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Crvena zvezda vs Khimki M. Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 70-79
21-14 16-17 17-21 16-27
Position#14
Record7-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#8
Record9-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game79.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18
European cup2017
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Khimki M.
11 Mar 2021
CZV92
KHM81
16 Jan 2018
CZV70
KHM79
04 Dec 2015
CZV96
KHM91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Khimki M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#4
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A17/12
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
56-82
56
82
-26
A19/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H21/12
Euroleague
Mega Bemax
#9
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A25/12
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A29/12
Euroleague
Petrol Olimpija
#7
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H02/01
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H05/01
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A08/01
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#16
L
95-104
95
104
-9
A12/01
Euroleague
Cedevita
#3
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H14/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
28-15
19-12
16-18
11-17
22-24
9-21
14-20
15-20
23-21
11-17
14-11
24-25
27-13
15-21
24-26
29-15
16-25
16-20
30-28
16-18
24-19
22-19
18-20
16-18
17-13
15-14
29-20
27-22
15-25
25-26
19-19
21-22
25-28
25-27
24-27
26-13
28-16
18-11
10-26
160.3Avg total
80.2Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.681.9159.5-4.341%
Season at home (8)78.278.2156.5+0.050%
Season away (9)77.085.1162.1-8.133%
Last 10 (10)80.280.1160.3+0.160%
Last 5 (5)84.080.6164.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.679.9152.5-7.330%
vs Similar (9)83.884.9168.7-1.144%
vs Weaker (11)88.277.9166.1+10.391%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A07/12
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
H10/12
VTB United League
Unicaja
#9
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A14/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H20/12
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A22/12
Euroleague
Enisey
#13
W
92-62
92
62
+30
H26/12
VTB United League
Barcelona
#12
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H29/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A05/01
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A07/01
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#3
L
78-95
78
95
-17
H12/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
19-14
24-18
22-15
22-13
19-29
17-16
19-19
26-27
22-20
18-20
18-26
26-19
11-14
20-23
29-12
16-23
17-20
22-14
13-22
20-11
26-16
26-21
20-14
15-25
17-11
25-21
8-22
26-26
14-16
16-16
18-12
24-28
14-29
19-16
27-19
17-26
14-25
18-16
29-28
159.4Avg total
79.8Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.279.8156.9-2.653%
Season at home (9)79.678.6158.1+1.067%
Season away (8)74.581.1155.6-6.638%
Last 10 (10)79.879.6159.4+0.250%
Last 5 (5)78.679.6158.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.985.1161.0-9.314%
vs Similar (10)75.281.8157.0-6.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.872.0157.8+13.892%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
Crvena zvezdaKhimki M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A17/12
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A19/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H21/12
Euroleague
Mega Bemax
#9
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A25/12
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A29/12
Euroleague
Petrol Olimpija
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H02/01
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H05/01
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A08/01
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A12/01
Euroleague
Cedevita
#3
W
54-29
54
29
+25
H14/01
ABA League
82.7Avg total
42.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.083.2+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.939.079.9+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)43.342.786.0+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.882.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.881.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.040.878.8-2.840%-
vs Similar (9)40.142.983.0-2.844%-
vs Weaker (11)47.739.587.3+8.282%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#15
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A07/12
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H10/12
VTB United League
Unicaja
#9
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A14/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/12
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A22/12
Euroleague
Enisey
#13
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H26/12
VTB United League
Barcelona
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H29/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A05/01
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A07/01
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#3
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H12/01
Euroleague
79.3Avg total
37.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.541.680.1-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.840.979.7-2.139%-
Last 30 away (12)38.242.680.8-4.442%-
Last 10 (10)37.741.679.3-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.680.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.044.980.9-8.929%-
vs Similar (10)37.841.979.7-4.130%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.539.580.0+0.954%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.2
48.0%
51.7%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.2
32.8%
37.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.018.2
79.1%
76.3%18.2
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.215.8
50.6%
51.7%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.8
38.8%
37.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws14.310.4
72.7%
76.3%10.4
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WLLWWWWLLW
Khimki M.
LLWLWLWLWW
#14
League position
#8
-0.7
Net rating
-3.4
108.0
Offensive rating
106.6
108.6
Defensive rating
110.0
48.5%
Effective FG%
54.2%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.0%
Turnover %
17.6%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.8%
3-point %
38.8%
53.0%
Assist %
66.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 106.6Defence108.6 · 110.0Shooting48.5% · 54.2%3-point %32.8% · 38.8%Ball care15.0% · 17.6%Off. rebounds31.0% · 23.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Khimki M.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Crvena zvezda wins
2
Khimki M. wins
DateGameScore
24/10/17Khimki M. v Crvena zvezda85-78
04/12/15Crvena zvezda v Khimki M.96-91
30/10/15Khimki M. v Crvena zvezda91-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/18HCedevita82-66
12/01/18AAnadolu Efes95-104
08/01/18ABuducnost86-92
05/01/18HZalgiris Kaunas77-65
02/01/18HPetrol Olimpija80-76
29/12/17AOlimpia Milano91-88
25/12/17AMega Bemax90-85
21/12/17HPanathinaikos63-69
19/12/17AFenerbahce56-82
17/12/17AMornar Bar82-74
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/18HReal Madrid78-95
07/01/18ABC Kalev/Cramo84-92
05/01/18ABamberg74-70
29/12/17HBarcelona65-79
26/12/17HEnisey92-62
22/12/17ACSKA Moscow68-79
20/12/17HAnadolu Efes86-68
14/12/17AUnicaja84-93
10/12/17HNizhny Novgorod90-87 OT
07/12/17AOlimpia Milano77-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL41%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayWWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%50%33%
Points / game77.678.277.0
Allowed / game81.978.285.1
Point differential-4.3+0.0-8.1
Avg total159.5156.5162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Khimki M.
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL53%
HomeLWWLL67%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %53%67%38%
Points / game77.279.674.5
Allowed / game79.878.681.1
Point differential-2.6+1.0-6.6
Avg total156.9158.1155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1713476%89.179.1+10.1
2 Panathinaikos1712571%78.875.6+3.1
3 Olympiacos1712571%75.173.5+1.6
4 Fenerbahce1711665%80.173.6+6.5
5 Real Madrid1711665%85.679.2+6.4
6 Zalgiris Kaunas1711665%80.179.7+0.4
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv179853%80.482.0-1.6
8 Khimki M.179853%77.279.8-2.6
9 Baskonia178947%81.179.9+1.2
10 Unicaja1771041%77.080.6-3.6
11 Crvena zvezda1771041%77.681.9-4.3
12 Barcelona1761135%80.678.8+1.8
13 Bamberg1761135%73.879.6-5.8
14 Valencia1751229%76.179.4-3.3
15 Anadolu Efes1751229%78.182.0-3.9
16 Olimpia Milano1741324%79.485.4-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2116171670
Khimki M.1417212779
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