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Germany vs Portugal Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 12:15
Final 85-58
17-12 14-20 21-19 33-7
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game105.8
Allowed / game73.0
Germany 🏆
vs
Position#17
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game73.6
EuropeEuroBasket· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Germany winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portugal winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGermany
Date
Competition
Sweden
#26
W
80-61
80
61
+19
78avg 88
H25/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
95-76
95
76
+19
99avg 88
A20/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
88avg 88
H23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
60avg 88
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Serbia
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
68avg 88
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Montenegro
#19
W
106-76
106
76
+30
101avg 88
A27/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
105-83
105
83
+22
106avg 88
H29/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
107-88
107
88
+19
101avg 88
A30/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
120-57
120
57
+63
128avg 88
H01/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
91-61
91
61
+30
87avg 88
A03/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
18-12
19-17
20-13
26-17
24-21
25-13
20-25
28-21
34-14
13-22
19-28
17-25
11-10
21-16
24-20
15-18
17-20
23-32
26-21
24-20
22-23
33-12
27-21
27-17
32-25
25-24
21-17
32-20
23-27
28-25
24-16
32-19
26-12
30-9
32-17
21-19
29-17
19-13
22-12
170.1Avg total
95.2Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)105.873.0178.8+32.8100%
Season at home (2)112.570.0182.5+42.5100%
Season away (3)101.375.0176.3+26.3100%
Last 10 (10)95.274.9170.1+20.390%
Last 5 (5)105.873.0178.8+32.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.585.0167.5-2.550%
vs Similar (3)90.384.0174.3+6.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)91.973.8165.7+18.183%
This opponent (Portugal) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortugal
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#36
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
78avg 62
H22/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 62
A25/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
69avg 62
A21/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
60-88
60
88
-28
42avg 62
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
62-50
62
50
+12
54avg 62
A27/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
56avg 62
H29/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
54-95
54
95
-41
41avg 62
A30/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
62-78
62
78
-16
51avg 62
H01/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
68-65
68
65
+3
61avg 62
A03/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
21-16
15-27
17-18
22-10
27-14
15-24
18-26
17-24
32-20
19-22
14-17
18-18
14-29
21-18
25-19
17-24
15-17
18-30
10-17
13-10
19-19
13-11
17-10
19-23
14-20
16-21
20-16
13-22
14-29
10-22
17-22
21-23
7-27
15-15
19-13
14-14
13-18
20-13
21-20
147.0Avg total
69.6Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)63.073.6136.6-10.640%
Season at home (2)65.579.0144.5-13.50%
Season away (3)61.370.0131.3-8.767%
Last 10 (10)69.677.4147.0-7.840%
Last 5 (5)63.073.6136.6-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)64.577.6142.2-13.127%
vs Similar (6)80.380.2160.5+0.233%
vs Weaker (13)78.768.5147.2+10.277%
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
GermanyPortugal
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#26
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H25/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A20/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Serbia
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Montenegro
#19
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A27/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H29/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A30/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
58-31
58
31
+27
H01/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/09
EuroBasket
85.7Avg total
48.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.337.182.4+8.277%-
Last 30 at home (20)45.835.681.4+10.280%-
Last 30 away (10)44.340.284.5+4.170%-
Last 10 (10)48.137.685.7+10.580%-
Last 5 (5)53.639.893.4+13.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.040.880.8-0.850%-
vs Similar (3)46.747.394.0-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.035.281.2+10.987%-
This opponent (Portugal) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortugalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#36
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H22/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A25/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A21/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A27/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H29/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A30/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H01/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A03/09
EuroBasket
74.9Avg total
35.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.576.3+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.337.676.9+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)38.337.475.8+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)35.639.374.9-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)29.441.070.4-11.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.538.170.6-5.536%-
vs Similar (6)41.741.383.0+0.333%-
vs Weaker (13)42.735.378.0+7.477%-
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Germanytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany: 95.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.221.6
61.4%
52.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.9
37.0%
33.4%35.7
🏀 Free throws20.416.1
78.9%
73.1%16.1
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portugaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portugal: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.317.0
44.4%
52.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.47.9
27.8%
33.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.310.7
65.6%
73.1%10.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Germany
WWWWWLWWWW
Portugal
WLLLWLLLWW
#1
League position
#17
+28.6
Net rating
-11.5
128.7
Offensive rating
93.6
100.1
Defensive rating
105.1
58.5%
Effective FG%
43.3%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
16.0%
Turnover %
19.1%
43.6%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.0%
3-point %
27.8%
58.8%
Assist %
68.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence128.7 · 93.6Defence100.1 · 105.1Shooting58.5% · 43.3%3-point %37.0% · 27.8%Ball care16.0% · 19.1%Off. rebounds43.6% · 33.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Germany   ■ Portugal
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Germany wins
0
Portugal wins
No previous meetings.
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/09/25AFinland91-61
01/09/25HGreat Britain120-57
30/08/25ALithuania107-88
29/08/25HSweden105-83
27/08/25AMontenegro106-76
16/08/25HSerbia81-91
15/08/25HTurkey73-71
23/02/25HBulgaria94-85
20/02/25AMontenegro95-76
25/11/24HSweden80-61
Portugallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/09/25AEstonia68-65
01/09/25HLatvia62-78
30/08/25ATurkey54-95
29/08/25HSerbia69-80
27/08/25ACzech Republic62-50
24/02/25HUkraine60-88
21/02/25AIsrael78-84
25/11/24ASlovenia82-83
22/11/24HSlovenia82-74
25/02/24AUkraine79-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Germany
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game105.8112.5101.3
Allowed / game73.070.075.0
Point differential+32.8+42.5+26.3
Avg total178.8182.5176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portugal
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%0%67%
Points / game63.065.561.3
Allowed / game73.679.070.0
Point differential-10.6-13.5-8.7
Avg total136.6144.5131.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany550100%105.873.0+32.8
2 Turkey660100%90.773.0+17.7
3 Greece54180%86.470.8+15.6
4 France54180%92.278.2+14.0
5 Serbia54180%86.873.6+13.2
6 Italy54180%79.266.6+12.6
7 Lithuania54180%86.278.6+7.6
8 Latvia53260%82.476.8+5.6
9 Finland53260%85.281.2+4.0
10 Slovenia53260%93.890.4+3.4
11 Israel53260%83.480.2+3.2
12 Poland53260%80.077.4+2.6
13 Bosnia & Herzegovina53260%80.280.2+0.0
14 Spain52340%79.470.8+8.6
15 Georgia52340%73.477.2-3.8
16 Belgium52340%72.680.6-8.0
17 Portugal52340%63.073.6-10.6
18 Estonia51420%70.479.4-9.0
19 Montenegro51420%75.691.0-15.4
20 Great Britain51420%70.896.8-26.0
21 Sweden61517%80.383.8-3.5
22 Iceland5050%72.687.8-15.2
23 Czech Republic5050%67.686.8-19.2
24 Cyprus5050%59.092.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Germany1714213385
Portugal122019758
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