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Estonia vs Slovenia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-62
22-16 24-15 27-20 20-11
Position#58
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game86.5
Estonia 🏆
vs
Position#44
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 5· Unibet Arena
Other2027
Meetings · Estonia v Slovenia
03 Jul 2026
ESTO93
SLOV62
24 Feb 2023
ESTO79
SLOV78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Slovenia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstonia
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
A24/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
64-98
64
98
-34
49avg 63
A27/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
70-72
70
72
-2
67avg 63
H29/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
89-75
89
75
+14
81avg 63
A30/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
64-84
64
84
-20
54avg 63
H01/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
L
65-68
65
68
-3
65avg 63
H03/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#44
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Czech Republic
#49
L
92-97
92
97
-5
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Sweden
#47
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Sweden
#47
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
H01/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
24-32
21-7
11-15
12-32
17-24
15-30
20-12
21-17
21-21
19-25
9-9
23-19
31-17
23-18
12-21
13-25
14-21
22-19
15-19
14-14
18-13
13-20
20-21
19-20
20-18
26-20
14-21
29-27
24-31
21-22
18-17
22-22
24-14
11-22
31-19
22-23
16-15
17-13
14-28
159.5Avg total
77.0Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.886.5172.2-0.850%
Season at home (2)80.588.0168.5-7.50%
Season away (2)91.085.0176.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.082.5159.5-5.530%
Last 5 (5)81.682.8164.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)71.980.5152.4-8.525%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.580.0163.5+3.567%
vs Weaker (4)80.577.2157.8+3.250%
This opponent (Slovenia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSlovenia
Date
Competition
France
#5
L
95-103
95
103
-8
88avg 82
A30/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
86-69
86
69
+17
86avg 82
H31/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
87-79
87
79
+8
75avg 82
A02/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
106-96
106
96
+10
109avg 82
A04/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
84-77
84
77
+7
74avg 82
A07/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
91-99
91
99
-8
82avg 82
A10/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#58
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Sweden
#47
W
94-83
94
83
+11
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Czech Republic
#49
W
99-59
99
59
+40
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Czech Republic
#49
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
A01/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
24-19
16-21
25-35
16-10
27-21
21-17
22-21
21-20
15-15
24-11
27-33
26-22
30-21
23-22
27-31
29-11
21-29
22-16
12-21
32-21
19-24
23-25
17-29
20-19
18-20
20-26
21-14
31-16
18-26
24-22
21-19
20-16
24-20
31-14
24-9
21-27
15-27
27-9
23-21
176.4Avg total
92.1Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.080.0173.0+13.075%
Season at home (2)96.076.5172.5+19.550%
Season away (2)90.083.5173.5+6.5100%
Last 10 (10)92.184.3176.4+7.870%
Last 5 (5)92.683.8176.4+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)85.891.8177.5-6.038%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.583.9171.5+3.662%
vs Weaker (9)87.375.7163.0+11.778%
This opponent (Estonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
EstoniaSlovenia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#4
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A24/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A27/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H29/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A30/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H01/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H03/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#44
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A28/11
World Cup
Czech Republic
#49
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H01/12
World Cup
Sweden
#47
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A27/02
World Cup
Sweden
#47
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H01/03
World Cup
83.6Avg total
40.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.479.8-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.239.878.0-1.544%-
Last 30 away (14)38.643.281.8-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)40.343.383.6-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.481.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)36.842.379.1-5.535%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.742.083.7-0.333%-
vs Weaker (4)41.535.877.2+5.875%-
This opponent (Slovenia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SloveniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France
#5
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A30/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H31/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A02/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A04/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A07/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A10/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#58
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/11
World Cup
Sweden
#47
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A01/12
World Cup
Czech Republic
#49
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H27/02
World Cup
Czech Republic
#49
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A01/03
