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Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record7-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game114.9
Allowed / game110.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
3.6/10
Below normal
Position#29
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game106.6
Allowed / game118.1
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Utah Jazz
06 Feb 2027
DAL v UTA
upcoming
06 Nov 2026
DAL112
UTA100
17 Jan 2026
DAL138
UTA120
15 Jan 2026
DAL144
UTA122
28 Oct 2024
DAL110
UTA102
21 Mar 2024
DAL113
UTA97
06 Dec 2023
DAL147
UTA97
07 Mar 2023
DAL120
UTA116
02 Nov 2022
DAL103
UTA100
25 Apr 2022
DAL102
UTA77
18 Apr 2022
DAL110
UTA104
16 Apr 2022
DAL93
UTA99
27 Mar 2022
DAL114
UTA100
07 Mar 2022
DAL111
UTA103
05 Apr 2021
DAL111
UTA103
10 Feb 2020
DAL119
UTA123
14 Nov 2018
DAL118
UTA68
28 Oct 2018
DAL104
UTA113
22 Mar 2018
DAL112
UTA119
09 Feb 2017
DAL112
UTA105
20 Jan 2017
DAL107
UTA112
09 Feb 2016
DAL119
UTA121
20 Nov 2015
DAL102
UTA93
11 Feb 2015
DAL87
UTA82
30 Oct 2014
DAL120
UTA102
07 Feb 2014
DAL103
UTA81
22 Nov 2013
DAL103
UTA93
24 Mar 2013
DAL113
UTA108
03 Mar 2012
DAL102
UTA96
27 Jan 2012
DAL116
UTA101
23 Feb 2011
DAL118
UTA99
11 Dec 2010
DAL103
UTA97
09 Jan 2010
DAL93
UTA111
03 Nov 2009
DAL96
UTA85
08 Apr 2009
DAL130
UTA101
17 Jan 2009
DAL115
UTA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
121-105
121
105
+16
119avg 101
A23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
106-122
106
122
-16
79avg 101
H25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
113-109
113
109
+4
111avg 101
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
120-96
120
96
+24
114avg 101
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
116-111
116
111
+5
111avg 101
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
L
100-115
100
115
-15
85avg 101
H03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
111-112
111
112
-1
98avg 101
A05/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
112-100
112
100
+12
104avg 101
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
130-93
130
93
+37
134avg 101
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
125-122
125
122
+3
120avg 101
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
44-27
33-16
21-33
23-29
31-32
29-36
29-24
17-30
23-27
30-25
30-32
30-25
33-30
32-29
29-22
26-15
27-20
17-31
32-33
40-27
18-19
35-35
21-27
26-34
26-32
25-36
29-22
31-22
26-28
31-29
32-19
23-24
33-26
33-20
34-25
30-22
26-31
30-35
34-27
35-29
223.9Avg total
115.4Scored
108.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.9110.3225.2+4.664%
Season at home (7)115.6108.4224.0+7.171%
Season away (4)113.8113.5227.2+0.250%
Last 10 (10)115.4108.5223.9+6.970%
Last 5 (5)115.6108.4224.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)114.9125.2240.2-10.321%
vs Similar (5)119.8117.6237.4+2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)116.8107.3224.2+9.583%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
123-132
123
132
-9
119avg 101
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 101
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
105avg 101
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
90-112
90
112
-22
80avg 101
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
97-119
97
119
-22
79avg 101
A03/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
113-120 OT
113
120
-7
101avg 101
A05/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
100-112
100
112
-12
95avg 101
A07/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
100-115
100
115
-15
85avg 101
A09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
109-115
109
115
-6
108avg 101
H11/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
108-123
108
123
-15
96avg 101
H12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
47-29
24-45
29-29
23-29
21-30
31-28
24-31
29-21
32-22
23-29
30-34
20-20
18-27
24-32
22-29
26-24
16-27
33-32
20-35
28-25
24-24
13-18
43-28
24-34
28-26
29-31
19-32
24-23
25-28
26-29
27-33
22-25
25-29
29-35
18-28
37-23
34-29
25-37
28-19
21-38
223.1Avg total
105.6Scored
117.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)106.6118.1224.7-11.58%
Season at home (7)109.4118.3227.7-8.914%
Season away (5)102.6117.8220.4-15.20%
Last 10 (10)105.6117.5223.1-11.90%
Last 5 (5)106.0117.0223.0-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)111.0125.8236.8-14.88%
vs Similar (5)126.6120.4247.0+6.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
Dallas MavericksUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
77-43
77
43
+34
A23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A05/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H10/11
NBA
114.6Avg total
58.2Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.960.6118.5-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.260.3120.5-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)55.660.8116.4-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)58.256.4114.6+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)56.658.2114.8-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)55.863.1118.8-7.326%-
vs Similar (5)63.060.2123.2+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)60.353.0113.3+7.350%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A03/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A05/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A07/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H11/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H12/11
NBA
111.4Avg total
52.7Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.761.3117.0-5.627%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.660.4118.9-1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)52.562.4114.9-9.97%-
Last 10 (10)52.758.7111.4-6.010%-
Last 5 (5)51.657.2108.8-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)54.862.2117.1-7.420%-
vs Similar (5)60.256.6116.8+3.660%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 119.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.530.1
57.3%
54.0%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.413.5
37.1%
35.1%40.5
🏀 Free throws23.818.6
78.2%
77.0%18.6
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.026.2
52.4%
54.0%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.911.9
32.2%
35.1%35.7
🏀 Free throws25.419.8
78.0%
77.0%19.8
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WWWLLWWWLW
Utah Jazz
LLLLLLLLLL
#12
League position
#29
+6.0
Net rating
-9.3
112.7
Offensive rating
104.2
106.8
Defensive rating
113.4
56.6%
Effective FG%
50.7%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.1%
3-point %
32.2%
63.1%
Assist %
65.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 104.2Defence106.8 · 113.4Shooting56.6% · 50.7%3-point %37.1% · 32.2%Ball care15.4% · 16.4%Off. rebounds31.0% · 26.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Dallas Mavericks wins
3
Utah Jazz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HIndiana Pacers125-122
09/11/26HBrooklyn Nets130-93
07/11/26HUtah Jazz112-100
05/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-112
03/11/26HSacramento Kings100-115
31/10/26HHouston Rockets116-111
29/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder120-96
26/10/26AMiami Heat113-109
25/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs106-122
23/10/26AIndiana Pacers121-105
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HOrlando Magic108-123
11/11/26HMiami Heat109-115
09/11/26AMinnesota Timberwolves100-115
07/11/26ADallas Mavericks100-112
05/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans113-120 OT
03/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs97-119
31/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers90-112
29/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-117 OT
27/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies105-110
25/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers123-132

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %64%71%50%
Points / game114.9115.6113.8
Allowed / game110.3108.4113.5
Point differential+4.6+7.1+0.2
Avg total225.2224.0227.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game106.6109.4102.6
Allowed / game118.1118.3117.8
Point differential-11.5-8.9-15.2
Avg total224.7227.7220.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %17%14%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers118373%119.5112.3+7.3
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder128467%111.1106.9+4.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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