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AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 May 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-63
22-17 19-13 21-14 20-19
Position#1
Record23-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game70.1
AEK Larnaca 🏆
Cyprus
vs
Anorthosis
Cyprus
Position#5
Record14-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game81.4
CyprusDivision ADivision A - Semi-finals· Kition Athletic Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Anorthosis
15 Nov 2026
ALA v ANOR
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
ALA81
ANOR64
08 May 2025
ALA88
ANOR73
01 May 2025
ALA82
ANOR63
16 Mar 2025
ALA89
ANOR83
05 Dec 2024
ALA76
ANOR73
21 Apr 2024
ALA88
ANOR76
04 Nov 2023
ALA76
ANOR58
22 Apr 2023
ALA90
ANOR72
12 Apr 2023
ALA83
ANOR72
16 Oct 2022
ALA76
ANOR52
13 Apr 2022
ALA94
ANOR59
30 Oct 2021
ALA90
ANOR57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Anorthosis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
78avg 79
H06/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
88-82
88
82
+6
87avg 79
A12/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
85-82
85
82
+3
88avg 79
H07/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
57-76
57
76
-19
46avg 79
A12/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
89-83
89
83
+6
84avg 79
H16/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 79
A22/03
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
89-71
89
71
+18
89avg 79
H28/03
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
84avg 79
A01/04
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
99-59
99
59
+40
102avg 79
H16/04
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
95-75
95
75
+20
98avg 79
A23/04
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
22-25
23-19
21-18
27-30
19-13
23-13
19-26
21-20
28-19
19-20
17-23
14-16
19-18
13-20
11-22
20-24
17-24
23-19
29-16
26-17
30-16
15-16
20-20
15-19
34-19
23-23
17-10
24-21
18-28
22-9
21-18
20-23
22-11
33-8
24-17
23-14
31-18
19-25
22-18
161.9Avg total
86.4Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.370.1156.4+16.296%
Season at home (12)88.268.9157.1+19.2100%
Season away (12)84.571.2155.8+13.292%
Last 10 (10)86.475.5161.9+10.990%
Last 5 (5)91.870.0161.8+21.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.085.7156.7-14.733%
vs Similar (3)83.374.7158.0+8.7100%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.869.4156.2+17.395%
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AnorthosisCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAnorthosis
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#9
W
100-68
100
68
+32
102avg 75
A06/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
73avg 75
H12/02
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
106-83
106
83
+23
110avg 75
H28/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
97-93
97
93
+4
89avg 75
A08/03
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
92-52
92
52
+40
88avg 75
H11/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
83-89
83
89
-6
75avg 75
A16/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
79-89
79
89
-10
67avg 75
H23/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
72-86
72
86
-14
57avg 75
A29/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
80-72
80
72
+8
80avg 75
H16/04
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
80-73
80
73
+7
33avg 75
A23/04
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
27-16
29-18
27-19
30-27
13-19
13-23
26-19
33-25
25-23
25-20
23-15
30-20
22-19
22-31
23-23
29-14
15-15
23-8
25-15
24-20
24-17
19-23
16-29
19-17
21-24
19-22
20-26
13-20
23-23
14-24
22-19
29-24
20-12
17-17
14-19
23-26
16-17
18-16
23-14
166.4Avg total
87.1Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.081.4168.4+5.658%
Season at home (12)89.882.2172.0+7.567%
Season away (12)84.280.6164.8+3.750%
Last 10 (10)87.179.3166.4+7.860%
Last 5 (5)78.881.8160.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.787.9165.7-10.27%
vs Similar (3)83.774.0157.7+9.7100%
vs Weaker (12)92.478.2170.6+14.283%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
AEK LarnacaAnorthosis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H06/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A12/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H07/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H16/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
56-33
56
33
+23
A22/03
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H28/03
Division A
Apollon
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A01/04
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H16/04
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A23/04
Division A
84.5Avg total
45.0Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.481.2+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.738.980.7+2.860%-
