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Darussafaka vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 71-75
19-15 20-18 14-16 18-26
Position#16
Record1-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game86.8
Darussafaka
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Position#9
Record5-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game82.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13
European cup2018
Meetings · Darussafaka v Zalgiris Kaunas
19 Dec 2018
DAR71
ZAL75
27 Jan 2017
DAR66
ZAL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Istanbul BB
#14
W
93-65
93
65
+28
H18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
79-100
79
100
-21
A20/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H22/11
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
96-93
96
93
+3
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#14
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H29/11
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H06/12
Euroleague
Besiktas
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A14/12
Euroleague
Banvit
#8
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
23-25
27-12
20-11
10-25
27-21
19-22
23-32
23-19
23-23
14-32
28-19
25-20
25-27
21-16
25-30
25-22
19-12
12-23
15-18
15-20
22-23
24-19
18-22
17-17
25-19
20-15
9-22
19-18
18-24
15-23
20-16
16-22
16-21
21-14
14-18
14-17
28-10
22-14
18-24
160.2Avg total
79.8Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.386.8162.2-11.58%
Season at home (6)77.380.2157.5-2.817%
Season away (6)73.393.5166.8-20.20%
Last 10 (10)79.880.4160.2-0.630%
Last 5 (5)74.275.6149.8-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.889.0164.8-13.20%
vs Similar (12)75.274.8150.0+0.533%
vs Weaker (7)89.381.6170.9+7.757%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
H16/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
102-61
102
61
+41
H18/11
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
A21/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H23/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
109-68
109
68
+41
A25/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H29/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H06/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H09/12
LKL
Bayern
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A14/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
79-55
79
55
+24
A16/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
16-16
16-21
26-16
26-13
24-13
28-14
24-21
18-16
20-21
22-22
26-27
26-19
13-18
18-21
26-26
25-13
29-14
26-19
29-22
18-23
22-8
20-27
23-20
19-29
21-19
20-11
23-16
22-14
19-24
30-16
24-32
12-18
26-28
23-17
23-25
18-9
20-17
23-10
18-19
168.2Avg total
90.0Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.382.8166.1+0.642%
Season at home (7)81.083.4164.4-2.429%
Season away (5)86.681.8168.4+4.860%
Last 10 (10)90.078.2168.2+11.860%
Last 5 (5)84.876.4161.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.087.5173.5-1.525%
vs Similar (7)83.483.3166.7+0.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.769.3154.0+15.489%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.8+1.8
DarussafakaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Istanbul BB
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H22/11
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#14
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H29/11
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H06/12
Euroleague
Besiktas
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A14/12
Euroleague
Banvit
#8
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.5Avg total
41.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.980.2+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.439.079.4+1.460%-
Last 30 away (15)40.140.981.0-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.281.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.276.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.044.483.4-5.427%-
vs Similar (12)37.836.574.3+1.350%-
vs Weaker (7)46.438.985.3+7.686%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H16/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H18/11
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A21/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H23/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
54-27
54
27
+27
A25/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H29/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H06/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H09/12
LKL
Bayern
#12
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A16/12
LKL
76.7Avg total
41.2Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.176.5+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.837.877.5+2.056%-
Last 30 away (14)41.034.375.3+6.764%-
Last 10 (10)41.235.576.7+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.877.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.536.579.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (7)39.139.478.6-0.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.334.875.2+5.558%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.121.7
48.1%
52.7%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.35.3
29.0%
37.0%15.9
🏀 Free throws18.813.7
72.9%
76.7%13.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.323.4
58.1%
52.7%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.45.8
40.3%
37.0%17.4
🏀 Free throws21.316.4
77.0%
76.7%16.4
They take 54.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 14.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
WLLLLLWLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWWWLLWL
#16
League position
#9
-18.0
Net rating
+2.3
100.3
Offensive rating
114.0
118.3
Defensive rating
111.7
46.8%
Effective FG%
58.7%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
18.1%
Turnover %
20.2%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.39
29.0%
3-point %
40.3%
59.6%
Assist %
62.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 114.0Defence118.3 · 111.7Shooting46.8% · 58.7%3-point %29.0% · 40.3%Ball care18.1% · 20.2%Off. rebounds34.4% · 31.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Darussafaka wins
1
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
27/01/17Darussafaka v Zalgiris Kaunas66-69
04/11/16Zalgiris Kaunas v Darussafaka80-83
Darussafakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/18ABanvit82-65
14/12/18APanathinaikos67-75
09/12/18ABesiktas72-81
06/12/18HMaccabi Tel Aviv71-73
04/12/18HGalatasaray79-84
29/11/18HGran Canaria71-75
25/11/18AAfyon Belediye96-93
22/11/18HAnadolu Efes88-93
20/11/18AFenerbahce79-100
18/11/18HIstanbul BB93-65
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/18ANevezis79-55
14/12/18ABayern84-88
09/12/18HRytas95-86
06/12/18HOlympiacos83-75
29/11/18HOlimpia Milano83-78
25/11/18APieno Zvaigzdes109-68
23/11/18HKhimki M.83-84
21/11/18ACSKA Moscow97-99 OT
18/11/18HSiauliai102-61
16/11/18HBarcelona85-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %8%17%0%
Points / game75.377.373.3
Allowed / game86.880.293.5
Point differential-11.5-2.8-20.2
Avg total162.2157.5166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL42%
HomeLLLWW29%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %42%29%60%
Points / game83.381.086.6
Allowed / game82.883.481.8
Point differential+0.6-2.4+4.8
Avg total166.1164.4168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %25%14%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1312192%84.676.3+8.3
2 Real Madrid1210283%89.877.9+11.9
3 CSKA Moscow1310377%87.881.8+6.0
4 Anadolu Efes139469%87.981.1+6.8
5 Olympiacos138562%79.776.8+2.8
6 Olimpia Milano126650%86.185.7+0.4
7 Panathinaikos126650%78.878.6+0.2
8 Bayern126650%80.280.3-0.2
9 Baskonia136746%81.381.2+0.1
10 Barcelona136746%75.878.2-2.4
11 Zalgiris Kaunas125742%83.382.8+0.6
12 Gran Canaria135838%82.288.8-6.6
13 Khimki M.124833%78.380.3-2.0
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv123925%77.080.5-3.5
15 Buducnost1331023%71.983.2-11.3
16 Darussafaka121118%75.386.8-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka1920141871
Zalgiris Kaunas1518162675
← all games of the day
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