Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	63.0	76.0	139.0	-13.0	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	63.0	76.0	139.0	-13.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	87.5	73.3	160.8	+14.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	72.0	154.0	+10.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	80.8	82.0	162.8	-1.2	25%
vs Weaker (24)	88.0	75.9	163.9	+12.0	92%

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValencia

Date

Competition

Breogan

#18

83-82

no box

H04/05

ACB

Barcelona

78-72

no box

A10/05

ACB

Estudiantes

#16

90-82

no box

H12/05

ACB

Barcelona

82-78

no box

A13/02

Spanish Cup

Real Madrid

68-91

-23

no box

A15/02

Spanish Cup

Baskonia

73-76

-3

72avg 76

A20/09

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#10

91-76

+15

93avg 76

H25/09

ACB

Manresa

#11

82-74

73avg 76

A27/09

ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#14

65-63

56avg 76

H01/10

Euroleague

Real Betis

#16

85-95

-10

83avg 76

A04/10

ACB

23-10

24-27

26-22

10-23

12-14

18-17

26-17

22-24

21-23

31-17

28-17

10-25

19-18

22-20

23-14

18-26

11-18

9-16

24-33

24-24

16-25

19-19

20-14

18-18

21-13

18-23

27-27

25-13

29-23

19-17

13-22

21-12

18-17

19-16

13-14

15-16

18-23

24-24

18-18

25-30

158.6Avg total

79.7Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	65.0	63.0	128.0	+2.0	100%
Season at home (1)	65.0	63.0	128.0	+2.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	79.7	78.9	158.6	+0.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	76.8	156.0	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	73.0	81.5	154.5	-8.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	81.6	70.7	152.3	+10.9	86%
vs Weaker (19)	83.4	79.1	162.5	+4.3	68%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.0	39.7	+3.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.5	18.2	40.7	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.0	17.9	38.9	+3.1	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	15.1	37.0	+6.8	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	14.4	35.4	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	19.8	16.5	36.2	+3.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (24)	21.9	18.2	40.0	+3.7	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.5	36.5	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	15.7	34.9	+3.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	19.1	37.8	-0.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	11.5	16.0	27.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.6	16.4	35.0	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (19)	19.7	18.3	38.1	+1.4	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.6	36.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.2	23.8	42.0	-5.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (24)	19.5	19.2	38.8	+0.3	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	19.5	41.4	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	13.5	16.5	30.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.3	20.0	39.3	-0.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+0.9	47%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fenerbahce

38-40

-2

A19/05

Euroleague

Bilbao

50-47

H13/02

Spanish Cup

Valencia

34-20

+14

H15/02

Spanish Cup

Unicaja

43-28

+15

A16/02

Spanish Cup

Tenerife

48-42

A12/09

Supercopa ACB

Barcelona

31-32

-1

H13/09

Supercopa ACB

Gipuzkoa

#19

41-41

A19/09

ACB

Basket Zaragoza

#13

47-41

H25/09

ACB

Joventut Badalona

42-23

+19

A27/09

ACB

Baskonia

#10

29-33

-4

A02/10

Euroleague

75.0Avg total

40.3Scored

34.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	38.2	79.7	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.5	39.5	81.9	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.7	37.3	78.0	+3.4	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	34.7	75.0	+5.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	34.0	72.0	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	38.0	40.2	78.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (24)	41.4	37.4	78.8	+4.0	62%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Breogan

#18

47-37

+10

H04/05

ACB

Barcelona

30-31

-1

A10/05

ACB

Estudiantes

#16

52-40

+12

H12/05

ACB

Barcelona

41-38

A13/02

Spanish Cup

Real Madrid

20-34

-14

A15/02

Spanish Cup

Baskonia

35-44

-9

A20/09

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#10

39-36

H25/09

ACB

Manresa

#11

48-40

A27/09

ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#14

37-33

H01/10

Euroleague

Real Betis

#16

42-47

-5

A04/10

ACB

77.1Avg total

39.1Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	37.8	77.2	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	35.2	76.3	+5.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	40.1	77.9	-2.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	38.0	77.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	40.0	80.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	25.0	32.5	57.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	37.9	36.4	74.3	+1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (19)	41.3	38.9	80.3	+2.4	63%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	17.2	40.7	+6.3	87%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.5	16.9	41.5	+7.6	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.7	17.4	40.1	+5.3	88%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	17.1	41.8	+7.6	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	15.4	38.0	+7.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	24.0	20.2	44.2	+3.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (24)	23.5	16.8	40.2	+6.8	88%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.0	40.3	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.5	18.6	42.1	+4.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	25.0	25.0	50.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.9	17.3	38.1	+3.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.6	44.0	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.7	21.2	42.8	+0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.8	22.0	44.8	+0.8	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.6	44.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.8	21.5	40.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (24)	23.0	21.8	44.8	+1.2	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	21.2	42.7	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.1	39.9	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.8	38.6	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	24.0	47.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	22.9	17.0	39.9	+5.9	71%	-
vs Weaker (19)	20.5	20.4	40.8	+0.1	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.8	38.8	84.7	+7.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	46.2	38.1	84.3	+8.2	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	45.5	39.4	84.9	+6.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.2	38.6	85.8	+8.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	38.0	82.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	42.8	41.8	84.5	+1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (24)	46.5	38.5	85.1	+8.0	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	39.3	81.7	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.3	37.8	82.1	+6.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.8	40.6	81.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	40.9	81.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	36.8	75.8	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	48.0	49.0	97.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	43.7	34.3	78.0	+9.4	100%	-
vs Weaker (19)	41.6	39.5	81.1	+2.1	47%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.8	20.0	61.0%	52.7%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	11.1	41.0%	38.1%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	16.4	12.7	77.4%	79.3%	12.7

