)44.535.379.8+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)47.031.478.4+15.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.242.077.2-6.812%-
vs Similar (6)39.540.279.7-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.831.973.7+9.881%-
This opponent (Cyprus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CyprusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ireland
#29
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A27/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H30/06
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A03/07
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A25/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A28/08
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H10/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H13/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H23/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A26/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H23/02
EuroBasket
74.2Avg total
31.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.442.373.6-10.913%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.940.972.7-9.013%-
Last 30 away (15)30.943.774.5-12.813%-
Last 10 (10)31.942.374.2-10.410%-
Last 5 (5)32.240.472.6-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)31.442.373.6-10.913%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.9
54.4%
50.6%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.1
37.5%
32.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.017.4
75.7%
71.4%17.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cyprustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cyprus: 62.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.415.2
41.8%
50.6%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.6
30.3%
32.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws14.09.2
65.7%
71.4%9.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Croatia
LWWWWWWLWL
Cyprus
LLLLLLLLWL
#7
League position
#40
+23.8
Net rating
-23.6
113.1
Offensive rating
85.0
89.2
Defensive rating
108.5
55.3%
Effective FG%
43.3%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
19.3%
Turnover %
20.9%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.5%
3-point %
30.3%
73.9%
Assist %
46.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 85.0Defence89.2 · 108.5Shooting55.3% · 43.3%3-point %37.5% · 30.3%Ball care19.3% · 20.9%Off. rebounds31.0% · 23.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Croatia   ■ Cyprus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Croatia wins
0
Cyprus wins
No previous meetings.
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24AFrance61-73
02/08/23ALuxembourg91-79
29/07/23AIreland95-61
22/07/23HLuxembourg98-62
19/07/23HIreland89-49
26/02/23HAustria84-74
23/02/23ASwitzerland64-56
13/11/22HPoland79-87
10/11/22AAustria100-75
11/09/22AFinland86-94
Cypruslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24HBosnia & Herzegovina66-99
26/02/23ARomania50-75
23/02/23HPortugal66-75
13/11/22HBulgaria66-75
10/11/22HRomania65-69
28/08/22APortugal69-102
25/08/22ABulgaria55-88
03/07/22AAustria49-78
30/06/22HSwitzerland71-63
27/02/22AIreland75-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL82%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%80%83%
Points / game83.486.880.5
Allowed / game67.165.068.8
Point differential+16.3+21.8+11.7
Avg total150.5151.8149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cyprus
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeWLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game63.569.156.8
Allowed / game80.078.382.0
Point differential-16.5-9.1-25.2
Avg total143.5147.4138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia220100%76.562.0+14.5
2 Italy220100%85.071.0+14.0
3 Slovenia220100%87.576.0+11.5
4 France220100%73.562.5+11.0
5 Belgium220100%66.556.5+10.0
6 Latvia220100%71.563.5+8.0
7 Estonia220100%69.564.0+5.5
8 Greece220100%73.068.0+5.0
9 Great Britain110100%98.094.0+4.0
10 Croatia119282%83.467.1+16.3
11 Portugal86275%82.971.6+11.2
12 North Macedonia86275%75.165.0+10.1
13 Bulgaria129375%79.472.2+7.2
14 Slovakia128467%73.268.8+4.4
15 Poland85362%78.573.9+4.6
16 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
17 Denmark169756%77.272.2+5.1
18 Bosnia & Herzegovina21150%81.570.0+11.5
19 Germany21150%73.564.0+9.5
20 Lithuania21150%71.064.5+6.5
21 Iceland21150%72.570.5+2.0
22 Montenegro21150%78.077.5+0.5
23 Turkey21150%78.081.0-3.0
24 Israel21150%75.579.0-3.5
25 Sweden21150%77.082.5-5.5
26 Finland21150%75.081.0-6.0
27 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
28 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
29 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
30 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
31 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
32 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
33 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
34 Cyprus131128%63.580.0-16.5
35 Netherlands2020%83.086.0-3.0
36 Spain2020%64.068.5-4.5
37 Czech Republic1010%64.072.0-8.0
38 Ukraine2020%75.083.0-8.0
39 Georgia2020%66.075.5-9.5
40 Hungary2020%63.576.5-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia2226222292
Cyprus816261363
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