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Real Madrid vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 98-68
38-24 25-20 17-13 18-11
Position#2
Record18-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game80.0
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Crvena zvezda
Position#7
Record14-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game73.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25
European cup2016
Meetings · Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda
12 Nov 2026
MAD v CZV
upcoming
16 Apr 2026
MAD103
CZV82
24 Oct 2024
MAD95
CZV72
29 Mar 2024
MAD101
CZV94
21 Oct 2022
MAD72
CZV56
18 Nov 2021
MAD79
CZV67
18 Jan 2021
MAD77
CZV79
01 Dec 2017
MAD83
CZV87
10 Mar 2017
MAD98
CZV68
22 Oct 2015
MAD98
CZV71
26 Feb 2015
MAD85
CZV61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
W
89-61
89
61
+28
no box
A05/02
ACB
Unics Kazan
#15
W
81-77
81
77
+4
114avg 117
A09/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
no box
A12/02
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#5
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
no box
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#3
W
103-99 OT
103
99
+4
no box
A18/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#2
W
97-95
97
95
+2
no box
H19/02
Spanish Cup
Darussafaka
#9
W
101-83
101
83
+18
136avg 117
H24/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
81-93
81
93
-12
no box
H26/02
ACB
Galatasaray
#12
L
84-87
84
87
-3
113avg 117
A02/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
64-75
64
75
-11
no box
A04/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
20-9
23-18
18-16
17-18
26-18
14-23
24-18
21-19
15-21
17-18
25-24
15-23
18-20
23-16
30-27
15-20
29-15
24-29
21-25
22-16
25-29
27-26
23-24
30-14
23-23
22-23
26-23
9-23
24-21
25-20
23-29
20-25
26-24
14-24
24-14
24-26
13-17
15-14
12-18
172.2Avg total
87.7Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.880.0166.8+6.875%
Season at home (11)90.681.0171.6+9.691%
Season away (13)83.579.1162.6+4.562%
Last 10 (10)87.784.5172.2+3.260%
Last 5 (5)85.486.6172.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)83.084.1167.1-1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.078.3164.3+7.676%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
80-102
80
102
-22
no box
A09/02
Euroleague
Cibona
#7
W
69-56
69
56
+13
82avg 101
H12/02
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
98-61
98
61
+37
110avg 101
A14/02
ABA League
Vrsac
#8
W
99-47
99
47
+52
no box
H16/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
W
76-60
76
60
+16
no box
A18/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
W
74-64
74
64
+10
no box
H19/02
Korac cup
Galatasaray
#12
W
77-58
77
58
+19
107avg 101
H23/02
Euroleague
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
88-67
88
67
+21
112avg 101
H27/02
ABA League
Bamberg
#13
W
74-60
74
60
+14
85avg 101
H02/03
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#9
W
84-76
84
76
+8
100avg 101
A05/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-33
20-25
18-19
16-25
22-13
18-16
15-17
14-10
23-24
26-13
21-12
28-12
30-7
27-10
24-15
18-15
27-14
21-18
19-13
9-15
23-23
13-11
16-13
22-17
20-17
28-12
16-13
13-16
36-22
16-12
25-15
11-18
17-9
26-20
13-14
18-17
23-22
21-16
18-13
22-25
147.0Avg total
81.9Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.073.3148.3+1.758%
Season at home (13)75.769.5145.2+6.269%
Season away (11)74.277.7151.9-3.545%
Last 10 (10)81.965.1147.0+16.890%
Last 5 (5)79.465.0144.4+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)80.079.7159.7+0.367%
vs Similar (8)74.271.9146.1+2.462%
vs Weaker (18)83.267.0150.2+16.294%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
Real MadridCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A05/02
ACB
Unics Kazan
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A09/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A12/02
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#5
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A18/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H19/02
Spanish Cup
Darussafaka
#9
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H24/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H26/02
ACB
Galatasaray
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A02/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/03
ACB
81.9Avg total
42.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.439.681.0+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.241.284.3+2.054%-
