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Mornar Bar vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 74-82
29-19 15-28 12-19 18-16
Position#4
Record5-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#1
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game78.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 12
Domestic2017
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda
20 Jan 2025
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20 Apr 2023
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24 Oct 2021
MBA69
CZV77
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MBA78
CZV86
09 Feb 2019
MBA57
CZV90
25 Mar 2018
MBA88
CZV84
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MBA74
CZV82
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Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
W
80-70
80
70
+10
109avg 100
H27/10
ABA League
Kataja
#39
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Buducnost
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
98avg 100
A05/11
ABA League
FC Porto
#22
L
55-68
55
68
-13
no box
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Igokea
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
112avg 100
H13/11
ABA League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#44
W
74-58
74
58
+16
no box
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cedevita
#3
L
74-99
74
99
-25
94avg 100
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
78-82
78
82
-4
no box
H03/12
ABA League
Kataja
#39
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
98avg 100
A10/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
18-12
21-17
24-20
20-18
14-20
21-26
21-17
18-26
15-16
20-19
17-18
7-16
18-12
14-17
16-23
25-17
18-21
24-18
20-27
19-19
14-6
26-15
15-18
19-23
17-23
22-32
16-21
23-19
16-27
23-15
16-21
16-11
20-31
19-16
21-13
13-19
18-19
17-25
24-6
150.2Avg total
74.2Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.580.6156.2-5.145%
Season at home (5)80.279.4159.6+0.860%
Season away (6)71.781.7153.3-10.033%
Last 10 (10)74.276.0150.2-1.850%
Last 5 (5)74.875.8150.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)69.784.3154.0-14.70%
vs Similar (17)74.774.1148.8+0.659%
vs Weaker (6)67.357.7125.0+9.783%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#8
W
84-77
84
77
+7
115avg 103
H12/11
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
59-85
59
85
-26
86avg 103
H15/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
59-85
59
85
-26
83avg 103
A17/11
Euroleague
Zadar
#6
W
88-76
88
76
+12
no box
A20/11
ABA League
Baskonia
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
110avg 103
H23/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
118avg 103
A01/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#10
W
85-80
85
80
+5
111avg 103
H04/12
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
100-81
100
81
+19
129avg 103
H08/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
W
93-87
93
87
+6
120avg 103
A11/12
ABA League
Valencia
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
107avg 103
A15/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
17-17
26-20
22-22
10-22
17-22
7-21
25-20
13-22
24-25
12-20
10-18
19-23
23-22
29-9
17-22
17-22
21-25
19-17
24-21
19-24
27-15
21-19
20-25
22-19
26-19
16-20
21-22
29-23
21-21
24-18
26-19
35-18
22-24
22-21
14-24
26-22
14-16
16-25
30-19
164.3Avg total
82.2Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.378.6166.9+9.682%
Season at home (6)89.077.7166.7+11.383%
Season away (5)87.479.8167.2+7.680%
Last 10 (10)82.282.1164.3+0.170%
Last 5 (5)90.282.6172.8+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.783.3159.0-7.629%
vs Similar (6)80.380.0160.3+0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)90.273.8164.0+16.494%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
Mornar BarCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H27/10
ABA League
Kataja
#39
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Buducnost
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A05/11
ABA League
FC Porto
#22
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Igokea
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H13/11
ABA League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#44
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cedevita
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/12
ABA League
Kataja
#39
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#12
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A10/12
ABA League
72.1Avg total
34.5Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)36.538.675.1-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.137.876.9+1.364%-
Last 30 away (14)33.939.573.4-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)34.537.672.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.474.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)30.844.875.7-14.00%-
vs Similar (16)38.037.175.1+0.956%-
vs Weaker (5)37.434.672.0+2.860%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#8
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H12/11
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H15/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A17/11
Euroleague
Zadar
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A20/11
ABA League
Baskonia
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H23/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/12
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H08/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A11/12
ABA League
Valencia
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A15/12
Euroleague
84.0Avg total
42.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.438.682.0+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.936.179.0+6.975%-
Last 30 away (14)43.941.585.4+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)42.141.984.0+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.240.288.4+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.442.181.6-2.743%-
vs Similar (6)38.041.579.5-3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.936.183.1+10.888%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.8
50.3%
52.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.5
32.3%
34.8%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.314.5
71.4%
74.4%14.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.2
49.1%
52.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.6
36.6%
34.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
74.4%16.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
WWLLWWLLLW
Crvena zvezda
WWWWWLWLLW
#4
League position
#1
-6.3
Net rating
+0.1
104.0
Offensive rating
112.5
110.2
Defensive rating
112.4
49.6%
Effective FG%
51.5%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.0%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.3%
3-point %
36.6%
52.1%
Assist %
60.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 112.5Defence110.2 · 112.4Shooting49.6% · 51.5%3-point %32.3% · 36.6%Ball care17.0% · 15.0%Off. rebounds32.7% · 33.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
3
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
01/10/17Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar88-77
30/01/17Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar82-71
31/10/16Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda59-71
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/17AMZT Skopje72-69
06/12/17HKataja76-71
03/12/17HCibona78-82
18/11/17ACedevita74-99
15/11/17HKapfenberg Bulls74-58
13/11/17HIgokea87-83
08/11/17AFC Porto55-68
05/11/17ABuducnost70-79
01/11/17AKataja76-81
27/10/17HZadar80-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/17AValencia86-82
11/12/17ACibona93-87
08/12/17HAnadolu Efes100-81
04/12/17HIgokea85-80
01/12/17AReal Madrid87-83
23/11/17HBaskonia81-85
20/11/17AZadar88-76
17/11/17AOlympiacos59-85
15/11/17HCSKA Moscow59-85
12/11/17HFMP Beograd84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW45%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game75.580.271.7
Allowed / game80.679.481.7
Point differential-5.1+0.8-10.0
Avg total156.2159.6153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%83%80%
Points / game88.389.087.4
Allowed / game78.677.779.8
Point differential+9.6+11.3+7.6
Avg total166.9166.7167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost1210283%82.474.8+7.7
2 Crvena zvezda119282%88.378.6+9.6
3 Cedevita129375%82.674.7+7.9
4 Partizan126650%92.089.4+2.6
5 Zadar126650%81.282.8-1.5
6 Mornar Bar115645%75.580.6-5.1
7 FMP Beograd125742%80.979.5+1.4
8 Igokea125742%85.286.3-1.1
9 Petrol Olimpija125742%78.583.0-4.5
10 Mega Bemax114736%83.084.4-1.4
11 Cibona114736%80.584.0-3.5
12 MZT Skopje1221017%80.192.3-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar2915121874
Crvena zvezda1928191682
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