PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Darussafaka vs Khimki M. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 91-85
17-23 31-23 15-19 28-20
Position#16
Record3-23
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#13
Record9-17
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game81.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
86-95 OT
86
95
-9
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A08/02
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
75-97
75
97
-22
H22/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A28/02
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
67-91
67
91
-24
H07/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#11
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#14
L
64-84
64
84
-20
A14/03
Euroleague
Istanbul BB
#14
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
18-24
18-13
24-19
17-19
19-21
25-20
17-30
17-25
23-22
18-22
27-23
12-26
23-20
13-27
27-24
10-18
13-20
18-19
17-20
21-22
17-24
14-14
20-20
17-20
20-26
16-20
14-25
25-19
26-20
16-18
26-21
18-15
12-22
17-23
17-24
16-20
16-27
22-17
27-23
163.0Avg total
75.9Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)73.685.0158.7-11.412%
Season at home (13)75.681.5157.2-5.923%
Season away (13)71.688.5160.2-16.90%
Last 10 (10)75.987.1163.0-11.210%
Last 5 (5)75.484.0159.4-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)72.384.0156.3-11.712%
vs Similar (10)75.878.5154.3-2.730%
vs Weaker (4)81.274.5155.8+6.850%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A03/02
VTB United League
Buducnost
#15
W
98-90
98
90
+8
A07/02
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H11/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A15/02
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#7
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A22/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
88-90
88
90
-2
H28/02
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
73-72 OT
73
72
+1
H04/03
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
L
86-104
86
104
-18
A08/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
75-100
75
100
-25
H14/03
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
96-85
96
85
+11
A17/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
16-21
26-25
18-25
22-20
23-26
23-19
30-25
19-20
19-27
29-24
15-13
9-21
15-17
21-16
13-19
21-33
29-32
17-13
18-16
25-20
29-25
19-20
15-25
12-14
16-17
19-10
15-21
17-22
24-18
16-38
29-26
22-24
16-27
12-19
25-30
20-30
33-21
12-16
31-18
170.1Avg total
82.3Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.681.7160.3-3.235%
Season at home (13)78.580.0158.5-1.546%
Season away (13)78.683.5162.1-4.823%
Last 10 (10)82.387.8170.1-5.530%
Last 5 (5)83.690.2173.8-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.683.3155.9-10.720%
vs Similar (8)73.876.9150.6-3.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.778.7167.3+10.075%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
DarussafakaKhimki M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A08/02
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H22/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A28/02
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#11
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#14
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A14/03
Euroleague
Istanbul BB
#14
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.2Avg total
35.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.640.877.5-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.041.081.0-1.043%-
Last 30 away (16)33.740.774.4-7.025%-
Last 10 (10)35.943.379.2-7.410%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.080.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.343.478.8-8.119%-
vs Similar (10)38.338.476.7-0.140%-
vs Weaker (4)37.836.574.2+1.275%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/02
VTB United League
Buducnost
#15
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A07/02
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H11/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A15/02
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#7
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A22/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H28/02
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H04/03
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H14/03
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A17/03
VTB United League
85.9Avg total
40.9Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.180.0-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.539.880.3+0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)39.440.379.8-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)40.945.085.9-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.843.686.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.238.973.1-4.720%-
vs Similar (8)39.641.881.4-2.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.939.984.8+5.075%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.5
47.4%
52.7%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.8
31.1%
37.0%20.4
🏀 Free throws15.612.7
81.4%
76.7%12.7
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.4
54.2%
52.7%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.5
34.9%
37.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws14.210.9
76.8%
76.7%10.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
LLWLLLLLLL
Khimki M.
WLLWLLLLWL
#16
League position
#13
-17.7
Net rating
-6.9
96.8
Offensive rating
110.6
114.4
Defensive rating
117.6
47.1%
Effective FG%
53.4%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
20.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.1%
3-point %
34.9%
58.9%
Assist %
67.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 110.6Defence114.4 · 117.6Shooting47.1% · 53.4%3-point %31.1% · 34.9%Ball care20.3% · 15.8%Off. rebounds28.6% · 27.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Khimki M.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Darussafaka wins
1
Khimki M. wins
DateGameScore
21/12/18Khimki M. v Darussafaka85-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/19AIstanbul BB81-87
14/03/19AGran Canaria64-84
10/03/19HKarsiyaka93-78
07/03/19HPanathinaikos67-91
03/03/19ATofas72-80
28/02/19AMaccabi Tel Aviv58-77
22/02/19HFenerbahce75-97
11/02/19ABahcesehir Kol.85-92
08/02/19AOlimpia Milano78-90
04/02/19HAnadolu Efes86-95 OT
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/19ABC Kalev/Cramo96-85
14/03/19HReal Madrid75-100
08/03/19ABaskonia86-104
04/03/19HCSKA Moscow73-72 OT
28/02/19HOlimpia Milano88-90
22/02/19APanathinaikos85-94
15/02/19AUnics Kazan58-73
11/02/19HLokomotiv Kuban82-84
07/02/19ABuducnost98-90
03/02/19AZenit Petersburg82-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLWLLL23%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %12%23%0%
Points / game73.675.671.6
Allowed / game85.081.588.5
Point differential-11.4-5.9-16.9
Avg total158.7157.2160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)29% (7)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Khimki M.
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeWLWLL46%
AwayLLWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %35%46%23%
Points / game78.678.578.6
Allowed / game81.780.083.5
Point differential-3.2-1.5-4.8
Avg total160.3158.5162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2723485%84.475.5+9.0
2 CSKA Moscow2721678%87.881.1+6.7
3 Real Madrid2620677%86.577.0+9.6
4 Anadolu Efes27171063%84.079.1+4.9
5 Barcelona27161159%78.676.3+2.2
6 Baskonia26141254%81.979.1+2.8
7 Olimpia Milano26141254%87.085.5+1.5
8 Olympiacos27141352%77.976.7+1.1
9 Panathinaikos26131350%79.379.3+0.0
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv26121446%78.979.1-0.2
11 Bayern27121544%78.880.9-2.1
12 Zalgiris Kaunas26111542%78.778.9-0.2
13 Khimki M.2691735%78.681.7-3.2
14 Gran Canaria2772026%78.188.6-10.4
15 Buducnost2762122%73.984.3-10.4
16 Darussafaka2632312%73.685.0-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka1731152891
Khimki M.2323192085
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.