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Paulistano vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 65-69
11-23 16-24 20-10 18-12
Position#7
Record8-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
Position#20
Record0-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game80.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2025-26
Meetings · Paulistano v Vasco
11 Dec 2025
PAUL65
VASC69
04 Dec 2024
PAUL70
VASC76
11 Dec 2023
PAUL70
VASC76
28 Feb 2019
PAUL109
VASC65
03 Mar 2018
PAUL102
VASC59
03 Jan 2017
PAUL83
VASC86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
W
80-71
80
71
+9
69avg 71
H04/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 71
H06/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
94-81
94
81
+13
92avg 71
A09/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
101-65
101
65
+36
99avg 71
H13/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
80-82
80
82
-2
69avg 71
H15/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
63-94
63
94
-31
50avg 71
A18/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
106-86
106
86
+20
108avg 71
A20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
77-66
77
66
+11
73avg 71
H23/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
101-77
101
77
+24
101avg 71
H04/12
NBB
Pato
#17
L
59-67
59
67
-8
42avg 71
A06/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
19-13
17-26
26-17
18-12
23-18
26-22
14-24
23-17
24-29
19-18
28-17
28-17
23-19
19-17
31-12
15-21
19-23
29-25
17-13
18-28
24-25
13-23
8-18
29-11
23-18
28-26
26-31
26-13
14-16
20-13
17-24
28-19
28-20
22-21
23-17
12-20
17-18
18-18
12-11
160.7Avg total
84.2Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.975.4155.2+4.557%
Season at home (8)81.970.9152.8+11.075%
Season away (6)77.281.3158.5-4.233%
Last 10 (10)84.276.5160.7+7.770%
Last 5 (5)81.278.0159.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.875.0146.8-3.220%
vs Similar (15)72.377.4149.7-5.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.978.1167.0+10.860%
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
76avg 69
H24/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
57-61
57
61
-4
40avg 69
A27/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
64-81
64
81
-17
57avg 69
A29/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
57-79
57
79
-22
50avg 69
A01/11
NBB
Pato
#17
L
65-70
65
70
-5
56avg 69
H04/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
60-69
60
69
-9
49avg 69
A12/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
54-77
54
77
-23
42avg 69
A15/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-103
61
103
-42
54avg 69
A17/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
59-81
59
81
-22
43avg 69
H23/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
81-84
81
84
-3
74avg 69
H25/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
15-14
18-20
13-18
20-10
13-19
11-19
13-13
17-29
11-15
21-19
15-18
17-18
14-25
12-23
14-13
19-22
20-11
8-20
18-17
12-12
14-14
14-17
20-26
15-20
15-20
11-19
13-18
15-26
17-22
7-27
22-28
19-19
9-20
12-21
19-21
16-15
22-24
16-23
27-22
142.7Avg total
63.8Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)66.080.2146.2-14.20%
Season at home (5)72.681.4154.0-8.80%
Season away (7)61.379.3140.6-18.00%
Last 10 (10)63.878.9142.7-15.10%
Last 5 (5)63.082.8145.8-19.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.982.8149.7-15.80%
vs Similar (15)78.978.9157.8-0.147%
vs Weaker (2)92.074.0166.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -7.8-7.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -7.8-7.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
PaulistanoVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H04/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H06/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A09/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H13/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H15/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A18/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H04/12
NBB
Pato
#17
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A06/12
NBB
80.1Avg total
42.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.177.7+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.237.878.0+2.556%-
Last 30 away (14)38.938.677.4+0.343%-
Last 10 (10)42.937.280.1+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.837.681.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.037.075.0+1.060%-
vs Similar (15)37.239.276.4-2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.037.181.1+6.970%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H24/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A27/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A29/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A01/11
NBB
Pato
#17
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H04/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A12/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A15/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A17/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H23/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/11
NBB
68.9Avg total
32.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.175.1-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.236.775.8+2.569%-
Last 30 away (17)35.439.174.5-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)32.036.968.9-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)30.838.469.2-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.238.771.8-5.531%-
vs Similar (15)39.537.476.9+2.153%-
vs Weaker (2)44.039.083.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.3
51.5%
52.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.0
37.2%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.8
74.7%
72.8%14.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 62.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.715.6
45.0%
52.2%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.16.6
27.4%
32.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.411.8
64.1%
72.8%11.8
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
LWWWLLWWWW
Vasco
LLLLLLLLLL
#7
League position
#20
+10.9
Net rating
-20.8
112.2
Offensive rating
85.6
101.3
Defensive rating
106.4
53.3%
Effective FG%
43.4%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
16.9%
Turnover %
24.4%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.2%
3-point %
27.4%
55.6%
Assist %
64.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 85.6Defence101.3 · 106.4Shooting53.3% · 43.4%3-point %37.2% · 27.4%Ball care16.9% · 24.4%Off. rebounds32.7% · 29.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ Paulistano   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Paulistano wins
4
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
01/04/25Vasco v Paulistano78-66
04/12/24Paulistano v Vasco70-76
28/03/24Vasco v Paulistano73-70
28/01/24Vasco v Paulistano62-76
11/12/23Paulistano v Vasco70-76
28/02/19Paulistano v Vasco109-65
03/11/18Vasco v Paulistano60-76
03/03/18Paulistano v Vasco102-59
23/12/17Vasco v Paulistano71-77
24/03/17Vasco v Paulistano67-82
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25APato59-67
04/12/25HBotafogo101-77
23/11/25HCaxias do Sul77-66
20/11/25ACruzeiro106-86
18/11/25AMinas63-94
15/11/25HFlamengo80-82
13/11/25HUniao Corinthians101-65
09/11/25AOsasco94-81
06/11/25HPinheiros81-76
04/11/25HSao Jose80-71
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25HRio Claro81-84
23/11/25HBrasilia59-81
17/11/25AFranca61-103
15/11/25ABauru54-77
12/11/25AOsasco60-69
04/11/25HPato65-70
01/11/25AMogi57-79
29/10/25ACorinthians Paulista64-81
27/10/25ASao Jose57-61
24/10/25HUnifacisa80-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game79.981.977.2
Allowed / game75.470.981.3
Point differential+4.5+11.0-4.2
Avg total155.2152.8158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game66.072.661.3
Allowed / game80.281.479.3
Point differential-14.2-8.8-18.0
Avg total146.2154.0140.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1412286%87.673.8+13.8
2 Minas1412286%85.476.4+9.0
3 Pinheiros1210283%84.275.1+9.1
4 Franca1411379%86.973.7+13.2
5 Brasilia1411379%84.173.3+10.8
6 Mogi139469%82.567.6+14.8
7 Corinthians Paulista128467%83.676.7+6.9
8 Sao Jose138562%79.877.8+2.1
9 Paulistano148657%79.975.4+4.5
10 Unifacisa126650%79.879.3+0.4
11 Caxias do Sul136746%72.378.0-5.7
12 Bauru146843%75.177.4-2.3
13 Uniao Corinthians125742%76.283.4-7.2
14 Cearense134931%81.986.9-5.0
15 Pato1441029%72.980.9-8.0
16 Osasco1541127%75.986.1-10.1
17 Rio Claro1541127%79.890.4-10.6
18 Botafogo1431121%71.581.5-10.0
19 Cruzeiro1431121%76.486.7-10.4
20 Vasco120120%66.080.2-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano1116201865
Vasco2324101269
← all games of the day
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