Last 30 away (15)43.937.981.8+6.160%-
Last 10 (10)45.039.584.5+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)48.637.285.8+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.844.583.3-5.717%-
vs Similar (3)43.338.081.3+5.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.936.780.6+7.267%-
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AnorthosisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#9
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A06/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H12/02
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H28/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A08/03
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H11/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A16/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H23/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A29/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H16/04
Division A
Paralimni
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A23/04
Division A
84.6Avg total
45.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.785.9+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.141.987.9+4.260%-
Last 30 away (15)40.443.583.9-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)45.339.384.6+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.082.4+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.945.685.5-5.720%-
vs Similar (3)45.339.084.3+6.367%-
vs Weaker (12)46.940.086.9+6.967%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.7
57.8%
51.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.911.0
35.6%
34.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws14.511.1
76.6%
70.5%11.1
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Anorthosistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Anorthosis: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.825.4
55.5%
51.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.2
37.1%
34.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws14.59.9
68.3%
70.5%9.9
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WWWWWWLWWW
Anorthosis
WWLLLWWWLW
#1
League position
#5
+14.5
Net rating
+13.6
112.5
Offensive rating
115.6
98.0
Defensive rating
102.0
55.8%
Effective FG%
55.5%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.9%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.6%
3-point %
37.1%
71.9%
Assist %
60.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 115.6Defence98.0 · 102.0Shooting55.8% · 55.5%3-point %35.6% · 37.1%Ball care19.0% · 15.9%Off. rebounds31.6% · 34.5%Free throws0.22 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Anorthosis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
AEK Larnaca wins
1
Anorthosis wins
DateGameScore
16/03/25AEK Larnaca v Anorthosis89-83
12/02/25Anorthosis v AEK Larnaca82-88
05/12/24AEK Larnaca v Anorthosis76-73
21/04/24AEK Larnaca v Anorthosis88-76
19/01/24Anorthosis v AEK Larnaca82-72
04/11/23AEK Larnaca v Anorthosis76-58
22/04/23AEK Larnaca v Anorthosis90-72
19/04/23Anorthosis v AEK Larnaca71-84
12/04/23AEK Larnaca v Anorthosis83-72
03/01/23Anorthosis v AEK Larnaca70-81
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/25AAchilleas K.95-75
16/04/25HETHA Engomi99-59
01/04/25AApollon85-76
28/03/25HParalimni89-71
22/03/25AApoel BC91-69
16/03/25HAnorthosis89-83
12/03/25AAEL57-76
07/03/25HKeravnos85-82
12/02/25AAnorthosis88-82
06/02/25HParalimni86-82
Anorthosislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/25AParalimni80-73
16/04/25HApoel BC80-72
29/03/25AAEL72-86
23/03/25HKeravnos79-89
16/03/25AAEK Larnaca83-89
11/03/25HAchilleas K.92-52
08/03/25AETHA Engomi97-93
28/02/25HApollon106-83
12/02/25HAEK Larnaca82-88
06/02/25AAchilleas K.100-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW96%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %96%100%92%
Points / game86.388.284.5
Allowed / game70.168.971.2
Point differential+16.2+19.2+13.2
Avg total156.4157.1155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%58%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Anorthosis
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW58%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game87.089.884.2
Allowed / game81.482.280.6
Point differential+5.6+7.5+3.7
Avg total168.4172.0164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%42%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)-40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca2423196%86.370.1+16.2
2 Keravnos2521484%95.579.2+16.3
3 AEL2517868%85.574.4+11.1
4 Anorthosis24141058%87.081.4+5.6
5 Apoel BC24131154%82.580.3+2.2
6 Paralimni2491538%78.182.8-4.6
7 Apollon2471729%82.792.8-10.1
8 ETHA Engomi2432112%73.689.3-15.7
9 Achilleas K.242228%67.890.0-22.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca2219212082
Anorthosis1713141963
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