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Cruzeiro vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 79-75
21-17 15-23 23-10 20-25
Position#14
Record4-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#20
Record2-15
FormWLLWL
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game79.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Dona Salome
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cruzeiro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
76avg 71
H06/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
77-99
77
99
-22
72avg 71
A12/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
65-79
65
79
-14
60avg 71
A14/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
98-76
98
76
+22
99avg 71
H17/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
86-106
86
106
-20
71avg 71
H20/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
89-102
89
102
-13
80avg 71
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
63-78
63
78
-15
50avg 71
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
76-87
76
87
-11
68avg 71
A03/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
89-65
89
65
+24
91avg 71
H16/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
74avg 71
H21/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
11-26
23-24
27-21
17-24
11-26
32-27
17-22
13-23
15-25
18-18
19-13
25-24
29-18
21-20
23-14
11-29
18-23
26-28
31-26
12-30
34-27
16-23
27-22
15-22
15-29
10-19
23-8
19-32
26-13
13-20
18-22
18-19
22-18
19-14
30-14
21-22
19-21
26-18
14-32
167.9Avg total
80.4Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.485.8163.1-8.425%
Season at home (11)80.587.3167.8-6.727%
Season away (5)70.482.4152.8-12.020%
Last 10 (10)80.487.5167.9-7.120%
Last 5 (5)79.485.0164.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.489.8166.2-13.410%
vs Similar (4)71.883.2155.0-11.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)93.570.5164.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Osasco
#18
L
60-69
60
69
-9
49avg 69
A12/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
54-77
54
77
-23
42avg 69
A15/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-103
61
103
-42
54avg 69
A17/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
59-81
59
81
-22
43avg 69
H23/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
81-84
81
84
-3
74avg 69
H25/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
69-65
69
65
+4
60avg 69
A11/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
70avg 69
A13/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 69
H16/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
72avg 69
H18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
59-71
59
71
-12
54avg 69
A21/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-12
14-14
14-17
20-26
15-20
15-20
11-19
13-18
15-26
17-22
7-27
22-28
19-19
9-20
12-21
19-21
16-15
22-24
16-23
27-22
23-11
24-16
10-20
12-18
21-21
15-22
18-24
16-17
11-22
20-19
28-22
19-22
15-16
17-23
16-18
21-12
15-19
11-25
19-19
14-8
146.9Avg total
67.1Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)67.579.2146.7-11.612%
Season at home (7)74.481.6156.0-7.114%
Season away (10)62.777.5140.2-14.810%
Last 10 (10)67.179.8146.9-12.720%
Last 5 (5)71.276.8148.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)68.181.1149.2-13.011%
vs Similar (12)77.278.0155.2-0.842%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
CruzeiroVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H06/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A12/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A14/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H17/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H20/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A03/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H16/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/12
NBB
84.1Avg total
37.1Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)37.145.182.1-8.019%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.944.882.7-6.918%-
Last 30 away (5)35.245.680.8-10.420%-
Last 10 (10)37.147.084.1-9.920%-
Last 5 (5)40.246.686.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.146.281.3-11.10%-
vs Similar (4)37.045.082.0-8.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)47.039.586.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osasco
#18
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A12/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A15/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A17/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H23/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A11/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A13/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H16/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/12
NBB
71.2Avg total
32.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.738.374.0-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.036.872.8-0.845%-
Last 30 away (19)35.539.174.6-3.632%-
Last 10 (10)32.638.671.2-6.010%-
Last 5 (5)34.438.873.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)33.538.772.2-5.228%-
vs Similar (12)39.037.676.6+1.450%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.5
49.6%
52.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.9
36.2%
32.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.417.9
79.9%
72.8%17.9
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 66.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.815.8
46.7%
52.2%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.8
30.4%
32.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.411.1
60.3%
72.8%11.1
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cruzeiro
LWLLLLWLLL
Vasco
LWLLWLLLLL
#14
League position
#20
-5.0
Net rating
-17.3
104.5
Offensive rating
88.8
109.5
Defensive rating
106.2
51.5%
Effective FG%
46.2%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
18.1%
Turnover %
22.9%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.2%
3-point %
30.4%
69.0%
Assist %
70.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 88.8Defence109.5 · 106.2Shooting51.5% · 46.2%3-point %36.2% · 30.4%Ball care18.1% · 22.9%Off. rebounds22.3% · 26.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Cruzeiro   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cruzeiro wins
0
Vasco wins
No previous meetings.
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HFlamengo80-93
16/12/25HBotafogo89-65
03/12/25AUniao Corinthians76-87
01/12/25ACaxias do Sul63-78
23/11/25HPinheiros89-102
20/11/25HPaulistano86-106
17/11/25HOsasco98-76
14/11/25ABrasilia65-79
12/11/25ARio Claro77-99
06/11/25HFranca81-90
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AMinas59-71
18/12/25HCaxias do Sul80-79 OT
16/12/25HUniao Corinthians78-85
13/12/25APinheiros70-84
11/12/25APaulistano69-65
25/11/25HRio Claro81-84
23/11/25HBrasilia59-81
17/11/25AFranca61-103
15/11/25ABauru54-77
12/11/25AOsasco60-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cruzeiro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLLWL27%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %25%27%20%
Points / game77.480.570.4
Allowed / game85.887.382.4
Point differential-8.4-6.7-12.0
Avg total163.1167.8152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL12%
HomeLLLLW14%
AwayLLWLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %12%14%10%
Points / game67.574.462.7
Allowed / game79.281.677.5
Point differential-11.6-7.1-14.8
Avg total146.7156.0140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %12%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1715288%87.574.3+13.2
2 Pinheiros1614288%87.574.4+13.1
3 Franca1714382%87.172.5+14.6
4 Minas1714382%85.176.6+8.4
5 Brasilia1612475%81.972.6+9.3
6 Corinthians Paulista1711665%81.877.5+4.3
7 Sao Jose1610662%79.675.6+3.9
8 Paulistano1810856%79.975.8+4.2
9 Mogi179853%77.069.0+8.0
10 Uniao Corinthians179853%78.280.1-1.9
11 Caxias do Sul179853%73.575.7-2.2
12 Bauru189950%74.175.3-1.2
13 Unifacisa178947%80.379.7+0.6
14 Pato1751229%72.680.1-7.5
15 Cruzeiro1641225%77.485.8-8.4
16 Cearense1741324%77.588.3-10.8
17 Osasco1841422%75.385.7-10.4
18 Rio Claro1841422%77.089.0-12.0
19 Botafogo1731418%71.582.9-11.4
20 Vasco1721512%67.579.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cruzeiro2115232079
Vasco1723102575
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