Last 30 away (17)40.038.578.5+1.559%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.981.9+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.686.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)39.541.180.6-1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.538.981.4+3.662%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A09/02
Euroleague
Cibona
#7
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H12/02
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A14/02
ABA League
Vrsac
#8
W
57-17
57
17
+40
H16/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A18/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H19/02
Korac cup
Galatasaray
#12
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H23/02
Euroleague
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H27/02
ABA League
Bamberg
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H02/03
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A05/03
ABA League
80.0Avg total
46.3Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.734.478.1+9.377%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.132.377.4+12.787%-
Last 30 away (15)42.336.478.7+5.967%-
Last 10 (10)46.333.780.0+12.690%-
Last 5 (5)44.632.877.4+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)45.742.388.0+3.367%-
vs Similar (8)40.535.876.2+4.862%-
vs Weaker (18)44.133.477.4+10.783%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.7
56.1%
50.7%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.5
39.6%
37.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.011.8
73.8%
75.6%11.8
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.7
53.8%
50.7%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.7
34.2%
37.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.815.2
73.1%
75.6%15.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LLLWWWWLWW
Crvena zvezda
WWWWWWWWWL
#2
League position
#7
+8.6
Net rating
+11.4
117.1
Offensive rating
105.5
108.5
Defensive rating
94.1
57.5%
Effective FG%
52.9%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.4%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
39.6%
3-point %
34.2%
70.2%
Assist %
72.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 105.5Defence108.5 · 94.1Shooting57.5% · 52.9%3-point %39.6% · 34.2%Ball care17.1% · 16.4%Off. rebounds34.5% · 22.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Real Madrid wins
2
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
22/12/16Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid82-70
27/11/15Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid94-88
22/10/15Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda98-71
26/02/15Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda85-61
02/01/15Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid72-79
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/17ATenerife64-75
02/03/17AGalatasaray84-87
26/02/17HGran Canaria81-93
24/02/17HDarussafaka101-83
19/02/17HValencia97-95
18/02/17ABaskonia103-99 OT
16/02/17HMoraBanc Andorra99-93 OT
12/02/17AUnicaja78-82
09/02/17AUnics Kazan81-77
05/02/17AMurcia89-61
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/17AFMP Beograd84-76
02/03/17HBamberg74-60
27/02/17HPetrol Olimpija88-67
23/02/17HGalatasaray77-58
19/02/17HPartizan74-64
18/02/17AFMP Beograd76-60
16/02/17HVrsac99-47
14/02/17AKarpos98-61
12/02/17HCibona69-56
09/02/17ACSKA Moscow80-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %75%91%62%
Points / game86.890.683.5
Allowed / game80.081.079.1
Point differential+6.8+9.6+4.5
Avg total166.8171.6162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)80% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW58%
HomeWWLWW69%
AwayLWWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %58%69%45%
Points / game75.075.774.2
Allowed / game73.369.577.7
Point differential+1.7+6.2-3.5
Avg total148.3145.2151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%54%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2519676%87.679.1+8.5
2 Real Madrid2418675%86.880.0+6.8
3 Olympiacos2518772%78.973.5+5.4
4 Fenerbahce2516964%76.975.2+1.8
5 Crvena zvezda24141058%75.073.3+1.7
6 Panathinaikos25141156%77.075.5+1.6
7 Baskonia25141156%81.079.6+1.4
8 Anadolu Efes25131252%84.684.6+0.1
9 Darussafaka25121348%78.879.6-0.7
10 Zalgiris Kaunas25111444%77.679.6-2.1
11 Barcelona25101540%72.375.9-3.6
12 Bamberg2591636%79.579.7-0.2
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv2591636%78.683.5-5.0
14 Galatasaray2581732%78.483.3-4.9
15 Unics Kazan2571828%76.881.3-4.4
16 Olimpia Milano2571828%82.388.4-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid3825171898
Crvena zvezda2420131168
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