They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 82.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	20.9	58.2%	52.7%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.7	34.9%	38.1%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	17.7	14.5	81.9%	79.3%	14.5

They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	18.3	46.8%	52.7%	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	8.3	34.6%	38.1%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.2	74.9%	79.3%	15.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	19.6	52.3%	52.7%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	8.9	34.6%	38.1%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	12.3	9.7	78.9%	79.3%	9.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.1	19.6	57.6%	52.7%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	10.4	36.9%	38.1%	31.1
🏀 Free throws	19.3	14.7	76.3%	79.3%	14.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.0	19.0	55.9%	52.7%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	10.0	38.3%	38.1%	30.1
🏀 Free throws	16.9	13.2	78.3%	79.3%	13.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	18.6	47.6%	52.7%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	8.6	34.9%	38.1%	25.7
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.5	75.8%	79.3%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	18.7	52.4%	52.7%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	9.0	35.9%	38.1%	27.1
🏀 Free throws	14.1	10.7	76.3%	79.3%	10.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Real Madrid

LWWWWWWWWW

Valencia

LWWWLLWWWW

League position

+12.7

Net rating

+9.6

117.9

Offensive rating

116.7

105.1

Defensive rating

107.1

61.2%

Effective FG%

55.8%

48.7%

Opp. effective FG%

52.1%

18.7%

Turnover %

16.6%

28.1%

Off. rebound %

33.3%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.29

41.0%

3-point %

34.9%

58.5%

Assist %

61.5%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Real Madrid ■ Valencia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
15/02/20	Real Madrid v Valencia	91-68
05/10/18	Valencia v Real Madrid	70-88
25/03/18	Real Madrid v Valencia	83-71
20/03/18	Valencia v Real Madrid	96-88
19/12/17	Real Madrid v Valencia	91-72
15/10/17	Valencia v Real Madrid	82-86
16/06/17	Valencia v Real Madrid	87-76
14/06/17	Valencia v Real Madrid	81-64
11/06/17	Real Madrid v Valencia	79-86
09/06/17	Real Madrid v Valencia	87-81

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/10/20	A	Baskonia	63-76
27/09/20	A	Joventut Badalona	87-64
25/09/20	H	Basket Zaragoza	102-83
19/09/20	A	Gipuzkoa	86-70
13/09/20	H	Barcelona	72-67
12/09/20	A	Tenerife	92-79
16/02/20	A	Unicaja	95-68
15/02/20	H	Valencia	91-68
13/02/20	H	Bilbao	93-83
19/05/19	A	Fenerbahce	94-75

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/10/20	A	Real Betis	85-95
01/10/20	H	Lyon-Villeurbanne	65-63
27/09/20	A	Manresa	82-74
25/09/20	H	MoraBanc Andorra	91-76
20/09/20	A	Baskonia	73-76
15/02/20	A	Real Madrid	68-91
13/02/20	A	Barcelona	82-78
12/05/19	H	Estudiantes	90-82
10/05/19	A	Barcelona	78-72
04/05/19	H	Breogan	83-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

Euroleague 2020

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	-	-
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	63.0	-	63.0
Allowed / game	76.0	-	76.0
Point differential	-13.0	-	-13.0
Avg total	139.0	-	139.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Valencia

Euroleague 2020

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	65.0	65.0	-
Allowed / game	63.0	63.0	-
Point differential	+2.0	+2.0	-
Avg total	128.0	128.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Baskonia	1	1	0	100%	76.0	63.0	+13.0
2	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	100%	78.5	67.0	+11.5
3	Barcelona	1	1	0	100%	76.0	66.0	+10.0
4	Zenit Petersburg	1	1	0	100%	73.0	69.0	+4.0
5	Olimpia Milano	1	1	0	100%	81.0	79.0	+2.0
6	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	100%	78.0	76.0	+2.0
7	Valencia	1	1	0	100%	65.0	63.0	+2.0
8	Zalgiris Kaunas	1	1	0	100%	68.0	67.0	+1.0
9	Maccabi Tel Aviv	2	1	1	50%	76.0	74.5	+1.5
10	CSKA Moscow	2	1	1	50%	71.0	74.0	-3.0
11	Olympiacos	1	0	1	0%	67.0	68.0	-1.0
12	Bayern	1	0	1	0%	79.0	81.0	-2.0
13	Khimki M.	1	0	1	0%	76.0	78.0	-2.0
14	Lyon-Villeurbanne	1	0	1	0%	63.0	65.0	-2.0
15	Anadolu Efes	2	0	2	0%	70.0	76.5	-6.5
16	Alba Berlin	1	0	1	0%	73.0	80.0	-7.0
17	Real Madrid	1	0	1	0%	63.0	76.0	-13.0
18	Crvena zvezda	1	0	1	0%	63.0	77.0	-14.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	19	20	14	24	77
Valencia	17	27	24	25	93

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Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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