World Cup
86.9Avg total
45.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.884.7+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.241.784.9+1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)42.641.984.5+0.665%-
Last 10 (10)45.741.286.9+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.286.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.543.489.9+3.162%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.141.883.8+0.354%-
vs Weaker (9)40.840.681.3+0.267%-
This opponent (Estonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estonia: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.5
49.9%
-35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.8
31.5%
-26.4
🏀 Free throws17.312.4
71.7%
-12.4
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sloveniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Slovenia: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.0 pts a game · 26% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.6
55.0%
-35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.7
31.6%
-29.1
🏀 Free throws28.823.0
79.9%
-23.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estonia
LWLWLLWLLL
Slovenia
WWWLLWWWWL
#58
League position
#44
-2.6
Net rating
+1.8
101.6
Offensive rating
114.9
104.3
Defensive rating
113.0
48.7%
Effective FG%
51.3%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.4%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.46
31.5%
3-point %
31.6%
76.0%
Assist %
70.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Estonia   ■ Slovenia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Estonia wins
1
Slovenia wins
DateGameScore
28/11/25Slovenia v Estonia93-94 OT
24/02/23Estonia v Slovenia79-78
25/08/22Slovenia v Estonia104-83
Estonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HSweden69-79
27/02/26ASweden88-77
01/12/25HCzech Republic92-97
28/11/25ASlovenia94-93 OT
03/09/25HPortugal65-68
01/09/25HTurkey64-84
30/08/25ACzech Republic89-75
29/08/25HLatvia70-72
27/08/25ASerbia64-98
24/02/25ALithuania75-82
Slovenialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26ACzech Republic86-84
27/02/26HCzech Republic99-59
01/12/25ASweden94-83
28/11/25HEstonia93-94 OT
10/09/25AGermany91-99
07/09/25AItaly84-77
04/09/25AIsrael106-96
02/09/25AIceland87-79
31/08/25HBelgium86-69
30/08/25AFrance95-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estonia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game85.880.591.0
Allowed / game86.588.085.0
Point differential-0.8-7.5+6.0
Avg total172.2168.5176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Slovenia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game93.096.090.0
Allowed / game80.076.583.5
Point differential+13.0+19.5+6.5
Avg total173.0172.5173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Australia550100%94.670.8+23.8
3 Spain550100%87.467.2+20.2
4 Brazil440100%88.871.0+17.8
5 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
6 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
7 Poland440100%87.878.8+9.0
8 Mali440100%82.074.8+7.2
9 Croatia87188%93.672.2+21.4
10 Jordan54180%80.858.6+22.2
11 Argentina54180%84.265.8+18.4
12 Lebanon54180%87.872.4+15.4
13 Uruguay54180%80.467.8+12.6
14 Guinea54180%77.065.0+12.0
15 Italy54180%87.475.4+12.0
16 Japan54180%84.073.8+10.2
17 Iran54180%75.865.8+10.0
18 Finland54180%79.876.6+3.2
19 South Sudan43175%84.862.8+22.0
20 Angola43175%86.870.5+16.2
21 Ivory Coast43175%89.274.5+14.8
22 Senegal43175%84.871.0+13.8
23 Slovenia43175%93.080.0+13.0
24 Germany43175%87.878.8+9.0
25 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
26 Cameroon43175%74.070.2+3.8
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
29 Ukraine96367%80.075.2+4.8
30 Colombia32167%79.385.7-6.3
31 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
32 Romania138562%77.877.5+0.4
33 Greece53260%75.467.4+8.0
34 Lithuania53260%91.884.6+7.2
35 New Zealand53260%86.079.6+6.4
36 Qatar53260%80.874.6+6.2
37 Saudi Arabia53260%77.674.0+3.6
38 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
39 Nigeria53260%74.477.2-2.8
40 Montenegro53260%69.274.0-4.8
41 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
42 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
43 Israel42250%79.270.5+8.8
44 Austria126650%84.979.5+5.4
45 Tunisia42250%76.273.5+2.8
46 Estonia42250%85.886.5-0.8
47 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
48 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
49 Czech Republic42250%84.289.2-5.0
50 Cape Verde42250%79.585.5-6.0
51 D.R. Congo42250%71.078.0-7.0
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Hungary94544%80.478.4+2.0
54 Philippines52340%83.277.0+6.2
55 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
56 Portugal52340%82.878.6+4.2
57 South Korea52340%77.477.8-0.4
58 Georgia52340%78.881.6-2.8
59 China52340%82.487.0-4.6
60 Chinese Taipei52340%77.883.0-5.2
61 Iceland52340%83.290.4-7.2
62 Panama52340%76.885.8-9.0
63 Syria52340%68.879.4-10.6
64 Venezuela31233%78.080.7-2.7
65 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
66 Egypt41325%77.574.8+2.8
67 Latvia41325%79.582.5-3.0
68 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Sweden41325%79.887.0-7.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Denmark92722%73.685.4-11.9
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Great Britain51420%79.091.0-12.0
81 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Chile4040%68.579.5-11.0
84 Rwanda4040%67.081.2-14.2
85 Libya4040%64.284.0-19.8
86 Madagascar4040%70.291.8-21.5
87 Iraq5050%69.891.4-21.6
88 Cuba5050%66.088.0-22.0
89 India5050%58.683.8-25.2
90 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
91 Uganda4040%63.890.0-26.2
92 Cyprus4040%58.090.0-32.0
93 Guam5050%63.299.6-36.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estonia2224272093
Slovenia1615201162
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