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Darussafaka vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-62
25-14 18-18 12-17 23-13
Position#9
Record15-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game79.4
Darussafaka 🏆
vs
Crvena zvezda
Position#7
Record16-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game73.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30
European cup2016
Meetings · Darussafaka v Crvena zvezda
07 Apr 2017
DAR78
CZV62
04 Feb 2016
DAR69
CZV66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A10/03
Euroleague
Besiktas
#2
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#11
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H17/03
Euroleague
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
W
88-57
88
57
+31
A19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A22/03
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H24/03
Euroleague
Usak Sportif
#14
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#13
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
A30/03
Euroleague
Istanbul BB
#10
W
94-93
94
93
+1
A02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
22-23
16-19
19-22
18-25
15-23
25-21
15-12
24-14
18-16
16-22
13-16
11-13
32-9
10-20
14-14
26-14
26-18
20-12
16-13
19-24
16-23
27-21
23-27
16-18
21-21
24-13
12-15
15-23
17-18
24-14
22-15
14-22
15-18
26-18
29-26
20-28
13-23
31-25
30-17
156.7Avg total
80.4Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.179.4158.6-0.352%
Season at home (14)77.473.5150.9+3.971%
Season away (15)80.785.0165.7-4.333%
Last 10 (10)80.476.3156.7+4.170%
Last 5 (5)85.884.4170.2+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.391.7173.0-10.30%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.775.8153.5+1.962%
vs Weaker (10)85.680.8166.4+4.870%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#9
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A05/03
ABA League
Real Madrid
#2
L
68-98
68
98
-30
A10/03
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H13/03
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A16/03
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H19/03
ABA League
Olympiacos
#4
L
64-66 OT
64
66
-2
H22/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A24/03
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A28/03
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#15
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H31/03
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H04/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
21-16
18-13
22-25
24-38
20-25
13-17
11-18
27-22
23-23
16-14
16-7
25-10
18-21
17-19
18-21
21-17
22-14
19-18
20-18
9-17
8-13
26-12
15-16
18-17
11-15
14-20
11-15
13-13
10-20
14-9
20-21
10-14
30-17
17-18
26-16
21-15
14-14
32-22
15-8
143.2Avg total
73.4Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.073.3147.3+0.755%
Season at home (15)75.469.0144.4+6.467%
Season away (14)72.677.9150.5-5.443%
Last 10 (10)73.469.8143.2+3.660%
Last 5 (5)68.064.0132.0+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.0100.0174.0-26.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.968.5140.4+3.462%
vs Weaker (19)79.066.1145.1+12.989%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
DarussafakaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A10/03
Euroleague
Besiktas
#2
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#11
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H17/03
Euroleague
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A22/03
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H24/03
Euroleague
Usak Sportif
#14
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#13
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A30/03
Euroleague
Istanbul BB
#10
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
76.5Avg total
37.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.279.3-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.536.775.2+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)39.542.982.4-3.435%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.876.5-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.243.676.8-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.746.083.7-8.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.738.275.9-0.638%-
vs Weaker (10)42.042.184.1-0.150%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A05/03
ABA League
Real Madrid
#2
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A10/03
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H13/03
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A16/03
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H19/03
ABA League
Olympiacos
#4
L
17-30
17
30
-13
H22/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A24/03
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A28/03
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#15
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H31/03
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H04/04
ABA League
73.1Avg total
36.8Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.535.176.6+6.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.333.274.5+8.181%-
Last 30 away (14)41.737.479.1+4.457%-
Last 10 (10)36.836.373.1+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)28.831.059.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.060.5105.5-15.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.132.870.9+5.462%-
vs Weaker (19)41.734.476.2+7.379%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.718.4
45.2%
50.7%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.3
35.6%
37.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.113.7
68.2%
75.6%13.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.0
51.1%
50.7%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.4
35.1%
37.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.612.4
79.5%
75.6%12.4
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
WWWWLWWWLL
Crvena zvezda
WWLLLWWWLW
#9
League position
#7
-3.4
Net rating
+6.4
107.1
Offensive rating
102.8
110.5
Defensive rating
96.4
48.2%
Effective FG%
51.8%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
14.1%
Turnover %
18.3%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.6%
3-point %
35.1%
49.8%
Assist %
63.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 102.8Defence110.5 · 96.4Shooting48.2% · 51.8%3-point %35.6% · 35.1%Ball care14.1% · 18.3%Off. rebounds31.8% · 23.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Darussafaka wins
0
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
13/10/16Crvena zvezda v Darussafaka70-73
31/03/16Crvena zvezda v Darussafaka61-80
04/02/16Darussafaka v Crvena zvezda69-66
Darussafakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/17AIstanbul BB94-93
30/03/17ABamberg99-97 OT
27/03/17HUsak Sportif78-70
24/03/17HGalatasaray73-67
22/03/17ACSKA Moscow85-95
19/03/17AAnkara Kolejliler88-57
17/03/17HBarcelona67-56
13/03/17HBesiktas71-68
10/03/17AOlympiacos73-81
06/03/17AFenerbahce76-79
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/17HBuducnost82-59
31/03/17HUnics Kazan83-65
28/03/17ABuducnost57-63
24/03/17ABarcelona54-67
22/03/17HOlympiacos64-66 OT
19/03/17HBuducnost82-67
16/03/17AOlimpia Milano78-71
13/03/17HBuducnost82-66
10/03/17AReal Madrid68-98
05/03/17AFMP Beograd84-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW52%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %52%71%33%
Points / game79.177.480.7
Allowed / game79.473.585.0
Point differential-0.3+3.9-4.3
Avg total158.6150.9165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)50% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW55%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %55%67%43%
Points / game74.075.472.6
Allowed / game73.369.077.9
Point differential+0.7+6.4-5.4
Avg total147.3144.4150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%53%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2922776%85.878.4+7.4
2 CSKA Moscow2921872%87.279.3+7.9
3 Olympiacos29191066%77.773.7+4.0
4 Panathinaikos30191163%77.574.5+3.1
5 Fenerbahce30181260%76.274.8+1.4
6 Anadolu Efes29171259%84.283.3+0.9
7 Baskonia30171357%81.579.2+2.3
8 Crvena zvezda29161355%74.073.3+0.7
9 Darussafaka29151452%79.179.4-0.3
10 Zalgiris Kaunas30141647%78.379.7-1.4
11 Barcelona30121840%71.474.7-3.4
12 Galatasaray30111937%78.282.5-4.3
13 Bamberg30102033%79.981.0-1.1
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv30102033%78.083.6-5.6
15 Olimpia Milano2982128%81.287.2-6.1
16 Unics Kazan2972224%76.181.3-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka2518122378
Crvena zvezda1418171362
← all games of the day
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