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Dayton vs Duquesne Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-66
42-39 36-27
Position#65
Record17-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game71.2
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Position#166
Record16-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Dayton v Duquesne
21 Feb 2026
DAYT78
DUQU66
15 Feb 2025
DAYT77
DUQU76
14 Mar 2024
DAYT57
DUQU65
13 Feb 2024
DAYT75
DUQU59
28 Dec 2022
DAYT69
DUQU57
09 Feb 2022
DAYT75
DUQU54
13 Jan 2021
DAYT72
DUQU63
22 Feb 2020
DAYT80
DUQU70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duquesne winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duquesne
#166
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A14/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
78-51
78
51
+27
H17/01
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
H28/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
71-102
71
102
-31
A31/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H04/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
73-99
73
99
-26
A07/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H15/02
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-24
38-41
31-30
47-21
29-40
35-27
36-38
38-43
39-31
25-33
29-46
42-56
41-30
31-40
27-50
46-49
34-26
36-33
43-36
39-31
147.3Avg total
73.1Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.171.2147.3+4.865%
Season at home (16)78.867.0145.8+11.881%
Season away (10)71.778.0149.7-6.340%
Last 10 (10)73.174.2147.3-1.150%
Last 5 (5)73.679.4153.0-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.286.8161.0-12.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)75.170.9146.0+4.160%
vs Weaker (8)78.262.9141.1+15.488%
This opponent (Duquesne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DuquesneUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#65
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H14/01
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A17/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
71-59
71
59
+12
A24/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H29/01
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H01/02
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A05/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H07/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A14/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-33
41-38
30-27
44-36
38-40
39-41
34-28
37-31
39-35
40-52
37-27
39-34
33-27
38-38
40-40
48-46
45-33
33-40
32-28
30-33
144.8Avg total
74.1Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.675.8157.5+5.862%
Season at home (17)84.375.4159.6+8.965%
Season away (9)76.676.8153.3-0.256%
Last 10 (10)74.170.7144.8+3.470%
Last 5 (5)75.069.2144.2+5.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.479.8158.2-1.440%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.277.8154.9-0.644%
vs Weaker (9)87.769.1156.8+18.689%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +0.0+0.0
DaytonDuquesne
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duquesne
#166
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A14/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H17/01
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A21/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/01
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H28/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A31/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H04/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A07/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H15/02
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A19/02
NCAA
69.3Avg total
34.2Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.233.369.4+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.730.769.4+8.189%-
Last 30 away (12)32.337.269.5-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)34.235.169.3-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.672.4-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.039.871.8-7.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.531.366.8+4.373%-
vs Weaker (8)39.531.571.0+8.075%-
This opponent (Duquesne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DuquesneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#65
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H14/01
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A17/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A24/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H01/02
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A05/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H07/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A14/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H19/02
NCAA
67.0Avg total
35.2Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.434.672.0+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.034.573.5+4.563%-
Last 30 away (11)34.534.869.4-0.355%-
Last 10 (10)35.231.867.0+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.431.068.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.239.074.2-3.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)35.434.970.3+0.656%-
vs Weaker (9)42.031.873.8+10.289%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Dayton wins
2
Duquesne wins
DateGameScore
14/01/26Duquesne v Dayton65-71
15/02/25Dayton v Duquesne77-76
22/01/25Duquesne v Dayton62-82
14/03/24Dayton v Duquesne57-65
14/02/24Dayton v Duquesne75-59
13/01/24Duquesne v Dayton62-72
29/12/22Dayton v Duquesne69-57
10/02/22Dayton v Duquesne75-54
15/01/22Duquesne v Dayton52-72
03/02/21Duquesne v Dayton69-64
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26AGeorge Mason82-67
15/02/26HDavidson70-59
07/02/26AVCU Rams73-99
04/02/26HSt. Bonaventure72-70
31/01/26ASt. Louis Billikens71-102
28/01/26HRhode Island76-81 OT
24/01/26ASaint Josephs Hawks74-81
21/01/26ALa Salle64-67
17/01/26HLoyola Chicago78-51
14/01/26ADuquesne71-65
Duquesnelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26HLa Salle62-61
14/02/26ASt. Bonaventure78-73
07/02/26HGeorge Washington88-86
05/02/26AGeorge Mason71-65
01/02/26HRhode Island76-61
29/01/26HSt. Bonaventure79-87
24/01/26ALoyola Chicago71-59
21/01/26HSt. Louis Billikens77-81
17/01/26AFordham74-63
14/01/26HDayton65-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW65%
HomeWWLWW81%
AwayLLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %65%81%40%
Points / game76.178.871.7
Allowed / game71.267.078.0
Point differential+4.8+11.8-6.3
Avg total147.3145.8149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %12%12%10%
Duquesne
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeLLWWW65%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %62%65%56%
Points / game81.684.376.6
Allowed / game75.875.476.8
Point differential+5.8+8.9-0.2
Avg total157.5159.6153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%41%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %12%6%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens2725293%90.168.1+22.0
2 George Mason2721678%74.367.8+6.4
3 VCU Rams2821775%83.473.1+10.2
4 Dayton2617965%76.171.2+4.8
5 Saint Josephs Hawks27171063%73.570.7+2.8
6 Duquesne26161062%81.675.8+5.8
7 Davidson26161062%73.668.5+5.1
8 Rhode Island26151158%72.568.8+3.7
9 George Washington27151256%82.973.6+9.3
10 Fordham27151256%70.464.9+5.6
11 St. Bonaventure26141254%76.273.9+2.2
12 Richmond Spiders27141352%77.373.5+3.8
13 La Salle2671927%65.672.2-6.7
14 Loyola Chicago2862221%66.777.2-10.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton423678
Duquesne392766
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