PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Croatia vs Latvia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 115-80
23-14 37-27 25-16 30-23
Position#5
Record9-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game70.3
Croatia 🏆
vs
Position#40
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Latvia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Norway
#75
W
101-68
101
68
+33
no box
A06/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
100-71
100
71
+29
no box
H09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
102-53
102
53
+49
no box
H16/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
A20/08
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
100-60
100
60
+40
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Israel
#67
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Germany
#8
W
93-88
93
88
+5
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
no box
A01/03
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
123-50
123
50
+73
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Israel
#67
W
103-75
103
75
+28
no box
H06/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
31-18
27-12
23-17
24-14
32-29
21-16
23-12
28-14
34-8
22-13
18-18
12-21
24-17
24-19
19-19
28-8
19-19
28-23
25-10
25-25
22-17
24-14
14-15
20-26
26-24
29-22
18-16
24-22
26-19
17-21
10-15
35-12
24-14
33-10
31-14
25-12
22-19
27-20
29-24
167.8Avg total
97.5Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)97.570.3167.8+27.290%
Season at home (5)99.669.4169.0+30.2100%
Season away (5)95.471.2166.6+24.280%
Last 10 (10)97.570.3167.8+27.290%
Last 5 (5)98.675.0173.6+23.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)86.089.2175.2-3.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)90.569.5159.9+21.083%
This opponent (Latvia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatvia
Date
Competition
Serbia
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
74avg 79
H30/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
78-62
78
62
+16
79avg 79
A01/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
109-75
109
75
+34
113avg 79
A03/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 79
A06/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#56
L
78-86
78
86
-8
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
86-68
86
68
+18
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
72-92
72
92
-20
no box
A01/03
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
72-69
72
69
+3
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
112-66
112
66
+46
no box
H06/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
20-20
18-25
24-17
23-21
27-7
15-15
13-19
30-24
28-20
28-12
23-19
18-28
19-19
17-19
25-22
12-26
17-22
21-17
28-21
20-24
20-13
29-17
17-14
23-21
25-21
14-24
20-18
16-23
20-31
18-16
18-22
18-26
23-7
11-21
20-15
22-22
32-20
30-9
28-15
162.2Avg total
84.8Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.777.5161.2+6.250%
Season at home (3)90.778.7169.3+12.033%
Season away (3)76.776.3153.0+0.367%
Last 10 (10)84.877.4162.2+7.450%
Last 5 (5)84.875.8160.6+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.490.8167.2-14.40%
vs Similar (9)81.679.8161.3+1.867%
vs Weaker (16)85.966.9152.9+19.0100%
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +7.6+7.6Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +8.2+8.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +3.4+3.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +7.6+7.6Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +8.2+8.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +3.4+3.4
CroatiaLatvia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norway
#75
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A06/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
62-22
62
22
+40
H16/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A20/08
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H28/11
World Cup
Israel
#67
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A01/12
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H27/02
World Cup
Germany
#8
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A01/03
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
59-26
59
26
+33
A03/07
World Cup
Israel
#67
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H06/07
World Cup
86.0Avg total
50.1Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.236.281.4+9.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.634.781.3+11.980%-
Last 30 away (15)43.837.781.5+6.160%-
Last 10 (10)50.135.986.0+14.280%-
Last 5 (5)49.838.087.8+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)42.045.587.5-3.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.033.979.9+12.179%-
This opponent (Latvia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H30/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A01/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A03/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A06/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#56
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H28/11
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A01/12
World Cup
Poland
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H27/02
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A01/03
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A03/07
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H06/07
World Cup
84.8Avg total
43.1Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.180.5+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.637.879.4+3.867%-
Last 30 away (18)41.439.981.3+1.556%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.784.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.841.685.4+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.645.686.2-5.020%-
vs Similar (9)38.041.879.8-3.822%-
vs Weaker (16)43.735.579.2+8.294%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.3
55.3%
-36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.812.1
40.6%
-36.3
🏀 Free throws19.215.0
78.1%
-15.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Latviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvia: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.715.4
51.9%
-30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.6
35.9%
-34.8
🏀 Free throws21.015.7
74.8%
-15.7
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Croatia
WWLWWWWWWW
Latvia
WWLLWLLWWL
#5
League position
#40
+22.7
Net rating
+7.8
120.4
Offensive rating
113.6
97.6
Defensive rating
105.8
57.9%
Effective FG%
52.9%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.0%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
40.6%
3-point %
35.9%
74.0%
Assist %
72.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Croatia   ■ Latvia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Croatia wins
0
Latvia wins
No previous meetings.
