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Crvena zvezda vs Khimki M. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 92-81
8-15 26-23 28-22 30-21
Position#17
Record7-21
FormLWLLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game79.3
Crvena zvezda 🏆
vs
Khimki M.
Position#18
Record3-24
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game90.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29
European cup2020
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Khimki M.
11 Mar 2021
CZV92
KHM81
16 Jan 2018
CZV70
KHM79
04 Dec 2015
CZV96
KHM91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
W
79-78
79
78
+1
no box
A13/02
Korac cup
Mega Basket
#2
W
73-60
73
60
+13
no box
A14/02
Korac cup
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
83-63
83
63
+20
85avg 69
H17/02
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
75-76
75
76
-1
67avg 69
H19/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
62-75
62
75
-13
55avg 69
A23/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
67-87
67
87
-20
54avg 69
A26/02
Euroleague
Primorska
#15
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H27/02
ABA League
Bayern
#5
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 69
H02/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
L
79-94
79
94
-15
no box
A05/03
Euroleague
Split
#11
W
71-60
71
60
+11
61avg 69
A08/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
18-19
15-12
24-20
19-21
17-19
17-8
20-12
23-16
15-17
23-14
22-16
16-22
20-26
20-13
19-15
26-22
18-18
14-20
4-15
16-21
11-27
21-18
19-21
–
–
–
–
10-15
25-16
22-19
19-28
19-30
29-23
19-22
12-19
18-17
15-15
21-17
17-11
135.6Avg total
68.5Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.779.3153.0-5.625%
Season at home (14)74.976.8151.7-1.929%
Season away (14)72.581.9154.4-9.421%
Last 10 (10)68.567.1135.6+1.450%
Last 5 (5)62.663.8126.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.881.7153.5-9.914%
vs Similar (4)76.878.8155.5-2.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)75.165.2140.3+9.982%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormM.
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#9
L
76-107
76
107
-31
no box
H28/01
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#9
W
72-69
72
69
+3
65avg 74
A01/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
H08/02
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
82avg 74
A12/02
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
L
67-89
67
89
-22
49avg 74
H18/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
74-84
74
84
-10
66avg 74
A25/02
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#6
L
94-99
94
99
-5
87avg 74
H28/02
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#7
W
78-77
78
77
+1
71avg 74
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
81-100
81
100
-19
no box
H05/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#1
W
81-78
81
78
+3
64avg 74
A08/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
22-30
13-30
19-24
22-18
19-14
21-21
10-16
19-28
18-22
23-17
30-25
22-11
25-16
15-31
20-19
14-24
23-23
20-24
10-18
26-29
17-27
13-14
18-14
21-26
31-20
15-24
27-29
17-18
28-20
17-24
16-15
25-20
22-21
20-27
14-32
22-19
19-20
14-18
26-21
166.7Avg total
79.5Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.590.8169.3-12.311%
Season at home (14)80.892.2173.0-11.414%
Season away (13)76.089.3165.3-13.38%
Last 10 (10)79.587.2166.7-7.740%
Last 5 (5)81.687.6169.2-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)81.191.7172.8-10.619%
vs Similar (1)94.099.0193.0-5.00%
vs Weaker (3)85.776.3162.0+9.3100%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
Crvena zvezdaKhimki M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A13/02
Korac cup
Mega Basket
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A14/02
Korac cup
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H17/02
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H19/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A23/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A26/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H02/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A05/03
Euroleague
Split
#11
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A08/03
ABA League
78.7Avg total
37.4Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.140.580.6-0.452%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.537.177.7+3.467%-
Last 30 away (14)39.644.183.7-4.636%-
Last 10 (9)37.441.278.7-3.844%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.878.2-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.943.081.9-4.136%-
vs Similar (4)40.538.579.0+2.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.739.480.1+1.360%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#9
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H28/01
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#9
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A01/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H08/02
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A12/02
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H18/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A25/02
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#6
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H28/02
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H05/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A08/03
VTB United League
86.3Avg total
43.4Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.846.189.9-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.848.193.9-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)41.744.185.9-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)43.442.986.3+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.644.089.6+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)42.847.390.1-4.627%-
vs Similar (1)52.046.098.0+6.0100%-
vs Weaker (3)49.735.785.3+14.0100%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.2
50.0%
52.7%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.6
38.2%
38.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws14.711.5
78.2%
79.3%11.5
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.9
50.3%
52.7%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.4
35.2%
38.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws15.712.9
82.2%
79.3%12.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WLLWLLLWWW
Khimki M.
WLWLLLWLWL
#17
League position
#18
-4.7
Net rating
-9.9
109.2
Offensive rating
107.5
113.9
Defensive rating
117.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
51.3%
59.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.2%
3-point %
35.2%
59.3%
Assist %
64.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 107.5Defence113.9 · 117.5Shooting53.1% · 51.3%3-point %38.2% · 35.2%Ball care17.2% · 16.1%Off. rebounds28.9% · 27.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Khimki M.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Crvena zvezda wins
4
Khimki M. wins
DateGameScore
30/10/20Khimki M. v Crvena zvezda83-77
16/01/18Crvena zvezda v Khimki M.70-79
24/10/17Khimki M. v Crvena zvezda85-78
04/12/15Crvena zvezda v Khimki M.96-91
30/10/15Khimki M. v Crvena zvezda91-53
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/21ASplit71-60
05/03/21AOlympiacos79-94
02/03/21HBayern76-78
27/02/21HPrimorska20-0
26/02/21ABaskonia67-87
23/02/21AZalgiris Kaunas62-75
19/02/21HZenit Petersburg75-76
17/02/21HBorac Mozzart83-63
14/02/21AMega Basket73-60
13/02/21APartizan79-78
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/21AZenit Petersburg81-78
05/03/21HAlba Berlin81-100
02/03/21HReal Madrid78-77
28/02/21HZielona Gora94-99
25/02/21AOlimpia Milano74-84
18/02/21HBaskonia67-89
12/02/21AAstana82-77
08/02/21HLokomotiv Kuban90-92
01/02/21AParma Perm72-69
28/01/21HFenerbahce76-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayWLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %25%29%21%
Points / game73.774.972.5
Allowed / game79.376.881.9
Point differential-5.6-1.9-9.4
Avg total153.0151.7154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)38% (8)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Khimki M.
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL11%
HomeLLLWL14%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %11%14%8%
Points / game78.580.876.0
Allowed / game90.892.289.3
Point differential-12.3-11.4-13.3
Avg total169.3173.0165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2820871%80.873.2+7.6
2 Olimpia Milano29191066%81.777.9+3.8
3 CSKA Moscow28181064%82.980.3+2.6
4 Bayern28181064%79.077.4+1.6
5 Anadolu Efes27171063%82.276.2+6.0
6 Real Madrid28171161%79.876.8+3.1
7 Fenerbahce28171161%80.080.2-0.2
8 Zenit Petersburg27161159%77.275.3+1.9
9 Zalgiris Kaunas28151354%77.476.8+0.6
10 Baskonia28141450%79.676.6+3.0
11 Valencia28141450%82.282.5-0.3
12 Olympiacos28121643%78.981.0-2.1
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne28121643%77.380.1-2.8
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv27111641%78.578.9-0.4
15 Panathinaikos27101737%79.681.4-1.8
16 Alba Berlin28101836%77.882.7-4.9
17 Crvena zvezda2872125%73.779.3-5.6
18 Khimki M.2732411%78.590.8-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda826283092
Khimki M.1523222181
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