CSKA Moscow vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 84-74

25-20 19-20 19-16 21-18

Position#1

Record19-5

FormLWWWW

Points / game92.1

Allowed / game82.0

CSKA Moscow 🏆

Crvena zvezda

Position#13

Record12-12

FormWWLLL

Points / game75.2

Allowed / game78.0

EuroleagueEuroleague - Final

European cup2015

Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Crvena zvezda

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crvena zvezda winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unics Kazan

100-89

100

+11

A06/03

VTB United League

Barcelona

98-100 OT

100

-2

A11/03

Euroleague

Enisey

#11

96-81

+15

A13/03

VTB United League

Baskonia

90-78

+12

H17/03

Euroleague

Zenit Petersburg

86-82

A20/03

VTB United League

Bamberg

83-91

-8

A24/03

Euroleague

VEF Riga

#10

101-93

101

H27/03

VTB United League

Zalgiris Kaunas

#22

100-86

100

+14

H01/04

Euroleague

Minsk

#12

83-81

A03/04

VTB United League

Olympiacos

99-96

A08/04

Euroleague

28-11

24-24

28-29

20-25

24-21

14-26

26-13

21-25

23-22

27-18

21-18

25-23

20-14

20-12

28-30

22-22

22-23

17-9

16-24

31-26

20-22

19-21

28-25

16-23

25-18

26-23

20-19

30-33

21-23

26-25

27-13

26-25

18-14

22-18

26-33

17-16

33-25

17-20

14-24

35-27

181.3Avg total

93.6Scored

87.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	92.1	82.0	174.1	+10.0	79%
Season at home (12)	93.1	80.4	173.5	+12.7	92%
Season away (12)	91.1	83.7	174.8	+7.4	67%
Last 10 (10)	93.6	87.7	181.3	+5.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	93.2	89.4	182.6	+3.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	94.5	80.5	175.0	+14.0	83%

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cibona

94-83

+11

A29/02

ABA League

Fenerbahce

65-72

-7

A04/03

Euroleague

KK Krka Novo mesto

#11

77-67

+10

H07/03

ABA League

Panathinaikos

69-67

H11/03

Euroleague

Cedevita

97-88 OT

H15/03

ABA League

Unicaja

#11

78-72

A18/03

Euroleague

Cedevita

73-65

A22/03

ABA League

Lokomotiv Kuban

62-86

-24

A24/03

Euroleague

Darussafaka

#16

61-80

-19

H31/03

Euroleague

Cedevita

#17

62-83

-21

A08/04

Euroleague

24-17

26-29

25-22

19-15

18-14

16-11

6-24

25-23

22-25

18-9

20-17

17-16

10-18

18-13

25-11

16-25

22-14

15-29

19-13

26-26

12-20

15-23

26-17

25-12

16-19

18-20

21-10

18-16

15-19

20-26

14-21

13-20

20-15

14-20

15-20

12-25

12-29

19-23

14-16

17-15

150.1Avg total

73.8Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	75.2	78.0	153.2	-2.9	50%
Season at home (12)	80.2	76.5	156.8	+3.8	75%
Season away (12)	70.1	79.6	149.7	-9.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	73.8	76.3	150.1	-2.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	67.2	77.2	144.4	-10.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	73.8	76.1	149.9	-2.4	50%
vs Similar (7)	71.7	74.1	145.9	-2.4	43%
vs Weaker (14)	81.6	71.4	153.0	+10.1	79%

This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CSKA MoscowCrvena zvezda

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	19.1	42.7	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.1	19.0	43.1	+5.1	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.3	19.2	42.5	+4.1	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	19.3	42.7	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.4	43.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	23.6	19.1	42.7	+4.5	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	17.2	38.9	+4.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	20.0	37.3	-2.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.0	36.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	20.4	35.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.3	19.9	37.1	-2.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.9	18.0	37.9	+1.9	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	18.9	42.1	+4.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	25.0	18.3	43.3	+6.7	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.5	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	23.2	18.9	42.1	+4.3	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.5	37.0	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.6	17.8	34.4	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	19.4	40.1	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	20.3	38.2	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.4	39.6	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.5	62%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.3	19.0	36.3	-1.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.7	50%	-

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unics Kazan

52-35

+17

A06/03

VTB United League

Barcelona

38-47

-9

A11/03

Euroleague

Enisey

#11

50-40

+10

A13/03

VTB United League

Baskonia

40-26

+14

H17/03

Euroleague

Zenit Petersburg

39-32

A20/03

VTB United League

Bamberg

39-43

-4

A24/03

Euroleague

VEF Riga

#10

51-41

+10

H27/03

VTB United League

Zalgiris Kaunas

#22

47-48

-1

H01/04

Euroleague

Minsk

#12

40-32

A03/04

VTB United League

Olympiacos

50-45

A08/04

Euroleague

83.5Avg total

44.6Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.8	38.0	84.8	+8.8	83%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	49.1	37.3	86.4	+11.8	92%	-
Last 30 away (17)	45.1	38.5	83.6	+6.6	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	38.9	83.5	+5.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	41.8	87.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	46.8	38.0	84.8	+8.8	83%	-

