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Darussafaka vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 66-69
14-16 17-22 18-17 17-14
Position#9
Record10-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game79.6
Darussafaka
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Position#10
Record7-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game81.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20
European cup2016
Meetings · Darussafaka v Zalgiris Kaunas
19 Dec 2018
DAR71
ZAL75
27 Jan 2017
DAR66
ZAL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
86-84
86
84
+2
114avg 105
H23/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
no box
A26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#11
L
77-81
77
81
-4
103avg 105
A30/12
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#6
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
92-93
92
93
-1
128avg 105
A05/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
97-75
97
75
+22
no box
H08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#8
W
98-89
98
89
+9
130avg 105
H12/01
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#15
W
71-64
71
64
+7
101avg 105
H20/01
Euroleague
Best Balikesir
#15
W
86-85
86
85
+1
no box
A22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
81-93
81
93
-12
110avg 105
A25/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
18-26
27-13
28-23
19-18
20-23
12-12
21-25
22-19
18-16
17-24
20-22
18-22
20-18
24-16
25-16
14-29
22-24
35-14
21-26
18-12
32-24
21-18
26-21
20-24
27-22
30-22
21-21
23-17
10-17
18-18
20-12
26-21
23-19
18-25
19-20
19-25
19-17
18-22
25-29
166.1Avg total
84.7Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.679.6159.2+0.153%
Season at home (9)81.077.8158.8+3.267%
Season away (10)78.481.2159.6-2.840%
Last 10 (10)84.781.4166.1+3.360%
Last 5 (5)86.681.2167.8+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.376.7160.0+6.767%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.977.4155.4+0.547%
vs Weaker (10)85.472.0157.4+13.490%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#15
L
80-88
80
88
-8
104avg 107
H22/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
78-70
78
70
+8
105avg 107
A29/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
89-62
89
62
+27
no box
H02/01
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
61-77
61
77
-16
91avg 107
H06/01
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
76-65
76
65
+11
no box
H08/01
LKL
Galatasaray
#12
L
79-87
79
87
-8
108avg 107
A13/01
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
63-56
63
56
+7
no box
A16/01
LKL
Real Madrid
#2
L
59-74
59
74
-15
89avg 107
H20/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
80-59
80
59
+21
no box
H22/01
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
79-74
79
74
+5
106avg 107
H24/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
27-20
23-15
11-30
21-16
15-17
20-23
22-14
25-10
23-17
23-19
18-16
7-21
15-26
17-14
22-16
15-11
20-16
21-21
20-17
17-17
17-23
23-25
22-22
12-8
15-16
19-9
17-23
17-17
16-24
20-12
6-21
22-11
25-13
19-15
14-20
20-20
18-25
19-16
22-13
145.6Avg total
74.4Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.781.4160.1-2.737%
Season at home (10)75.979.1155.0-3.240%
Season away (9)81.884.0165.8-2.233%
Last 10 (10)74.471.2145.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)72.070.0142.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.384.8161.2-8.517%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.280.4161.7+0.844%
vs Weaker (15)82.767.8150.5+14.993%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
DarussafakaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H23/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A30/12
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A05/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H12/01
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#15
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H20/01
Euroleague
Best Balikesir
#15
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A25/01
Euroleague
81.6Avg total
40.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.177.7+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.436.677.9+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)38.139.577.6-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.581.6-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.683.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.737.380.0+5.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.438.575.8-1.135%-
vs Weaker (10)42.537.880.3+4.780%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#15
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H22/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A29/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H02/01
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
22-47
22
47
-25
H06/01
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H08/01
LKL
Galatasaray
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/01
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A16/01
LKL
Real Madrid
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H20/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H22/01
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H24/01
Euroleague
71.7Avg total
36.6Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.235.476.5+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.435.977.2+5.569%-
Last 30 away (14)40.934.875.7+6.164%-
Last 10 (10)36.635.171.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)35.834.870.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.743.583.2-3.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.338.077.3+1.356%-
vs Weaker (15)42.930.573.4+12.393%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.618.0
43.3%
50.7%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.3
38.8%
37.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.213.1
72.0%
75.6%13.1
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.6
50.6%
50.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.97.6
38.2%
37.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.314.4
83.2%
75.6%14.4
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
LWWWWLWLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWLWLWWL
#9
League position
#10
-1.4
Net rating
-4.2
107.7
Offensive rating
106.2
109.1
Defensive rating
110.4
48.7%
Effective FG%
52.9%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
15.4%
Turnover %
21.3%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.8%
3-point %
38.2%
52.0%
Assist %
69.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 106.2Defence109.1 · 110.4Shooting48.7% · 52.9%3-point %38.8% · 38.2%Ball care15.4% · 21.3%Off. rebounds34.5% · 33.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Darussafaka wins
0
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
04/11/16Zalgiris Kaunas v Darussafaka80-83
Darussafakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/17AAnadolu Efes81-93
22/01/17ABest Balikesir86-85
20/01/17HUnics Kazan71-64
12/01/17HBaskonia98-89
08/01/17HBuyukcekmece97-75
05/01/17AMaccabi Tel Aviv92-93
02/01/17AGalatasaray87-72
30/12/16ABarcelona77-81
26/12/16AAnadolu Efes72-78
23/12/16HMaccabi Tel Aviv86-84
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/17HCSKA Moscow79-74
22/01/17HNevezis80-59
20/01/17HReal Madrid59-74
16/01/17APieno Zvaigzdes63-56
13/01/17AGalatasaray79-87
08/01/17HLietkabelis76-65
06/01/17HCrvena zvezda61-77
02/01/17HNevezis89-62
29/12/16AOlimpia Milano78-70
22/12/16HUnics Kazan80-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL53%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %53%67%40%
Points / game79.681.078.4
Allowed / game79.677.881.2
Point differential+0.1+3.2-2.8
Avg total159.2158.8159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW37%
HomeLLLLW40%
AwayWLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %37%40%33%
Points / game78.775.981.8
Allowed / game81.479.184.0
Point differential-2.7-3.2-2.2
Avg total160.1155.0165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%20%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2015575%87.880.5+7.2
2 Real Madrid1914574%86.579.6+6.9
3 Olympiacos1913668%78.974.2+4.7
4 Fenerbahce2013765%78.276.3+1.9
5 Crvena zvezda2012860%74.872.7+2.2
6 Baskonia1911858%80.379.2+1.2
7 Panathinaikos2011955%77.475.7+1.8
8 Darussafaka1910953%79.679.6+0.1
9 Anadolu Efes2091145%83.884.6-0.8
10 Barcelona1981142%72.074.8-2.8
11 Bamberg1971237%79.880.0-0.2
12 Zalgiris Kaunas1971237%78.781.4-2.7
13 Unics Kazan2071335%76.780.5-3.8
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv2071335%78.082.8-4.8
15 Olimpia Milano1961332%82.188.3-6.2
16 Galatasaray2061430%79.884.5-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka1417181766
Zalgiris Kaunas1622171469
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