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Canberra Capitals W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 79-75
15-18 19-20 21-20 24-17
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game71.5
Canberra Capitals W 🏆
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
Position#3
Record1-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game70.5
AustraliaNBL W
Women2018-19
Meetings · Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W
09 Dec 2025
CANB76
ADEL71
11 Jan 2025
CANB91
ADEL76
21 Dec 2023
CANB86
ADEL73
05 Nov 2023
CANB79
ADEL82
18 Feb 2023
CANB72
ADEL78
02 Feb 2023
CANB97
ADEL90
19 Dec 2021
CANB62
ADEL88
04 Dec 2020
CANB85
ADEL65
01 Feb 2020
CANB73
ADEL71
13 Oct 2019
CANB90
ADEL83
16 Feb 2019
CANB93
ADEL73
09 Feb 2019
CANB88
ADEL67
21 Oct 2018
CANB79
ADEL75
17 Dec 2017
CANB88
ADEL87
08 Oct 2017
CANB84
ADEL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra Capitals W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#4
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A02/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H07/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#6
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A09/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A14/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#5
W
88-87
88
87
+1
H17/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
66-99
66
99
-33
H21/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#6
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A23/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H29/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
97-78
97
78
+19
A12/10
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A19/10
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-28
14-23
28-13
24-28
17-19
18-11
18-20
14-23
26-18
19-27
17-16
19-17
30-24
21-26
20-20
20-10
28-18
23-25
19-30
18-14
19-21
12-25
15-19
20-34
15-15
24-14
13-16
11-14
24-12
13-20
18-14
19-23
32-21
32-18
16-19
17-20
21-12
21-13
18-24
12-16
155.1Avg total
77.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.571.5156.0+13.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)84.571.5156.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.178.0155.1-0.970%
Last 5 (5)74.474.0148.4+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)71.184.0155.1-12.920%
vs Similar (3)73.371.3144.7+2.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.677.2163.8+9.480%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
H02/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A07/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H09/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
82-99
82
99
-17
A15/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#7
L
87-88
87
88
-1
A17/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H21/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
L
97-104 OT
97
104
-7
A23/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H29/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A13/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#5
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H19/10
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
17-25
16-20
18-23
23-21
17-18
23-13
16-12
20-19
11-6
14-20
17-19
22-25
24-17
20-30
16-27
18-28
25-23
30-19
14-18
22-15
17-10
19-23
9-8
21-21
31-21
16-24
23-25
22-20
26-20
15-18
24-16
20-21
19-10
19-10
20-25
12-19
25-19
14-14
14-23
155.7Avg total
77.8Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.570.5142.0+1.050%
Season at home (1)65.075.0140.0-10.00%
Season away (1)78.066.0144.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.877.9155.7-0.140%
Last 5 (5)78.875.0153.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.681.4155.0-7.732%
vs Similar (3)73.365.0138.3+8.367%
vs Weaker (8)79.075.6154.6+3.462%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
Canberra Capitals WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#4
L
20-51
20
51
-31
A02/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H07/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A09/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A14/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#5
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H17/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H21/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#6
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A23/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H29/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
64-39
64
39
+25
A12/10
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A19/10
NBL W
80.5Avg total
41.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)41.039.080.0+2.070%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.237.678.8+3.582%-
Last 30 away (12)40.840.381.2+0.558%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.080.5+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.634.276.8+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.439.576.9-2.160%-
vs Similar (3)42.738.781.3+4.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)50.838.088.8+12.8100%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H02/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A07/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H09/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A15/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A17/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H21/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A23/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H29/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A13/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H19/10
NBL W
79.4Avg total
41.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.977.8-0.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.438.377.7+1.169%-
Last 30 away (14)38.339.677.9-1.357%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.979.4+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.278.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.540.478.9-1.958%-
vs Similar (3)35.729.064.7+6.7100%-
vs Weaker (8)41.039.080.0+2.062%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Canberra Capitals W wins
1
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
17/12/17Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W88-87
25/10/17Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W80-77
08/10/17Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W84-77
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/18AGeelong United W72-65
12/10/18ASydney W97-78
29/12/17HPerth Lynx W74-69
23/12/17ADandenong W63-59
21/12/17HTownsville W66-99
17/12/17HAdelaide Lightning W88-87
14/12/17ABendigo W91-80
09/12/17ADandenong W81-78
07/12/17HSydney W67-73
02/12/17AGeelong United W72-92
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/18HTownsville W65-75
13/10/18APerth Lynx W78-66
29/12/17HBendigo W87-74
23/12/17ASydney W97-104 OT
21/12/17HGeelong United W67-56
17/12/17ACanberra Capitals W87-88
15/12/17APerth Lynx W82-99
09/12/17HGeelong United W62-64
07/12/17ATownsville W79-64
02/12/17HPerth Lynx W74-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game84.5-84.5
Allowed / game71.5-71.5
Point differential+13.0-+13.0
Avg total156.0-156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game71.565.078.0
Allowed / game70.575.066.0
Point differential+1.0-10.0+12.0
Avg total142.0140.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W220100%84.568.5+16.0
2 Canberra Capitals W220100%84.571.5+13.0
3 Dandenong W32167%68.072.3-4.3
4 Townsville W21150%71.569.0+2.5
5 Adelaide Lightning W21150%71.570.5+1.0
6 Geelong United W31233%74.776.3-1.7
7 Sydney W3030%71.783.3-11.7
8 Perth Lynx W1010%66.078.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra Capitals W1519212479
Adelaide Lightning W1820201775
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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