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CSKA Moscow vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-81
23-26 21-14 25-22 20-19
Position#1
Record21-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game79.6
CSKA Moscow 🏆
vs
Olympiacos
Position#6
Record18-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game75.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27
European cup2017
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos
22 Oct 2021
CMO88
OLY82
03 Dec 2020
CMO80
OLY61
01 Nov 2018
CMO69
OLY65
21 Mar 2018
CMO89
OLY81
19 May 2017
CMO78
OLY82
07 Apr 2017
CMO90
OLY86
12 Feb 2016
CMO92
OLY85
15 May 2015
CMO68
OLY70
03 Apr 2015
CMO76
OLY70
10 May 2013
CMO52
OLY69
13 May 2012
CMO61
OLY62
22 Feb 2012
CMO96
OLY64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#5
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
H05/02
VTB United League
Valencia
#11
L
99-103
99
103
-4
120avg 117
A08/02
Euroleague
Minsk
#8
W
93-83
93
83
+10
no box
A11/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
no box
A14/02
VTB United League
Baskonia
#7
W
93-86
93
86
+7
117avg 117
H22/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
93-73
93
73
+20
124avg 117
A01/03
Euroleague
Saratov
#6
W
110-98
110
98
+12
no box
A04/03
VTB United League
Unicaja
#9
W
101-76
101
76
+25
137avg 117
H09/03
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#9
W
102-83
102
83
+19
no box
A12/03
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#2
W
81-79
81
79
+2
103avg 117
A16/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
24-12
21-26
29-18
23-21
19-28
24-24
33-30
32-18
18-19
22-16
21-30
18-20
18-21
21-11
21-23
20-25
26-24
25-22
22-15
22-18
30-18
15-20
26-17
27-28
26-29
30-19
27-22
30-20
27-23
22-18
22-15
24-24
22-23
30-21
26-15
25-23
19-17
10-18
27-21
176.7Avg total
94.0Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)90.079.6169.6+10.581%
Season at home (13)92.779.4172.1+13.392%
Season away (13)87.479.8167.2+7.669%
Last 10 (10)94.082.7176.7+11.390%
Last 5 (5)97.481.8179.2+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)89.087.0176.0+2.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)91.481.0172.4+10.481%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
W
80-79
80
79
+1
no box
A09/02
Euroleague
Trikala
#14
W
98-73
98
73
+25
no box
A13/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
no box
H17/02
Greek Cup
Valencia
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
107avg 103
H22/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
no box
A02/03
Euroleague
Aris
#10
W
86-66
86
66
+20
no box
H05/03
Basket League
Bamberg
#13
W
87-79
87
79
+8
117avg 103
H09/03
Euroleague
Rethymno
#9
W
86-66
86
66
+20
no box
A12/03
Basket League
Barcelona
#12
L
63-90
63
90
-27
no box
H15/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
83-72
83
72
+11
no box
H18/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
24-19
20-23
15-17
24-19
24-14
26-24
24-16
23-26
19-19
21-20
20-23
22-11
18-28
22-16
18-15
16-18
27-16
19-16
9-21
21-14
19-12
23-20
23-20
27-19
15-23
27-19
18-18
19-12
21-16
24-13
22-25
17-22
21-18
14-23
11-27
20-10
22-17
26-16
15-29
160.1Avg total
83.3Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.775.3152.0+1.469%
Season at home (13)83.174.2157.3+8.885%
Season away (13)70.476.4146.8-6.054%
Last 10 (10)83.376.8160.1+6.580%
Last 5 (5)81.074.6155.6+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)83.277.2160.4+6.080%
vs Similar (8)72.979.9152.8-7.038%
vs Weaker (17)83.571.6155.1+11.976%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -3.6-3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -3.6-3.6
CSKA MoscowOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#5
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H05/02
VTB United League
Valencia
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A08/02
Euroleague
Minsk
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A11/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A14/02
VTB United League
Baskonia
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H22/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A01/03
Euroleague
Saratov
#6
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A04/03
VTB United League
Unicaja
#9
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H09/03
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A12/03
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A16/03
Euroleague
89.2Avg total
46.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.540.285.7+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.938.384.1+7.671%-
Last 30 away (16)45.241.987.1+3.269%-
Last 10 (10)46.642.689.2+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)50.444.695.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)46.339.085.3+7.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.440.485.8+5.070%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A09/02
