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CSKA Moscow vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-75
17-16 27-19 18-23 22-17
Position#1
Record2-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#8
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game73.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 6
European cup2020
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Valencia
29 Oct 2020
CMO84
VAL75
09 Nov 2017
CMO94
VAL67
08 Dec 2010
CMO73
VAL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parma Perm
#3
W
91-51
91
51
+40
H18/09
Gomelsky Cup
Astana
#12
W
93-60
93
60
+33
A23/09
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#9
L
95-97
95
97
-2
H26/09
VTB United League
Barcelona
#2
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A01/10
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
94-80
94
80
+14
H04/10
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H08/10
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
100-66
100
66
+34
H10/10
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#9
W
78-77 OT
78
77
+1
A14/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H16/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
84-86 OT
84
86
-2
A22/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-10
26-14
17-6
23-21
30-15
20-14
22-23
21-8
26-25
29-19
26-17
14-36
14-24
19-17
15-14
18-21
17-25
31-23
26-10
20-22
20-15
11-15
14-14
31-28
22-18
35-18
15-17
28-13
12-10
20-21
17-20
20-18
19-17
32-30
14-21
23-25
20-18
23-17
8-11
22-27
162.3Avg total
86.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.480.8159.2-2.440%
Season at home (2)82.082.5164.5-0.550%
Season away (3)76.079.7155.7-3.733%
Last 10 (10)86.575.8162.3+10.760%
Last 5 (5)85.278.8164.0+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)73.086.0159.0-13.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)90.474.8165.2+15.679%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H25/09
ACB
Manresa
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A27/09
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H01/10
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A04/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#7
W
93-77
93
77
+16
A08/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H11/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H13/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
94-82
94
82
+12
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H24/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A27/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
18-23
27-27
25-13
29-23
19-17
13-22
21-12
18-17
19-16
13-14
15-16
18-23
24-24
18-18
25-30
17-19
27-20
24-14
25-24
20-18
13-10
18-21
15-22
19-16
16-17
9-21
22-17
22-27
15-18
30-12
27-25
17-27
22-28
23-19
31-10
19-21
20-12
18-22
21-22
158.3Avg total
81.3Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.573.2152.8+6.275%
Season at home (2)65.567.0132.5-1.550%
Season away (2)93.579.5173.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.377.0158.3+4.370%
Last 5 (5)79.477.0156.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)70.778.0148.7-7.333%
vs Similar (9)84.272.7156.9+11.689%
vs Weaker (17)84.479.5163.9+4.971%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.6+3.6
CSKA MoscowValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parma Perm
#3
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H18/09
Gomelsky Cup
Astana
#12
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A23/09
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H26/09
VTB United League
Barcelona
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A01/10
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H04/10
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H08/10
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H10/10
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#9
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A14/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H16/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A22/10
Euroleague
81.6Avg total
45.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.037.482.4+7.680%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.938.587.3+10.493%-
Last 30 away (15)41.136.377.4+4.967%-
Last 10 (10)45.136.581.6+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)42.835.878.6+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.043.080.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)45.637.082.5+8.686%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H25/09
ACB
Manresa
#11
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A27/09
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H01/10
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A04/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A08/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H11/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H13/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H24/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A27/10
ACB
78.2Avg total
39.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.578.0+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.135.575.6+4.679%-
Last 30 away (16)38.941.280.1-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.978.2+0.470%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.875.4-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)28.332.761.0-4.333%-
vs Similar (9)38.437.776.1+0.844%-
vs Weaker (17)41.940.181.9+1.865%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.2
50.0%
52.7%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.310.7
44.0%
38.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws25.719.9
77.4%
79.3%19.9
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.0
55.1%
52.7%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.4
35.7%
38.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.913.1
82.4%
79.3%13.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
LLWWWWLLWW
Valencia
WWWLLWLWWW
#1
League position
#8
+13.1
Net rating
+6.0
120.8
Offensive rating
111.2
107.7
Defensive rating
105.3
56.4%
Effective FG%
54.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.4%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.26
44.0%
3-point %
35.7%
56.7%
Assist %
58.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence120.8 · 111.2Defence107.7 · 105.3Shooting56.4% · 54.5%3-point %44.0% · 35.7%Ball care15.5% · 17.4%Off. rebounds32.6% · 29.5%Free throws0.42 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
CSKA Moscow wins
2
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
08/02/18Valencia v CSKA Moscow103-99
09/11/17CSKA Moscow v Valencia94-67
08/12/10CSKA Moscow v Valencia73-63
03/11/10Valencia v CSKA Moscow82-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/20ACrvena zvezda84-86 OT
16/10/20HAlba Berlin88-93
14/10/20AFenerbahce78-77 OT
10/10/20HSaratov100-66
08/10/20HMaccabi Tel Aviv76-72
04/10/20HLokomotiv Kuban94-80
01/10/20ABarcelona66-76
26/09/20HParma Perm95-97
23/09/20AAstana93-60
18/09/20HParma Perm91-51
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/20AObradoiro CAB78-77
24/10/20HBasket Zaragoza93-84
22/10/20AZalgiris Kaunas94-82
13/10/20HBarcelona66-71
11/10/20HUnicaja66-71
08/10/20AReal Madrid93-77
04/10/20AReal Betis85-95
01/10/20HLyon-Villeurbanne65-63
27/09/20AManresa82-74
25/09/20HMoraBanc Andorra91-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game78.482.076.0
Allowed / game80.882.579.7
Point differential-2.4-0.5-3.7
Avg total159.2164.5155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %40%0%67%
Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game79.565.593.5
Allowed / game73.267.079.5
Point differential+6.2-1.5+14.0
Avg total152.8132.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zenit Petersburg220100%73.569.5+4.0
2 Bayern54180%80.674.8+5.8
3 Barcelona54180%78.673.4+5.2
4 Zalgiris Kaunas54180%79.674.6+5.0
5 Valencia43175%79.573.2+6.2
6 Olimpia Milano43175%80.277.0+3.2
7 Baskonia32167%75.371.0+4.3
8 Olympiacos53260%76.874.0+2.8
9 Panathinaikos42250%80.079.8+0.2
10 Crvena zvezda42250%77.077.2-0.2
11 Fenerbahce52340%74.673.8+0.8
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv52340%81.081.2-0.2
13 CSKA Moscow52340%78.480.8-2.4
14 Anadolu Efes41325%76.578.5-2.0
15 Alba Berlin41325%77.587.8-10.2
16 Real Madrid51420%75.282.2-7.0
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2020%68.076.0-8.0
18 Khimki M.5050%75.684.4-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow1727182284
Valencia1619231775
← all games of the day
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