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Minas vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 71-59
19-15 25-11 19-19 8-14
Position#3
Record13-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game77.1
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#20
Record2-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game79.7
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minas v Vasco
21 Dec 2025
MINA71
VASC59
14 May 2025
MINA83
VASC63
12 May 2025
MINA86
VASC76
07 Apr 2025
MINA76
VASC69
13 Jan 2024
MINA81
VASC61
31 Oct 2018
MINA93
VASC65
07 Nov 2017
MINA82
VASC81
10 Nov 2016
MINA83
VASC85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 75
A10/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 75
H15/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
94-63
94
63
+31
93avg 75
H18/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
77-81
77
81
-4
68avg 75
H21/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
94-88
94
88
+6
90avg 75
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
88-72
88
72
+16
97avg 75
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 75
A05/12
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
W
80-61
80
61
+19
73avg 75
A12/12
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
69avg 75
A13/12
Champions League Americas
Botafogo
#16
W
95-88
95
88
+7
93avg 75
H18/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
20-21
22-14
17-25
19-22
25-28
22-17
20-14
28-18
25-24
23-13
18-8
23-21
20-20
14-21
20-19
24-14
30-18
23-33
17-23
22-14
19-12
27-23
20-23
14-21
24-15
21-20
15-15
15-19
19-18
19-14
27-10
24-19
16-19
14-20
23-16
28-23
24-17
14-22
29-26
160.2Avg total
84.3Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.077.1163.1+8.987%
Season at home (9)86.978.8165.7+8.189%
Season away (6)84.774.7159.3+10.083%
Last 10 (10)84.375.9160.2+8.480%
Last 5 (5)82.873.2156.0+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.065.5148.5+17.5100%
vs Similar (9)78.278.2156.4+0.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)83.973.5157.5+10.4100%
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
L
65-70
65
70
-5
56avg 69
H04/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
60-69
60
69
-9
49avg 69
A12/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
54-77
54
77
-23
42avg 69
A15/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-103
61
103
-42
54avg 69
A17/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
59-81
59
81
-22
43avg 69
H23/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
81-84
81
84
-3
74avg 69
H25/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
69-65
69
65
+4
60avg 69
A11/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
70avg 69
A13/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 69
H16/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
72avg 69
H18/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
20-11
8-20
18-17
12-12
14-14
14-17
20-26
15-20
15-20
11-19
13-18
15-26
17-22
7-27
22-28
19-19
9-20
12-21
19-21
16-15
22-24
16-23
27-22
23-11
24-16
10-20
12-18
21-21
15-22
18-24
16-17
11-22
20-19
28-22
19-22
15-16
17-23
16-18
21-12
147.4Avg total
67.7Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)68.179.7147.8-11.612%
Season at home (7)74.481.6156.0-7.114%
Season away (9)63.178.2141.3-15.111%
Last 10 (10)67.779.7147.4-12.020%
Last 5 (5)75.679.4155.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)68.681.7150.4-13.112%
vs Similar (12)77.278.0155.2-0.842%
vs Weaker (1)80.066.0146.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.4-1.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.4-1.4
MinasVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H15/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H18/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H21/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A05/12
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A12/12
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A13/12
Champions League Americas
Botafogo
#16
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H18/12
NBB
82.1Avg total
43.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.378.1+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.837.479.2+4.576%-
Last 30 away (13)39.437.276.6+2.254%-
Last 10 (10)43.838.382.1+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.476.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.537.073.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (9)40.441.081.4-0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.435.676.9+5.879%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H04/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A12/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A15/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A17/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H23/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A11/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A13/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H16/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H18/12
NBB
71.4Avg total
33.9Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.237.974.1-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.436.572.9-0.150%-
Last 30 away (18)36.138.874.9-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)33.937.571.4-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.874.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.938.472.4-4.529%-
vs Similar (12)39.037.676.6+1.450%-
vs Weaker (1)41.033.074.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.1
57.7%
52.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.4
32.5%
32.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.215.2
68.5%
72.8%15.2
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 66.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.1
46.9%
52.2%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.8
29.9%
32.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.311.3
61.7%
72.8%11.3
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWWWLWWL
Vasco
WLLWLLLLLL
#3
League position
#20
+13.5
Net rating
-16.0
110.3
Offensive rating
90.9
96.8
Defensive rating
106.9
53.7%
Effective FG%
46.0%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.4%
Turnover %
22.1%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.5%
3-point %
29.9%
66.6%
Assist %
67.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 90.9Defence96.8 · 106.9Shooting53.7% · 46.0%3-point %32.5% · 29.9%Ball care17.4% · 22.1%Off. rebounds30.0% · 28.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Minas   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Minas wins
2
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
14/05/25Minas v Vasco83-63
12/05/25Minas v Vasco86-76
09/05/25Vasco v Minas86-90
07/04/25Minas v Vasco76-69
09/12/24Vasco v Minas81-64
13/01/24Minas v Vasco81-61
23/10/23Vasco v Minas60-72
04/02/19Vasco v Minas81-92
31/10/18Minas v Vasco93-65
23/01/18Vasco v Minas70-54
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HBotafogo95-88
13/12/25AAguada77-74
12/12/25ABoca Juniors80-61
05/12/25AUniao Corinthians74-71
03/12/25ACaxias do Sul88-72
23/11/25HBauru94-88
21/11/25HPinheiros77-81
18/11/25HPaulistano94-63
15/11/25HOsasco86-81
10/11/25ABrasilia78-80
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HCaxias do Sul80-79 OT
16/12/25HUniao Corinthians78-85
13/12/25APinheiros70-84
11/12/25APaulistano69-65
25/11/25HRio Claro81-84
23/11/25HBrasilia59-81
17/11/25AFranca61-103
15/11/25ABauru54-77
12/11/25AOsasco60-69
04/11/25HPato65-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW87%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %87%89%83%
Points / game86.086.984.7
Allowed / game77.178.874.7
Point differential+8.9+8.1+10.0
Avg total163.1165.7159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%22%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %7%11%0%
Vasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW12%
HomeLLLLW14%
AwayLLLWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %12%14%11%
Points / game68.174.463.1
Allowed / game79.781.678.2
Point differential-11.6-7.1-15.1
Avg total147.8156.0141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %12%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1513287%87.273.2+14.0
2 Pinheiros1513287%86.174.1+12.0
3 Minas1513287%86.077.1+8.9
4 Franca1613381%87.273.2+14.0
5 Brasilia1612475%81.972.6+9.3
6 Corinthians Paulista1511473%82.074.9+7.1
7 Sao Jose1610662%79.675.6+3.9
8 Mogi169756%78.068.0+10.0
9 Unifacisa158753%80.578.7+1.7
10 Paulistano179853%79.675.5+4.1
11 Bauru178947%73.575.7-2.2
12 Caxias do Sul157847%72.977.0-4.1
13 Uniao Corinthians157847%76.681.5-4.9
14 Pato1751229%72.680.1-7.5
15 Cruzeiro1541127%77.285.3-8.1
16 Cearense1541127%80.289.2-9.0
17 Rio Claro1741324%77.589.3-11.8
18 Osasco1841422%75.385.7-10.4
19 Botafogo1731418%71.582.9-11.4
20 Vasco1621412%68.179.7-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas192519871
Vasco1511191459
← all games of the day
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