Euroleague
Trikala
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A13/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H17/02
Greek Cup
Valencia
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H22/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A02/03
Euroleague
Aris
#10
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H05/03
Basket League
Bamberg
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H09/03
Euroleague
Rethymno
#9
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A12/03
Basket League
Barcelona
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H15/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H18/03
Basket League
77.3Avg total
42.0Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.936.677.5+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.037.281.2+6.869%-
Last 30 away (14)37.436.073.4+1.464%-
Last 10 (10)42.035.377.3+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.432.673.0+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.236.676.8+3.680%-
vs Similar (8)38.639.978.5-1.250%-
vs Weaker (17)42.235.177.3+7.171%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.524.1
56.7%
51.7%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.69.6
44.4%
37.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.215.5
85.2%
76.3%15.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.1
49.6%
51.7%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.6
32.5%
37.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.819.4
78.2%
76.3%19.4
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
WWWWWWWWLW
Olympiacos
WLWWWWWLWW
#1
League position
#6
+17.3
Net rating
-1.8
125.8
Offensive rating
108.1
108.5
Defensive rating
110.0
60.1%
Effective FG%
49.2%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
13.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.43
44.4%
3-point %
32.5%
57.0%
Assist %
71.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence125.8 · 108.1Defence108.5 · 110.0Shooting60.1% · 49.2%3-point %44.4% · 32.5%Ball care13.6% · 16.5%Off. rebounds29.7% · 30.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
CSKA Moscow wins
5
Olympiacos wins
DateGameScore
20/12/17Olympiacos v CSKA Moscow88-86
19/05/17CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos78-82
07/04/17CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos90-86
03/11/16Olympiacos v CSKA Moscow75-81
08/04/16Olympiacos v CSKA Moscow96-99
12/02/16CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos92-85
15/05/15CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos68-70
03/04/15CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos76-70
05/02/15Olympiacos v CSKA Moscow84-76
10/05/13CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos52-69
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/18AFenerbahce81-79
12/03/18AVEF Riga102-83
09/03/18HUnicaja101-76
04/03/18ASaratov110-98
01/03/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv93-73
22/02/18HBaskonia93-86
14/02/18ALokomotiv Kuban78-75
11/02/18AMinsk93-83
08/02/18AValencia99-103
05/02/18HKhimki M.90-71
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/18HKolossos Rhodes83-72
15/03/18HBarcelona63-90
12/03/18ARethymno86-66
09/03/18HBamberg87-79
05/03/18HAris86-66
02/03/18APanathinaikos87-85 OT
22/02/18HValencia80-70
17/02/18HAEK Athens83-88
13/02/18ATrikala98-73
09/02/18AReal Madrid80-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %81%92%69%
Points / game90.092.787.4
Allowed / game79.679.479.8
Point differential+10.5+13.3+7.6
Avg total169.6172.1167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%54%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayLLLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %69%85%54%
Points / game76.783.170.4
Allowed / game75.374.276.4
Point differential+1.4+8.8-6.0
Avg total152.0157.3146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (2)83% (6)
Overtime %12%8%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2621581%90.079.6+10.5
2 Fenerbahce2719870%80.675.1+5.5
3 Olympiacos2618869%76.775.3+1.4
4 Real Madrid27161159%85.679.6+6.0
5 Zalgiris Kaunas27161159%81.380.4+0.9
6 Panathinaikos27161159%78.677.7+0.8
7 Khimki M.26151158%78.278.1+0.2
8 Baskonia26131350%82.279.5+2.6
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv27131448%81.884.6-2.8
10 Crvena zvezda27111641%78.183.7-5.6
11 Unicaja26101638%77.681.0-3.4
12 Bamberg26101638%75.979.5-3.6
13 Valencia27101737%78.781.5-2.9
14 Barcelona2691735%80.779.2+1.6
15 Olimpia Milano2791833%80.985.5-4.6
16 Anadolu Efes2662023%77.083.5-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow2321252089
Olympiacos2614221981
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