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Fenerbahce vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 79-81
23-25 17-19 18-10 21-27
Position#2
Record18-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game75.0
Fenerbahce
vs
CSKA Moscow 🏆
Position#1
Record20-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game79.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26
European cup2017
Meetings · Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow
28 Apr 2021
FEN68
CMO85
14 Oct 2020
FEN77
CMO78
18 Dec 2018
FEN79
CMO75
16 Mar 2018
FEN79
CMO81
02 Feb 2017
FEN77
CMO71
15 May 2016
FEN96
CMO101
17 May 2015
FEN80
CMO86
02 Jan 2015
FEN81
CMO84
31 Oct 2013
FEN86
CMO60
29 Jan 2009
FEN48
CMO66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
L
70-95
70
95
-25
94avg 106
A01/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
100-74
100
74
+26
no box
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#13
W
77-69
77
69
+8
105avg 106
H09/02
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#13
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
80-83
80
83
-3
no box
H14/02
Turkish Cup
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
89-70
89
70
+19
120avg 106
H22/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
86-83
86
83
+3
110avg 106
A02/03
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#9
W
80-60
80
60
+20
no box
H04/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
85-78
85
78
+7
114avg 106
A09/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-34
18-11
18-26
16-24
27-10
30-24
14-22
29-18
16-13
26-19
19-16
16-21
21-14
24-25
21-23
29-28
14-26
22-19
25-22
19-16
23-20
25-13
17-15
24-22
20-20
20-25
28-20
18-18
18-13
19-18
19-20
24-9
17-24
14-16
21-18
33-20
15-12
19-17
21-20
19-20
160.7Avg total
83.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.475.0155.4+5.472%
Season at home (12)80.072.9152.9+7.175%
Season away (13)80.876.9157.8+3.969%
Last 10 (10)83.677.1160.7+6.580%
Last 5 (5)82.872.0154.8+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.776.1157.8+5.678%
vs Weaker (20)84.073.0157.0+11.185%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
W
93-87
93
87
+6
118avg 117
H01/02
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#5
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
H05/02
VTB United League
Valencia
#11
L
99-103
99
103
-4
120avg 117
A08/02
Euroleague
Minsk
#8
W
93-83
93
83
+10
no box
A11/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
no box
A14/02
VTB United League
Baskonia
#7
W
93-86
93
86
+7
117avg 117
H22/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
93-73
93
73
+20
124avg 117
A01/03
Euroleague
Saratov
#6
W
110-98
110
98
+12
no box
A04/03
VTB United League
Unicaja
#9
W
101-76
101
76
+25
137avg 117
H09/03
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#9
W
102-83
102
83
+19
no box
A12/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-11
21-20
24-29
15-27
16-15
24-12
21-26
29-18
23-21
19-28
24-24
33-30
32-18
18-19
22-16
21-30
18-20
18-21
21-11
21-23
20-25
26-24
25-22
22-15
22-18
30-18
15-20
26-17
27-28
26-29
30-19
27-22
30-20
27-23
22-18
22-15
24-24
22-23
30-21
26-15
178.7Avg total
95.2Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)90.479.6170.0+10.880%
Season at home (13)92.779.4172.1+13.392%
Season away (12)87.979.8167.8+8.167%
Last 10 (10)95.283.5178.7+11.790%
Last 5 (5)99.883.2183.0+16.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)93.091.0184.0+2.050%
vs Weaker (28)91.180.2171.4+10.982%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
FenerbahceCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A01/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#13
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H09/02
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/02
Turkish Cup
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H22/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A02/03
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#9
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H04/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A09/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
77.9Avg total
40.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.436.377.7+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.835.978.7+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)40.036.876.8+3.273%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.377.9+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.673.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.038.976.9-0.944%-
vs Weaker (20)43.234.878.0+8.590%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H01/02
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#5
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H05/02
VTB United League
Valencia
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A08/02
Euroleague
Minsk
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A11/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A14/02
VTB United League
Baskonia
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H22/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A01/03
Euroleague
Saratov
#6
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A04/03
VTB United League
Unicaja
#9
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H09/03
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A12/03
VTB United League
89.3Avg total
47.6Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.539.885.3+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.938.384.1+7.671%-
Last 30 away (16)45.241.186.3+4.169%-
Last 10 (10)47.641.789.3+5.950%-
Last 5 (5)50.846.497.2+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)47.538.586.0+9.050%-
vs Weaker (28)45.439.985.2+5.571%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.7
53.0%
51.7%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.68.4
42.9%
37.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.115.5
81.2%
76.3%15.5
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.5
55.3%
51.7%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.09.5
43.2%
37.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.816.1
85.6%
76.3%16.1
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWWLWWWL
CSKA Moscow
WWWWWWWLWW
#2
League position
#1
+6.7
Net rating
+15.1
119.7
Offensive rating
123.9
113.0
Defensive rating
108.7
56.9%
Effective FG%
58.5%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
13.7%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
42.9%
3-point %
43.2%
69.0%
Assist %
57.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence119.7 · 123.9Defence113.0 · 108.7Shooting56.9% · 58.5%3-point %42.9% · 43.2%Ball care16.5% · 13.7%Off. rebounds32.5% · 30.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
4
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
17/11/17CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce93-95 OT
02/02/17Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow77-71
23/12/16CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce79-95 OT
15/05/16Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow96-101 OT
17/05/15Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow80-86
27/02/15CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce75-81
02/01/15Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow81-84 OT
06/12/13CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce74-78
31/10/13Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow86-60
25/09/11CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce73-57
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/18AKarsiyaka74-69
09/03/18AZalgiris Kaunas85-78
04/03/18HGalatasaray80-60
02/03/18AReal Madrid86-83
22/02/18HOlimpia Milano89-70
14/02/18HAnadolu Efes80-83
11/02/18AGaziantep95-90
09/02/18HBamberg77-69
04/02/18HAnadolu Efes100-74
01/02/18AOlympiacos70-95
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/18AVEF Riga102-83
09/03/18HUnicaja101-76
04/03/18ASaratov110-98
01/03/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv93-73
22/02/18HBaskonia93-86
14/02/18ALokomotiv Kuban78-75
11/02/18AMinsk93-83
08/02/18AValencia99-103
05/02/18HKhimki M.90-71
01/02/18HReal Madrid93-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %72%75%69%
Points / game80.480.080.8
Allowed / game75.072.976.9
Point differential+5.4+7.1+3.9
Avg total155.4152.9157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)67% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %12%8%15%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %80%92%67%
Points / game90.492.787.9
Allowed / game79.679.479.8
Point differential+10.8+13.3+8.1
Avg total170.0172.1167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%54%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2520580%90.479.6+10.8
2 Fenerbahce2518772%80.475.0+5.4
3 Olympiacos2618869%76.775.3+1.4
4 Real Madrid26161062%85.579.0+6.5
5 Zalgiris Kaunas26151158%81.481.0+0.5
6 Khimki M.26151158%78.278.1+0.2
7 Panathinaikos25141156%77.678.0-0.4
8 Baskonia26131350%82.279.5+2.6
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv26131350%82.284.5-2.3
10 Crvena zvezda26111542%78.483.5-5.0
11 Unicaja25101540%77.680.7-3.1
12 Bamberg26101638%75.979.5-3.6
13 Barcelona2691735%80.779.2+1.6
14 Valencia2691735%78.081.3-3.3
15 Olimpia Milano2691735%81.585.8-4.3
16 Anadolu Efes2662023%77.083.5-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2317182179
CSKA Moscow2519102781
← all games of the day
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