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Lithuania vs Germany Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 88-107
20-32 27-23 25-28 16-24
Position#4
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game68.5
Lithuania
vs
Germany 🏆
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game105.5
Allowed / game79.5
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· Nokia Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Lithuania v Germany
30 Aug 2025
LITH88
GERM107
04 Sep 2022
LITH107
GERM109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lithuania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Germany winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLithuania
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H07/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
63-98
63
98
-35
no box
A09/09
World Cup
Poland
#24
W
83-64
83
64
+19
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
59-65
59
65
-6
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
82-67
82
67
+15
80avg 90
A21/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
94-72
94
72
+22
103avg 90
H24/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
82-48
82
48
+34
86avg 90
A21/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 90
H24/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
94-70
94
70
+24
95avg 90
A27/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
94-67
94
67
+27
98avg 90
H29/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
20-22
22-20
25-21
20-28
18-21
9-28
16-21
16-19
19-11
27-19
21-15
18-17
19-24
13-9
9-15
23-9
21-18
20-16
18-24
23-27
20-19
21-16
30-10
15-18
22-14
25-10
20-6
28-19
32-24
7-21
15-11
23-15
18-18
24-17
29-20
26-15
21-13
19-17
28-22
154.3Avg total
83.3Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)94.068.5162.5+25.5100%
Season at home (1)94.067.0161.0+27.0100%
Season away (1)94.070.0164.0+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.371.0154.3+12.380%
Last 5 (5)89.266.4155.6+22.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)71.290.0161.2-18.80%
vs Similar (9)84.378.0162.3+6.356%
vs Weaker (17)84.968.2153.1+16.688%
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGermany
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#19
W
85-61
85
61
+24
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
62-67
62
67
-5
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
72-73
72
73
-1
57avg 83
A22/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
80-61
80
61
+19
78avg 83
H25/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
95-76
95
76
+19
99avg 83
A20/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
88avg 83
H23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
60avg 83
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Serbia
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
68avg 83
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Montenegro
#19
W
106-76
106
76
+30
101avg 83
A27/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
105-83
105
83
+22
106avg 83
H29/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-10
19-20
11-20
27-11
19-7
8-21
18-11
17-28
18-26
19-11
19-18
16-18
23-19
18-12
19-17
20-13
26-17
24-21
25-13
20-25
28-21
34-14
13-22
19-28
17-25
11-10
21-16
24-20
15-18
17-20
23-32
26-21
24-20
22-23
33-12
27-21
27-17
32-25
25-24
21-17
159.7Avg total
85.3Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)105.579.5185.0+26.0100%
Season at home (1)105.083.0188.0+22.0100%
Season away (1)106.076.0182.0+30.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.374.4159.7+10.970%
Last 5 (5)91.881.2173.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.585.0167.5-2.550%
vs Similar (5)92.089.4181.4+2.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.674.4165.0+16.281%
This opponent (Lithuania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
LithuaniaGermany
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LithuaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H07/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A09/09
World Cup
Poland
#24
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H22/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A26/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A21/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H24/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H24/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A27/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H29/08
EuroBasket
80.7Avg total
43.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.180.0+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.839.482.2+3.362%-
Last 30 away (14)40.936.677.5+4.271%-
Last 10 (10)43.537.280.7+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.636.482.0+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.841.877.5-6.025%-
vs Similar (9)43.840.984.7+2.967%-
vs Weaker (17)42.335.878.1+6.576%-
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#19
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H22/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A25/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H25/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A20/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Serbia
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Montenegro
#19
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A27/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H29/08
EuroBasket
78.6Avg total
42.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.437.581.9+6.973%-
Last 30 at home (20)44.736.281.0+8.575%-
Last 30 away (10)43.839.983.7+3.970%-
Last 10 (10)42.935.778.6+7.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.684.0+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.040.880.8-0.850%-
vs Similar (5)44.445.489.8-1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.235.080.2+10.386%-
This opponent (Lithuania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lithuaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.5
57.1%
52.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.8
35.9%
33.4%26.2
🏀 Free throws23.816.0
67.4%
73.1%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Germanytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.0
54.5%
52.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.110.7
32.3%
33.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.816.8
77.1%
73.1%16.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 30 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lithuania
WWWWWWLWLW
Germany
WWLWWWWLLW
#4
League position
#1
+25.0
Net rating
+15.9
114.1
Offensive rating
119.2
89.1
Defensive rating
103.3
55.8%
Effective FG%
51.5%
44.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
44.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.9%
3-point %
32.3%
73.9%
Assist %
57.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 119.2Defence89.1 · 103.3Shooting55.8% · 51.5%3-point %35.9% · 32.3%Ball care16.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds31.1% · 44.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Lithuania   ■ Germany
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lithuania wins
1
Germany wins
DateGameScore
04/09/22Lithuania v Germany107-109 OT
Lithuanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/08/25HMontenegro94-67
27/08/25AGreat Britain94-70
24/02/25HEstonia82-75
21/02/25APoland82-48
24/11/24HNorth Macedonia94-72
21/11/24ANorth Macedonia82-67
26/02/24AEstonia59-65
22/02/24HPoland83-64
09/09/23ALatvia63-98
07/09/23HSlovenia100-84
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/08/25HSweden105-83
27/08/25AMontenegro106-76
16/08/25HSerbia81-91
15/08/25HTurkey73-71
23/02/25HBulgaria94-85
20/02/25AMontenegro95-76
25/11/24HSweden80-61
22/11/24ASweden72-73
25/02/24ABulgaria62-67
22/02/24HMontenegro85-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lithuania
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.094.094.0
Allowed / game68.567.070.0
Point differential+25.5+27.0+24.0
Avg total162.5161.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Germany
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game105.5105.0106.0
Allowed / game79.583.076.0
Point differential+26.0+22.0+30.0
Avg total185.0188.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France110100%92.064.0+28.0
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%91.064.0+27.0
3 Germany220100%105.579.5+26.0
4 Lithuania220100%94.068.5+25.5
5 Serbia220100%89.066.5+22.5
6 Turkey220100%92.575.5+17.0
7 Finland220100%101.084.5+16.5
8 Georgia110100%83.069.0+14.0
9 Israel110100%83.071.0+12.0
10 Poland110100%105.095.0+10.0
11 Greece110100%75.066.0+9.0
12 Portugal21150%65.565.0+0.5
13 Latvia21150%72.581.5-9.0
14 Italy1010%66.075.0-9.0
15 Slovenia1010%95.0105.0-10.0
16 Iceland1010%71.083.0-12.0
17 Sweden2020%86.599.0-12.5
18 Czech Republic2020%64.077.0-13.0
19 Spain1010%69.083.0-14.0
20 Estonia2020%67.085.0-18.0
21 Cyprus1010%64.091.0-27.0
22 Great Britain2020%74.5101.5-27.0
23 Belgium1010%64.092.0-28.0
24 Montenegro2020%71.5100.0-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lithuania2027251688
Germany32232824107
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