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Czech Republic vs Estonia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 75-73
24-20 17-17 11-16 23-20
Position#49
Record2-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Position#58
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game81.6
EuropeWorld CupRound 6· Starez Aréna Vodova
Other2027
Meetings · Czech Republic v Estonia
06 Jul 2026
CZEC75
ESTO73
30 Aug 2025
CZEC75
ESTO89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Czech Republic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Czech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRepublic
Date
Competition
Portugal
#17
L
50-62
50
62
-12
43avg 65
H27/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
78-92
78
92
-14
68avg 65
A29/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
L
75-89
75
89
-14
69avg 65
H30/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
60-82
60
82
-22
49avg 65
A01/09
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
75-109
75
109
-34
64avg 65
H03/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#47
W
97-80
97
80
+17
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Estonia
#58
W
97-92
97
92
+5
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Slovenia
#44
L
59-99
59
99
-40
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#44
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
H01/03
World Cup
Sweden
#47
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-13
19-19
11-13
10-17
27-21
10-24
25-27
16-20
19-23
17-31
18-23
21-12
5-27
18-18
20-16
17-21
24-30
20-28
12-28
19-23
27-22
20-24
27-17
23-17
27-29
31-24
22-21
17-18
16-20
20-24
14-31
9-24
27-21
27-15
9-27
21-23
16-34
19-27
24-18
17-8
162.9Avg total
75.1Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.688.8171.4-6.240%
Season at home (2)90.583.0173.5+7.550%
Season away (3)77.392.7170.0-15.333%
Last 10 (10)75.187.8162.9-12.720%
Last 5 (5)82.688.8171.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)71.686.6158.2-15.15%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.986.8170.7-2.944%
vs Weaker (2)83.075.5158.5+7.550%
This opponent (Estonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstonia
Date
Competition
Serbia
#6
L
64-98
64
98
-34
49avg 63
A27/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
70-72
70
72
-2
67avg 63
H29/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
89-75
89
75
+14
81avg 63
A30/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
64-84
64
84
-20
54avg 63
H01/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
L
65-68
65
68
-3
65avg 63
H03/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#44
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Czech Republic
#49
L
92-97
92
97
-5
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Sweden
#47
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Sweden
#47
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
H01/03
World Cup
Slovenia
#44
W
93-62
93
62
+31
no box
H03/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-32
17-24
15-30
20-12
21-17
21-21
19-25
9-9
23-19
31-17
23-18
12-21
13-25
14-21
22-19
15-19
14-14
18-13
13-20
20-21
19-20
20-18
26-20
14-21
29-27
24-31
21-22
18-17
22-22
24-14
11-22
31-19
22-23
16-15
17-13
14-28
22-16
24-15
27-20
20-11
159.3Avg total
78.8Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.281.6168.8+5.660%
Season at home (3)84.779.3164.0+5.333%
Season away (2)91.085.0176.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.880.5159.3-1.740%
Last 5 (5)87.281.6168.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)71.780.9152.7-9.221%
vs Similar ◀ (7)84.977.4162.3+7.471%
vs Weaker (4)80.577.2157.8+3.250%
This opponent (Czech Republic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
Czech RepublicEstonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Czech RepublicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portugal
#17
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H27/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A29/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H30/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A01/09
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H03/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#47
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H28/11
World Cup
Estonia
#58
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A01/12
World Cup
Slovenia
#44
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A27/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#44
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H01/03
World Cup
Sweden
#47
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A03/07
World Cup
87.3Avg total
39.9Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.143.082.1-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.240.681.9+0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)37.245.182.2-7.919%-
Last 10 (10)39.947.487.3-7.530%-
Last 5 (5)46.048.094.0-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.942.479.3-5.432%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.144.888.9-0.744%-
vs Weaker (2)36.541.077.5-4.550%-
This opponent (Estonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#6
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A27/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H29/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A30/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H01/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H03/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#44
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A28/11
World Cup
Czech Republic
#49
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H01/12
World Cup
Sweden
#47
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A27/02
World Cup
Sweden
#47
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H01/03