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/26HIsrael103-75
03/07/26ACyprus123-50
01/03/26AGermany89-91 OT
27/02/26HGermany93-88
01/12/25AIsrael85-71
28/11/25HCyprus100-60
20/08/25ADenmark79-76
16/08/25HNorway102-53
09/08/25HDenmark100-71
06/08/25ANorway101-68
Latvialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/26HAustria112-66
03/07/26ANetherlands72-69
01/03/26APoland72-92
27/02/26HPoland82-84
01/12/25AAustria86-68
28/11/25HNetherlands78-86
06/09/25ALithuania79-88
03/09/25ACzech Republic109-75
01/09/25APortugal78-62
30/08/25HSerbia80-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game97.599.695.4
Allowed / game70.369.471.2
Point differential+27.2+30.2+24.2
Avg total167.8169.0166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%80%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Latvia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game83.790.776.7
Allowed / game77.578.776.3
Point differential+6.2+12.0+0.3
Avg total161.2169.3153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia660100%94.267.2+27.0
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada660100%104.081.8+22.2
4 Brazil660100%93.775.3+18.3
5 Poland660100%94.379.3+15.0
6 Turkey660100%88.573.7+14.8
7 Croatia109190%97.570.3+27.2
8 Ivory Coast76186%93.175.4+17.7
9 Cameroon76186%76.970.4+6.4
10 Jordan65183%85.060.0+25.0
11 Senegal65183%88.267.7+20.5
12 Argentina65183%86.266.7+19.5
13 Lebanon65183%89.572.3+17.2
14 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
15 Uruguay65183%83.568.2+15.3
16 Germany65183%92.380.0+12.3
17 Iran65183%75.363.5+11.8
18 France65183%84.272.8+11.3
19 Italy65183%87.376.8+10.5
20 Dominican Republic43175%91.277.8+13.5
21 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
22 South Sudan75271%82.466.1+16.3
23 Angola75271%86.971.9+15.0
24 Japan75271%86.475.4+11.0
25 Mali75271%80.175.6+4.6
26 Ukraine107370%81.974.6+7.3
27 New Zealand64267%93.278.8+14.3
28 Tunisia64267%74.868.5+6.3
29 Serbia64267%86.581.3+5.2
30 Montenegro64267%68.572.3-3.8
31 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
32 Guinea74357%72.366.7+5.6
33 China74357%83.980.9+3.0
34 Nigeria74357%77.175.1+2.0
35 Qatar74357%76.775.6+1.1
36 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
37 Sweden74357%82.983.4-0.6
38 Finland74357%78.481.0-2.6
39 Hungary116555%81.376.6+4.6
40 Latvia63350%83.777.5+6.2
41 Portugal63350%80.874.8+6.0
42 Lithuania63350%90.585.0+5.5
43 Greece63350%72.268.0+4.2
44 Egypt63350%77.773.7+4.0
45 Netherlands105550%80.377.3+3.0
46 Slovenia63350%85.583.5+2.0
47 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
48 South Korea63350%78.078.0+0.0
49 Cape Verde63350%79.881.8-2.0
50 Georgia63350%80.882.8-2.0
51 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
52 Colombia63350%83.288.0-4.8
53 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
54 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
55 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
56 Estonia73443%82.381.1+1.1
57 Saudi Arabia73443%77.078.9-1.9
58 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
59 Bosnia & Herzegovina62433%79.077.2+1.8
60 Israel62433%79.779.5+0.2
61 Philippines62433%77.579.5-2.0
62 Puerto Rico62433%89.592.2-2.7
63 Bahamas62433%90.593.5-3.0
64 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
65 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
66 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
67 Panama62433%75.887.5-11.7
68 Syria62433%66.078.3-12.3
69 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
70 D.R. Congo72529%66.685.0-18.4
71 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
72 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
73 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia23372530115
Latvia1427162380
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.