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Croatia vs Poland Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 82-68
17-18 17-17 30-20 18-13
Position-
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Croatia 🏆
vs
Poland
Position-
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International· Marino Cvetkovic
Other2024
Meetings · Croatia v Poland
28 Feb 2027
CROA v POLA
upcoming
23 Jun 2024
CROA82
POLA68
13 Nov 2022
CROA79
POLA87
22 Feb 2019
CROA69
POLA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Austria
#30
W
100-75
100
75
+25
no box
A10/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
H13/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
64-56
64
56
+8
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
84-74
84
74
+10
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
89-49
89
49
+40
97avg 89
H19/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
98-62
98
62
+36
105avg 89
H22/07
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
95-61
95
61
+34
95avg 89
A29/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
91-79
91
79
+12
88avg 89
A02/08
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
52avg 89
A23/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
92-63
92
63
+29
96avg 89
H26/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
30-19
25-16
27-16
18-21
19-13
19-24
23-29
13-21
19-17
15-11
17-7
23-19
27-17
21-20
13-18
24-5
32-12
14-16
19-16
31-14
26-20
23-12
18-16
20-12
22-22
21-8
32-19
25-12
25-25
24-18
17-24
14-15
16-20
14-22
17-16
22-8
26-16
22-26
22-13
153.2Avg total
85.3Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.367.9153.2+17.480%
Last 5 (5)87.467.6155.0+19.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.684.9160.5-9.212%
vs Similar (5)83.086.6169.6-3.620%
vs Weaker (17)81.667.2148.8+14.482%
PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#13
W
94-86
94
86
+8
no box
A11/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
W
90-87
90
87
+3
no box
A14/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
54-95
54
95
-41
no box
H16/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
A18/09
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
79-64
79
64
+15
no box
H10/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
87-79
87
79
+8
no box
A13/11
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
64-83
64
83
-19
61avg 59
A22/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
71-96
71
96
-25
58avg 59
H26/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
18-24
27-22
25-19
29-26
29-13
6-24
26-24
9-15
9-19
18-30
18-31
14-19
9-17
26-18
20-28
17-15
15-22
27-8
20-19
21-18
13-19
24-19
29-23
26-21
31-17
14-19
16-15
21-27
14-15
23-16
22-12
19-16
11-19
19-27
15-21
16-25
22-22
12-22
21-27
158.9Avg total
77.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.581.4158.9-3.960%
Last 5 (5)77.880.0157.8-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.686.5162.1-10.925%
vs Similar (10)82.573.0155.5+9.580%
vs Weaker (4)74.869.0143.8+5.875%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
CroatiaPoland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austria
#30
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A10/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H13/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H26/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
56-17
56
17
+39
H19/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H22/07
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A29/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A02/08
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A23/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H26/02
EuroBasket
78.2Avg total
45.0Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.375.9+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.233.075.2+9.271%-
Last 30 away (16)37.439.176.6-1.738%-
Last 10 (10)45.033.278.2+11.880%-
Last 5 (5)45.432.878.2+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.242.077.2-6.812%-
vs Similar (5)38.443.481.8-5.020%-
vs Weaker (17)42.131.573.6+10.682%-
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A11/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A14/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
18-34
18
34
-16
H16/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A18/09
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H10/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A13/11
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H23/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A26/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A22/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H26/02
EuroBasket
75.7Avg total
36.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.476.9-1.930%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.038.177.1+0.946%-
Last 30 away (17)36.440.476.8-4.018%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.075.7-2.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.878.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.140.876.9-4.619%-
vs Similar (10)40.037.077.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker (4)37.040.077.0-3.025%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 54.1 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.8
55.3%
55.7%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.7
37.5%
34.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
71.8%16.6
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 54.1 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.8
51.4%
55.7%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.2
34.3%
34.9%27.8
🏀 Free throws20.114.2
70.8%
71.8%14.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 23 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Croatia
WLWWWWWWLW
Poland
LLWWWWLLWW
+23.3
Net rating
+5.9
113.1
Offensive rating
104.9
89.7
Defensive rating
99.0
55.8%
Effective FG%
51.4%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.6%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.5%
3-point %
34.3%
76.1%
Assist %
72.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 104.9Defence89.7 · 99.0Shooting55.8% · 51.4%3-point %37.5% · 34.3%Ball care18.6% · 18.6%Off. rebounds27.7% · 27.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Croatia   ■ Poland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Croatia wins
3
Poland wins
DateGameScore
13/11/22Croatia v Poland79-87
25/08/22Poland v Croatia69-72
22/02/19Croatia v Poland69-77
17/09/18Poland v Croatia79-74
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/24HCyprus92-63
23/02/24AFrance61-73
02/08/23ALuxembourg91-79
29/07/23AIreland95-61
22/07/23HLuxembourg98-62
19/07/23HIreland89-49
26/02/23HAustria84-74
23/02/23ASwitzerland64-56
13/11/22HPoland79-87
10/11/22AAustria100-75
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/24HNorth Macedonia71-96
22/02/24ALithuania64-83
26/02/23ASwitzerland80-70
23/02/23HAustria87-72
13/11/22ACroatia87-79
10/11/22HSwitzerland79-64
18/09/22AGermany69-82
16/09/22HFrance54-95
14/09/22ASlovenia90-87
11/09/22AUkraine94-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia
Friendly International 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Poland
Friendly International 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia1717301882
Poland1817201368
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