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cibona

50-46

A29/02

ABA League

Fenerbahce

34-25

A04/03

Euroleague

KK Krka Novo mesto

#11

40-34

H07/03

ABA League

Panathinaikos

28-31

-3

H11/03

Euroleague

Cedevita

37-43

-6

H15/03

ABA League

Unicaja

#11

27-43

-16

A18/03

Euroleague

Cedevita

34-39

-5

A22/03

ABA League

Lokomotiv Kuban

35-45

-10

A24/03

Euroleague

Darussafaka

#16

34-35

-1

H31/03

Euroleague

Cedevita

#17

31-52

-21

A08/04

Euroleague

74.3Avg total

35.0Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	37.1	75.2	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.2	35.0	73.2	+3.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	39.4	77.4	-1.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	39.3	74.3	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	42.8	75.0	-10.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	38.1	37.9	76.0	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	34.6	38.9	73.4	-4.3	29%	-
vs Weaker (14)	39.2	36.6	75.9	+2.6	71%	-

This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	20.1	43.7	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.0	18.8	42.8	+5.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.4	21.1	44.5	+2.4	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	22.8	46.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.8	45.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	23.7	20.1	43.7	+3.6	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	16.8	36.3	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	16.8	37.8	+4.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	16.8	34.7	+1.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.1	35.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.8	34.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.4	18.1	35.5	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.3	18.1	35.4	-0.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.3	15.8	38.1	+6.5	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	21.9	45.5	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.1	22.8	45.8	+0.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.9	21.2	45.2	+2.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	24.5	48.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	24.8	49.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	23.6	21.9	45.5	+1.7	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.3	37.6	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	16.5	33.3	+0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	17.6	34.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.2	20.1	38.4	-1.9	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.9	17.1	37.0	+2.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.2	42.0	89.2	+5.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	47.1	41.5	88.6	+5.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	47.4	42.3	89.6	+5.1	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.7	47.3	95.0	+0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	47.6	95.4	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	47.2	42.0	89.2	+5.3	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	35.1	74.0	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	36.8	79.2	+5.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.7	33.3	68.0	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	36.4	73.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	34.4	69.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	35.6	38.2	73.9	-2.6	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.1	35.3	72.4	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (14)	41.3	34.4	75.6	+6.9	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

CSKA Moscow wins

Crvena zvezda wins

No previous meetings.

CSKA Moscowlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/16	A	Olympiacos	99-96
03/04/16	A	Minsk	83-81
01/04/16	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	100-86
27/03/16	H	VEF Riga	101-93
24/03/16	A	Bamberg	83-91
20/03/16	A	Zenit Petersburg	86-82
17/03/16	H	Baskonia	90-78
13/03/16	A	Enisey	96-81
11/03/16	A	Barcelona	98-100 OT
06/03/16	A	Unics Kazan	100-89

Crvena zvezdalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/16	A	Cedevita	62-83
31/03/16	H	Darussafaka	61-80
24/03/16	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	62-86
22/03/16	A	Cedevita	73-65
18/03/16	A	Unicaja	78-72
15/03/16	H	Cedevita	97-88 OT
11/03/16	H	Panathinaikos	69-67
07/03/16	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	77-67
04/03/16	A	Fenerbahce	65-72
29/02/16	A	Cibona	94-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow

Euroleague 2015

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	79%
Home	WWWWW	92%
Away	WWLLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	79%	92%	67%
Points / game	92.1	93.1	91.1
Allowed / game	82.0	80.4	83.7
Point differential	+10.0	+12.7	+7.4
Avg total	174.1	173.5	174.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	67%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	-	50% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Crvena zvezda

Euroleague 2015

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	50%
Home	WWWWL	75%
Away	LLWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	50%	75%	25%
Points / game	75.2	80.2	70.1
Allowed / game	78.0	76.5	79.6
Point differential	-2.9	+3.8	-9.5
Avg total	153.2	156.8	149.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	33%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	100% (2)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	CSKA Moscow	24	19	5	79%	92.1	82.0	+10.0
2	Fenerbahce	24	19	5	79%	77.7	72.5	+5.2
3	Lokomotiv Kuban	24	17	7	71%	77.2	69.2	+8.0
4	Baskonia	24	15	9	62%	81.8	76.7	+5.1
5	Panathinaikos	24	15	9	62%	76.0	72.4	+3.6
6	Barcelona	24	14	10	58%	79.5	75.2	+4.2
7	Olympiacos	24	14	10	58%	76.8	74.9	+2.0
8	Anadolu Efes	24	13	11	54%	82.7	79.6	+3.0
9	Bamberg	24	13	11	54%	77.1	75.3	+1.8
10	Khimki M.	24	12	12	50%	81.8	78.2	+3.5
11	Real Madrid	24	12	12	50%	84.5	82.2	+2.2
12	Crvena zvezda	24	12	12	50%	75.2	78.0	-2.9
13	Unicaja	24	11	13	46%	72.2	74.8	-2.6
14	Bayern	10	4	6	40%	76.3	78.0	-1.7
15	Maccabi Tel Aviv	10	4	6	40%	75.0	79.2	-4.2
16	Darussafaka	24	9	15	38%	73.5	76.0	-2.5
17	Cedevita	24	8	16	33%	74.5	79.5	-5.0
18	Olimpia Milano	10	3	7	30%	73.7	79.7	-6.0
19	Karsiyaka	10	3	7	30%	69.8	77.2	-7.4
20	Strasbourg	10	3	7	30%	71.1	81.4	-10.3
21	Limoges	10	3	7	30%	69.8	82.3	-12.5
22	Zalgiris Kaunas	24	7	17	29%	71.0	79.6	-8.6
23	Zielona Gora	10	2	8	20%	66.4	74.8	-8.4
24	Sassari	10	0	10	0%	69.0	83.9	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
CSKA Moscow	25	19	19	21	84
Crvena zvezda	20	20	16	18	74

← all games of the day

CSKA Moscow vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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