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Darussafaka vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 92-98
19-26 30-28 20-14 23-30
Position#16
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#11
Record4-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game81.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 7
European cup2018
Meetings · Darussafaka v Olimpia Milano
15 Nov 2018
DAR92
MIL98
20 Oct 2016
DAR80
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
L
93-109
93
109
-16
118avg 99
A11/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
no box
A14/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#15
W
71-63
71
63
+8
99avg 99
H16/10
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
100avg 99
A18/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
W
77-72
77
72
+5
no box
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
L
71-79
71
79
-8
95avg 99
H26/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
56-82
56
82
-26
85avg 99
A01/11
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
L
78-82
78
82
-4
no box
H04/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#12
L
70-116
70
116
-46
95avg 99
A08/11
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#11
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
20-28
31-38
24-18
26-20
16-24
18-9
12-22
14-25
25-10
14-14
18-14
17-19
21-12
10-26
27-22
14-21
24-12
21-25
18-14
18-23
22-24
24-11
7-21
16-16
14-22
11-26
15-18
16-24
22-14
17-25
23-19
17-21
18-33
15-33
20-29
23-20
19-22
28-24
14-34
160.4Avg total
74.7Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.788.0160.7-15.317%
Season at home (2)71.071.0142.0+0.050%
Season away (4)73.596.5170.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)74.785.7160.4-11.020%
Last 5 (5)71.891.8163.6-20.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.783.7156.3-11.022%
vs Similar (11)76.074.2150.2+1.855%
vs Weaker (10)80.876.5157.3+4.360%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
88-79
88
79
+9
115avg 112
A14/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
no box
H17/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
99-75
99
75
+24
124avg 112
A19/10
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
107-83
107
83
+24
no box
H21/10
Lega A
Khimki M.
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
109avg 112
H25/10
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
97-82
97
82
+15
124avg 112
A28/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
111avg 112
H02/11
Euroleague
Torino
#13
W
93-71
93
71
+22
127avg 112
A04/11
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
85-90
85
90
-5
115avg 112
H08/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
100-75
100
75
+25
128avg 112
H11/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
17-24
30-24
19-15
28-13
22-28
14-26
21-24
24-26
20-15
29-22
26-12
26-24
27-24
19-13
35-22
23-20
16-25
27-17
15-18
31-20
19-14
24-27
23-21
24-17
19-18
25-19
13-26
16-17
27-19
14-21
36-14
21-16
20-24
25-23
19-27
23-15
21-28
31-13
25-19
172.2Avg total
91.6Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.581.2166.7+4.367%
Season at home (4)83.085.2168.2-2.250%
Season away (2)90.573.0163.5+17.5100%
Last 10 (10)91.680.6172.2+11.080%
Last 5 (5)91.279.6170.8+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.787.0170.7-3.333%
vs Similar (3)88.781.3170.0+7.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)88.376.4164.7+11.883%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +3.4+3.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +3.4+3.4
DarussafakaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A11/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A14/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H16/10
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A18/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H26/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A01/11
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#12
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A08/11
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.5Avg total
38.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.176.5+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.136.373.4+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)39.839.979.7-0.140%-
Last 10 (10)38.041.579.5-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.880.8-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.642.278.8-5.722%-
vs Similar (11)36.637.774.4-1.145%-
vs Weaker (10)42.234.776.9+7.580%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H17/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A19/10
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H21/10
Lega A
Khimki M.
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H25/10
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A28/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H02/11
Euroleague
Torino
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A04/11
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/11
Lega A
84.9Avg total
44.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.237.581.7+6.673%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.639.886.4+6.876%-
Last 30 away (13)41.034.575.5+6.569%-
Last 10 (10)44.640.384.9+4.380%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.681.8+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.738.783.3+6.0100%-
vs Similar (3)41.042.383.3-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.937.182.0+7.874%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.9
50.8%
52.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.4
31.8%
37.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.6
74.3%
76.7%13.6
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.1
54.1%
52.7%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.7
37.4%
37.0%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.816.5
79.3%
76.7%16.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
LLLLLWLWLL
Olimpia Milano
WLWWWWWWLW
#16
League position
#11
-15.0
Net rating
+15.2
106.2
Offensive rating
121.2
121.2
Defensive rating
106.0
49.6%
Effective FG%
55.0%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
15.9%
Turnover %
12.8%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.8%
3-point %
37.4%
49.8%
Assist %
52.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 121.2Defence121.2 · 106.0Shooting49.6% · 55.0%3-point %31.8% · 37.4%Ball care15.9% · 12.8%Off. rebounds31.6% · 32.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Darussafaka wins
2
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
02/02/17Olimpia Milano v Darussafaka89-87
20/10/16Darussafaka v Olimpia Milano80-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/18AKarsiyaka84-100
08/11/18ABayern70-116
04/11/18HTofas78-82
01/11/18ABaskonia56-82
26/10/18HBarcelona71-79
22/10/18HBahcesehir Kol.77-72
18/10/18ACSKA Moscow75-79
16/10/18HBuducnost71-63
14/10/18AAnadolu Efes72-75
11/10/18AReal Madrid93-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/18HReggiana100-75
08/11/18HCSKA Moscow85-90
04/11/18ATorino93-71
02/11/18HAnadolu Efes81-80
28/10/18APesaro97-82
25/10/18HKhimki M.81-80
21/10/18HPistoia107-83
19/10/18AOlympiacos99-75
17/10/18HReal Madrid85-91
14/10/18AVirtus Bologna88-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game72.771.073.5
Allowed / game88.071.096.5
Point differential-15.3+0.0-23.0
Avg total160.7142.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game85.583.090.5
Allowed / game81.285.273.0
Point differential+4.3-2.2+17.5
Avg total166.7168.2163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid660100%93.876.2+17.7
2 CSKA Moscow660100%88.079.5+8.5
3 Fenerbahce65183%86.279.5+6.7
4 Panathinaikos64267%86.380.8+5.5
5 Olimpia Milano64267%85.581.2+4.3
6 Barcelona64267%80.777.3+3.3
7 Anadolu Efes64267%86.283.7+2.5
8 Bayern63350%83.580.2+3.3
9 Zalgiris Kaunas63350%80.880.2+0.7
10 Olympiacos63350%80.081.2-1.2
11 Baskonia62433%78.578.0+0.5
12 Khimki M.61517%80.384.2-3.8
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv61517%75.382.5-7.2
14 Gran Canaria61517%83.295.3-12.2
15 Darussafaka61517%72.788.0-15.3
16 Buducnost6060%64.077.3-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka1930202392
Olimpia Milano2628143098
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