World Cup
Slovenia
#44
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H03/07
World Cup
81.0Avg total
40.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.279.6-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.239.477.6-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)38.643.281.8-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.481.0+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.284.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.342.678.9-6.432%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.340.482.7+1.943%-
vs Weaker (4)41.535.877.2+5.875%-
This opponent (Czech Republic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Czech Republictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Czech Republic: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.614.5
49.0%
-29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.5
32.1%
-31.5
🏀 Free throws15.410.6
68.8%
-10.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estonia: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.5
49.9%
-35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.8
31.5%
-26.4
🏀 Free throws17.312.4
71.7%
-12.4
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Czech Republic
LLLWWLLLLL
Estonia
WLWLWLLWLL
#49
League position
#58
-23.4
Net rating
-2.6
96.1
Offensive rating
101.6
119.5
Defensive rating
104.3
48.6%
Effective FG%
48.7%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
21.7%
Turnover %
18.4%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.1%
3-point %
31.5%
79.2%
Assist %
76.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Czech Republic   ■ Estonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Czech Republic wins
1
Estonia wins
DateGameScore
01/12/25Estonia v Czech Republic92-97
30/08/25Czech Republic v Estonia75-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/26ASweden76-87
01/03/26HSlovenia84-86
27/02/26ASlovenia59-99
01/12/25AEstonia97-92
28/11/25HSweden97-80
03/09/25HLatvia75-109
01/09/25ASerbia60-82
30/08/25HEstonia75-89
29/08/25ATurkey78-92
27/08/25HPortugal50-62
Estonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/26HSlovenia93-62
01/03/26HSweden69-79
27/02/26ASweden88-77
01/12/25HCzech Republic92-97
28/11/25ASlovenia94-93 OT
03/09/25HPortugal65-68
01/09/25HTurkey64-84
30/08/25ACzech Republic89-75
29/08/25HLatvia70-72
27/08/25ASerbia64-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Czech Republic
World Cup 2027
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game82.690.577.3
Allowed / game88.883.092.7
Point differential-6.2+7.5-15.3
Avg total171.4173.5170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estonia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game87.284.791.0
Allowed / game81.679.385.0
Point differential+5.6+5.3+6.0
Avg total168.8164.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia660100%94.267.2+27.0
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada550100%101.682.6+19.0
4 Brazil550100%91.674.4+17.2
5 Poland550100%94.878.4+16.4
6 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
7 Croatia98189%96.969.8+27.1
8 Jordan65183%85.060.0+25.0
9 Senegal65183%88.267.7+20.5
10 Ivory Coast65183%94.875.2+19.7
11 Argentina65183%86.266.7+19.5
12 Lebanon65183%89.572.3+17.2
13 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
14 Uruguay65183%83.568.2+15.3
15 Iran65183%75.363.5+11.8
16 Italy65183%87.376.8+10.5
17 Mali65183%80.774.3+6.3
18 Cameroon65183%76.771.8+4.8
19 Germany54180%88.680.2+8.4
20 France54180%81.473.6+7.8
21 Finland54180%79.876.6+3.2
22 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
23 Ukraine107370%81.974.6+7.3
24 South Sudan64267%82.765.3+17.3
25 New Zealand64267%93.278.8+14.3
26 Angola64267%84.772.5+12.2
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Guinea64267%72.564.3+8.2
29 Japan64267%83.275.0+8.2
30 Tunisia64267%74.868.5+6.3
31 Qatar64267%80.074.3+5.7
32 Nigeria64267%79.774.7+5.0
33 Montenegro64267%68.572.3-3.8
34 Estonia53260%87.281.6+5.6
35 Slovenia53260%86.882.6+4.2
36 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
37 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
38 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
39 Netherlands95456%79.975.7+4.2
40 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
41 Portugal63350%80.874.8+6.0
42 Lithuania63350%90.585.0+5.5
43 Greece63350%72.268.0+4.2
44 Egypt63350%77.773.7+4.0
45 Saudi Arabia63350%76.874.3+2.5
46 South Korea63350%78.078.0+0.0
47 China63350%84.084.8-0.8
48 Cape Verde63350%79.881.8-2.0
49 Georgia63350%80.882.8-2.0
50 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
51 Colombia42250%79.284.5-5.2
52 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
53 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
54 Austria136746%84.382.8+1.5
55 Hungary94544%80.478.4+2.0
56 Israel52340%80.674.8+5.8
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
58 Bahamas52340%90.289.2+1.0
59 Latvia52340%78.079.8-1.8
60 Sweden52340%81.284.8-3.6
61 Czech Republic52340%82.688.8-6.2
62 Jamaica52340%88.0100.2-12.2
63 Philippines62433%77.579.5-2.0
64 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
65 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
66 Panama62433%75.887.5-11.7
67 Syria62433%66.078.3-12.3
68 D.R. Congo62433%66.382.5-16.2
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Venezuela41325%80.586.2-5.8
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Puerto Rico51420%84.492.2-7.8
77 Chile51420%71.079.4-8.4
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium5050%72.279.0-6.8
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua3030%70.794.3-23.7
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
93 Cyprus5050%56.496.6-40.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Czech Republic2417112375
Estonia2017162073
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