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Frankston vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 97-98 (OT)
24-24 18-24 23-22 22-17 10-11
Position#3
Record13-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Geelong 🏆
Australia
Position#10
Record8-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game87.7
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Frankston v Geelong
19 May 2024
FRAN115
GEEL83
01 Jul 2023
FRAN97
GEEL98
20 Aug 2022
FRAN87
GEEL57
12 Apr 2019
FRAN77
GEEL72
13 May 2017
FRAN77
GEEL101
16 Apr 2016
FRAN73
GEEL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Frankston winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FrankstonAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#11
W
106-87
106
87
+19
H07/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A13/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
90-78
90
78
+12
A14/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
A20/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
106-103
106
103
+3
H27/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
99-75
99
75
+24
A02/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A03/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H17/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A24/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
86-98 OT
86
98
-12
A25/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
18-26
29-24
27-15
18-24
27-19
21-20
22-18
20-16
23-15
26-18
21-29
15-23
17-13
21-21
21-17
24-32
29-25
29-17
24-29
27-24
27-16
23-22
22-13
23-22
17-12
13-15
23-20
28-19
24-20
22-20
16-19
18-18
27-29
30-9
20-34
26-22
20-11
21-30
16-20
176.0Avg total
91.4Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)93.183.8176.9+9.276%
Season at home (7)99.186.1185.3+13.086%
Season away (10)88.882.2171.0+6.670%
Last 10 (10)91.484.6176.0+6.880%
Last 5 (5)89.282.0171.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.386.0166.3-5.733%
vs Similar (6)92.389.5181.8+2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)92.081.0173.1+11.086%
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A12/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
98-72
98
72
+26
A13/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H20/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
97-109
97
109
-12
A27/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
79-97
79
97
-18
H03/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
104-106 OT
104
106
-2
A04/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H17/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A23/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
96-81
96
81
+15
H25/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H30/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
23-11
24-15
19-17
26-20
21-13
24-20
27-19
24-21
28-26
24-11
14-24
27-30
28-21
27-30
15-28
20-17
17-34
20-23
22-23
25-22
22-25
22-21
25-26
17-18
23-20
24-17
25-18
19-28
30-23
23-20
18-29
18-19
23-25
26-23
29-14
22-23
17-21
20-12
12-16
174.9Avg total
89.3Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.387.7176.0+0.647%
Season at home (9)86.985.7172.6+1.256%
Season away (8)89.990.0179.9-0.138%
Last 10 (10)89.385.6174.9+3.750%
Last 5 (5)90.086.4176.4+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.586.9165.4-8.425%
vs Similar (9)88.792.2180.9-3.644%
vs Weaker (13)89.886.5176.3+3.254%
This opponent (Frankston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
FrankstonGeelong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FrankstonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#11
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H07/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A14/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A20/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H27/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A02/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A03/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H17/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A25/06
NBL1 South
86.8Avg total
46.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.842.187.9+3.666%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.742.890.5+4.977%-
Last 30 away (16)44.241.685.8+2.656%-
Last 10 (10)46.040.886.8+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)47.438.686.0+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.340.376.7-4.033%-
vs Similar (6)49.844.594.3+5.383%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.041.787.7+4.265%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A12/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A13/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H20/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A27/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H03/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A04/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H17/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A23/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H25/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H30/06
NBL1 South
88.1Avg total
44.3Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.145.690.6-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.646.390.9-1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)45.544.890.3+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.888.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.244.888.0-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.545.984.4-7.438%-
vs Similar (9)47.748.996.6-1.244%-
vs Weaker (13)47.343.190.4+4.269%-
This opponent (Frankston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Frankston wins
4
Geelong wins
DateGameScore
29/04/23Geelong v Frankston79-73
20/08/22Frankston v Geelong87-57
28/05/22Geelong v Frankston82-88
22/05/21Geelong v Frankston72-91
12/04/19Frankston v Geelong77-72
13/05/17Frankston v Geelong77-101
25/06/16Geelong v Frankston81-85
16/04/16Frankston v Geelong73-90
10/05/15Geelong v Frankston91-78
Frankstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/06/23AMelbourne Tigers86-98 OT
24/06/23ADandenong95-90
17/06/23HEltham90-78
03/06/23ANW Tasmania76-69
02/06/23AHobart Chargers99-75
27/05/23HKeilor Thunder106-103
20/05/23AKnox78-87 OT
14/05/23ACasey Cavaliers90-78
13/05/23ARingwood88-81
07/05/23HBallarat106-87
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/06/23HMelbourne Tigers71-72
25/06/23HEltham96-81
23/06/23AMt Gambier90-100
17/06/23HDandenong89-73
04/06/23AKeilor Thunder104-106 OT
03/06/23HKnox79-97
27/05/23ABendigo Braves97-109
20/05/23HNunawading90-82
13/05/23ANW Tasmania98-72
12/05/23AHobart Chargers79-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Frankston
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %76%86%70%
Points / game93.199.188.8
Allowed / game83.886.182.2
Point differential+9.2+13.0+6.6
Avg total176.9185.3171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%71%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Geelong
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL47%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%56%38%
Points / game88.386.989.9
Allowed / game87.785.790.0
Point differential+0.6+1.2-0.1
Avg total176.0172.6179.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%22%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1713476%88.275.5+12.7
2 Frankston1713476%93.183.8+9.2
3 Sandringham Sabres1813572%92.685.2+7.4
4 Mt Gambier1712571%95.186.4+8.8
5 Nunawading1811761%90.784.6+6.2
6 Eltham1811761%89.984.2+5.7
7 Waverley1710759%86.585.2+1.4
8 Diamond Valley1710759%87.987.5+0.4
9 Melbourne Tigers189950%83.586.2-2.7
10 Geelong178947%88.387.7+0.6
11 Ballarat1881044%93.195.2-2.1
12 Bendigo Braves1881044%87.093.2-6.2
13 Kilsyth1771041%88.289.8-1.6
14 Hobart Chargers1771041%83.686.9-3.2
15 Keilor Thunder1771041%86.993.2-6.4
16 NW Tasmania1771041%81.689.1-7.5
17 Ringwood1961332%90.294.9-4.7
18 Casey Cavaliers1731418%74.386.8-12.5
19 Dandenong1831517%86.491.4-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Frankston241823221097
Geelong242422171198
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