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Latvia vs Netherlands Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 78-86
12-26 17-22 21-17 28-21
Position#40
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#56
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game71.8
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· Xiaomi Arena
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Latvia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Netherlands winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatvia
Date
Competition
Belgium
#18
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
H22/11
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
85-83
85
83
+2
no box
A25/11
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
83-66
83
66
+17
79avg 78
H20/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
89-68
89
68
+21
86avg 78
A23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
62avg 78
H27/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
72-70
72
70
+2
64avg 78
A29/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
74avg 78
H30/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
78-62
78
62
+16
79avg 78
A01/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
109-75
109
75
+34
113avg 78
A03/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 78
A06/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
25-19
17-13
16-15
16-20
20-21
22-25
27-17
20-17
21-17
22-16
20-16
20-15
19-18
30-18
20-17
21-24
18-23
16-25
18-21
17-21
21-21
25-19
9-9
18-22
20-20
18-25
24-17
23-21
27-7
15-15
13-19
30-24
28-20
28-12
23-19
18-28
19-19
17-19
25-22
158.4Avg total
82.3Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.376.1158.4+6.270%
Last 5 (5)83.675.8159.4+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.092.7168.7-16.70%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.277.8159.0+3.575%
vs Weaker (19)84.367.9152.2+16.4100%
This opponent (Netherlands) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNetherlands
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#12
L
94-98
94
98
-4
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
74-96
74
96
-22
no box
A21/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
H24/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
L
69-73
69
73
-4
68avg 58
H21/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
53-63
53
63
-10
49avg 58
A24/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
H02/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
A09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
A13/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
97-70
97
70
+27
no box
H20/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
18-27
25-16
28-27
12-16
27-16
19-30
14-12
21-21
24-25
16-30
13-20
25-10
12-17
17-14
23-29
14-20
15-11
21-18
19-24
18-18
5-16
16-14
14-15
21-12
13-23
18-14
13-15
22-15
22-17
18-21
19-17
10-19
21-20
17-30
22-14
25-29
26-12
16-14
30-15
151.3Avg total
75.2Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.271.8150.0+6.575%
Season at home (2)81.067.0148.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)75.576.5152.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)75.276.1151.3-0.940%
Last 5 (5)73.270.0143.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)70.979.5150.4-8.612%
vs Similar ◀ (3)71.778.3150.0-6.733%
vs Weaker (2)89.070.0159.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Latvia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
LatviaNetherlands
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LatviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium
#18
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H22/11
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/11
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H20/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A29/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H30/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A01/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A03/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A06/09
EuroBasket
82.0Avg total
41.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.178.7+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.736.176.8+4.667%-
Last 30 away (18)42.237.880.0+4.456%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.282.0+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.684.8+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.744.083.7-4.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.140.877.9-3.612%-
vs Weaker (19)43.834.578.3+9.389%-
This opponent (Netherlands) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NetherlandsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#12
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A23/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H26/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A21/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H24/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A24/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H02/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A13/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H20/08
World Cup
74.6Avg total
37.4Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.739.676.3-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.438.977.3-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)35.240.275.4-5.119%-
Last 10 (10)37.437.274.6+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.636.272.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)36.639.676.2-3.128%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)30.741.372.0-10.70%-
vs Weaker (2)47.536.584.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Latvia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Latviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvia: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.715.4
51.9%
-30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.6
35.9%
-34.8
🏀 Free throws21.015.7
74.8%
-15.7
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Netherlandstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Netherlands: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.315.5
49.5%
-31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.2
35.5%
-27.5
🏀 Free throws20.213.7
67.8%
-13.7
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Latvia
LWWLWLWWWW
Netherlands
WLWWLLWLLL
#40
League position
#56
+7.8
Net rating
-7.9
113.6
Offensive rating
97.5
105.8
Defensive rating
105.3
52.9%
Effective FG%
51.2%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.0%
Turnover %
23.6%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.9%
3-point %
35.5%
72.6%
Assist %
81.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Latvia   ■ Netherlands
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Latvia wins
0
Netherlands wins
No previous meetings.
Latvialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/09/25ALithuania79-88
03/09/25ACzech Republic109-75
01/09/25APortugal78-62
30/08/25HSerbia80-84
29/08/25AEstonia72-70
27/08/25HTurkey73-93
23/02/25ASlovakia89-68
20/02/25HSpain83-66
25/11/24ABelgium85-83
22/11/24HBelgium75-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/08/25HBulgaria97-70
13/08/25AAustria70-83
09/08/25ABulgaria81-70
02/08/25HAustria65-64
24/02/25AGreece53-63
21/02/25HGreat Britain69-73
24/11/24HCzech Republic77-70
21/11/24ACzech Republic74-96
26/02/24HGreece72-74
23/02/24AGreat Britain94-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Latvia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Netherlands
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game78.281.075.5
Allowed / game71.867.076.5
Point differential+6.5+14.0-1.0
Avg total150.0148.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philippines110100%87.046.0+41.0
2 Uruguay110100%93.060.0+33.0
3 Croatia440100%95.567.0+28.5
4 Greece110100%91.064.0+27.0
5 South Sudan220100%94.067.0+27.0
6 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
7 Iran110100%94.068.0+26.0
8 Japan110100%90.064.0+26.0
9 Saudi Arabia110100%75.051.0+24.0
10 Turkey110100%93.071.0+22.0
11 Portugal110100%83.062.0+21.0
12 Brazil110100%82.066.0+16.0
13 Jordan110100%74.059.0+15.0
14 Argentina110100%80.068.0+12.0
15 Guinea110100%82.070.0+12.0
16 Spain110100%74.064.0+10.0
17 Tunisia110100%88.078.0+10.0
18 Australia110100%84.079.0+5.0
19 Iceland110100%81.076.0+5.0
20 Serbia110100%90.086.0+4.0
21 South Korea110100%80.076.0+4.0
22 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
23 Estonia110100%94.093.0+1.0
24 Lebanon110100%75.074.0+1.0
25 Lithuania110100%89.088.0+1.0
26 Ukraine54180%81.473.2+8.2
27 Netherlands43175%78.271.8+6.5
28 Switzerland118373%76.864.8+12.0
29 Romania96367%75.774.0+1.7
30 Austria85362%89.276.2+13.0
31 Hungary53260%82.072.8+9.2
32 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
33 Cameroon21150%77.076.5+0.5
34 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
35 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
36 Cape Verde21150%80.593.0-12.5
37 Denmark52340%75.878.8-3.0
38 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
39 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
40 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
41 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
42 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
43 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
44 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
45 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
46 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
47 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
48 Great Britain1010%88.089.0-1.0
49 Qatar1010%74.075.0-1.0
50 Slovenia1010%93.094.0-1.0
51 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
52 China1010%76.080.0-4.0
53 Italy1010%76.081.0-5.0
54 New Zealand1010%79.084.0-5.0
55 Finland1010%82.089.0-7.0
56 Nigeria1010%78.088.0-10.0
57 Cuba1010%68.080.0-12.0
58 Rwanda1010%70.082.0-12.0
59 Georgia1010%79.092.0-13.0
60 Libya2020%63.078.0-15.0
61 Syria1010%59.074.0-15.0
62 Chile1010%66.082.0-16.0
63 Montenegro1010%62.083.0-21.0
64 Bosnia & Herzegovina1010%71.093.0-22.0
65 India1010%51.075.0-24.0
66 Chinese Taipei1010%64.090.0-26.0
67 Iraq1010%68.094.0-26.0
68 Panama1010%60.093.0-33.0
69 Guam1010%46.087.0-41.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 69 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Latvia1217212878
Netherlands2622172186
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