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Khimki M. vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-100
22-24 16-27 12-19 25-30
Position#13
Record9-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game81.0
Khimki M.
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Position#3
Record19-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26
European cup2018
Meetings · Khimki M. v Real Madrid
02 Mar 2021
KHM78
MAD77
14 Mar 2019
KHM75
MAD100
12 Jan 2018
KHM78
MAD95
11 Feb 2016
KHM82
MAD93
16 Oct 2015
KHM84
MAD70
19 Oct 2012
KHM86
MAD85
22 Oct 2009
KHM84
MAD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#11
W
100-92
100
92
+8
A28/01
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H31/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A03/02
VTB United League
Buducnost
#15
W
98-90
98
90
+8
A07/02
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H11/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A15/02
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#7
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A22/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
88-90
88
90
-2
H28/02
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
73-72 OT
73
72
+1
H04/03
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
L
86-104
86
104
-18
A08/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
24-24
21-23
29-22
19-17
17-20
11-19
27-8
22-15
16-21
26-25
18-25
22-20
23-26
23-19
30-25
19-20
19-27
29-24
15-13
9-21
15-17
21-16
13-19
21-33
29-32
17-13
18-16
25-20
29-25
19-20
15-25
12-14
16-17
19-10
15-21
17-22
24-18
16-38
29-26
167.5Avg total
82.6Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.781.0159.7-2.336%
Season at home (12)78.878.3157.2+0.550%
Season away (13)78.683.5162.1-4.823%
Last 10 (10)82.684.9167.5-2.340%
Last 5 (5)78.086.6164.6-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.581.2153.7-8.720%
vs Similar (8)73.876.9150.6-3.138%
vs Weaker (12)87.878.0165.8+9.875%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A08/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H10/02
ACB
Estudiantes
#8
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
93-81
93
81
+12
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Bayern
#12
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H22/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A01/03
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
87-66
87
66
+21
A03/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
H07/03
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A09/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
20-12
21-30
17-18
15-19
22-18
20-15
25-24
29-27
21-7
23-14
21-15
26-18
22-20
23-14
22-29
16-20
19-15
25-11
17-31
22-17
20-22
29-13
20-26
17-16
20-26
14-14
19-21
24-19
26-12
15-12
22-23
27-25
25-20
25-16
24-25
22-17
21-19
17-12
23-26
164.9Avg total
87.2Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.077.0163.0+9.076%
Season at home (13)92.477.5169.9+14.892%
Season away (12)79.176.5155.6+2.658%
Last 10 (10)87.277.7164.9+9.570%
Last 5 (5)86.476.2162.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)84.478.4162.9+6.071%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)85.678.4164.0+7.373%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.8-2.8
Khimki M.Real Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#11
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A28/01
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H31/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/02
VTB United League
Buducnost
#15
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A07/02
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H11/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A15/02
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#7
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A22/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H28/02
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H04/03
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/03
Euroleague
83.6Avg total
40.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.379.1+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.538.880.3+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)38.339.778.0-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.283.6-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.883.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.937.971.8-4.020%-
vs Similar (8)39.641.881.4-2.138%-
vs Weaker (12)44.838.883.6+6.175%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A08/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/02
ACB
Estudiantes
#8
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Bayern
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H22/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A01/03
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A03/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H07/03
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A09/03
ACB
80.5Avg total
43.4Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.538.481.9+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.238.383.5+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)41.938.580.3+3.453%-
Last 10 (10)43.437.180.5+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.683.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)42.139.681.7+2.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.738.281.9+5.568%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.1
55.0%
52.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.8
35.5%
37.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.110.8
76.6%
76.7%10.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.9
57.2%
52.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.1
34.5%
37.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.014.2
74.7%
76.7%14.2
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Khimki M.
LWLLLLWLWW
Real Madrid
WWWLWLWWWL
#13
League position
#3
-4.5
Net rating
+10.5
111.4
Offensive rating
116.1
115.9
Defensive rating
105.6
54.3%
Effective FG%
54.9%
58.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.5%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.5%
3-point %
34.5%
69.2%
Assist %
57.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 116.1Defence115.9 · 105.6Shooting54.3% · 54.9%3-point %35.5% · 34.5%Ball care16.1% · 15.5%Off. rebounds27.7% · 31.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Khimki M.   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Khimki M. wins
6
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
15/11/18Real Madrid v Khimki M.79-74
12/01/18Khimki M. v Real Madrid78-95
02/11/17Real Madrid v Khimki M.80-86
07/04/16Real Madrid v Khimki M.83-70
11/02/16Khimki M. v Real Madrid82-93
18/11/15Real Madrid v Khimki M.82-85
16/10/15Khimki M. v Real Madrid84-70
23/11/12Real Madrid v Khimki M.104-81
19/10/12Khimki M. v Real Madrid86-85
02/12/09Real Madrid v Khimki M.70-59
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/19ABaskonia86-104
04/03/19HCSKA Moscow73-72 OT
28/02/19HOlimpia Milano88-90
22/02/19APanathinaikos85-94
15/02/19AUnics Kazan58-73
11/02/19HLokomotiv Kuban82-84
07/02/19ABuducnost98-90
03/02/19AZenit Petersburg82-86
31/01/19HZalgiris Kaunas74-64
28/01/19ASaratov100-92
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/19AJoventut Badalona83-74
07/03/19HFenerbahce101-86
03/03/19AMoraBanc Andorra87-66
01/03/19ABarcelona70-77
22/02/19HBayern91-78
17/02/19HBarcelona93-94 OT
16/02/19HJoventut Badalona93-81
15/02/19HEstudiantes94-63
10/02/19HBaskonia82-76
08/02/19ACSKA Moscow78-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLLWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %36%50%23%
Points / game78.778.878.6
Allowed / game81.078.383.5
Point differential-2.3+0.5-4.8
Avg total159.7157.2162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW76%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %76%92%58%
Points / game86.092.479.1
Allowed / game77.077.576.5
Point differential+9.0+14.8+2.6
Avg total163.0169.9155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%77%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2521484%84.675.6+9.1
2 CSKA Moscow2520580%88.681.4+7.2
3 Real Madrid2519676%86.077.0+9.0
4 Anadolu Efes2516964%84.479.4+5.1
5 Barcelona25151060%77.876.4+1.5
6 Baskonia25131252%81.979.8+2.1
7 Olimpia Milano25131252%87.886.6+1.2
8 Olympiacos25131252%78.377.5+0.8
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv25121348%79.279.1+0.1
10 Panathinaikos25121348%79.479.4-0.0
11 Bayern25121348%79.280.4-1.2
12 Zalgiris Kaunas25101540%78.578.9-0.4
13 Khimki M.2591636%78.781.0-2.3
14 Buducnost2561924%74.784.8-10.1
15 Gran Canaria2561924%78.589.4-10.9
16 Darussafaka2532212%74.085.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Khimki M.2216122575
Real Madrid24271930100
← all games of the day
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