PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

UMass vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-72
36-39 40-33
Position#303
Record5-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game75.0
UMass 🏆
USA
vs
Position#62
Record11-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game68.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UMass v Dayton
08 Jan 2025
UMAS76
DAYT72
22 Feb 2023
UMAS54
DAYT72
09 Feb 2021
UMAS v DAYT
upcoming
15 Feb 2020
UMAS63
DAYT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#177
L
59-92
59
92
-33
H24/11
NCAA
Harvard
#247
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A27/11
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H01/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H05/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
83-96
83
96
-13
H07/12
NCAA
Massachusetts-Boston
#489
W
86-52
86
52
+34
H14/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H19/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
L
62-78
62
78
-16
H21/12
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A31/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-37
32-55
24-24
38-30
41-24
39-44
31-33
38-40
38-40
45-56
47-24
39-28
35-30
42-42
33-31
29-47
33-37
39-44
31-34
33-38
145.2Avg total
71.4Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.575.0148.5-1.533%
Season at home (11)75.876.3152.1-0.536%
Season away (4)67.271.5138.8-4.225%
Last 10 (10)71.473.8145.2-2.440%
Last 5 (5)72.271.0143.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)69.782.2151.8-12.50%
vs Similar (14)69.971.3141.2-1.436%
vs Weaker (10)80.068.3148.3+11.790%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
L
90-92
90
92
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H27/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H28/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#311
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H07/12
NCAA
Marquette
#67
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H15/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H21/12
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H31/12
NCAA
George Washington
#96
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-33
39-59
41-37
43-52
41-34
44-33
32-35
45-34
41-25
45-37
26-36
45-27
27-28
39-37
17-25
42-41
36-21
48-49
27-43
35-39
148.9Avg total
76.4Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.668.3144.9+8.373%
Season at home (13)76.765.5142.2+11.285%
Season away (2)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)76.472.5148.9+3.960%
Last 5 (5)68.469.2137.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.083.5159.5-7.50%
vs Similar (18)71.969.1141.1+2.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.367.0149.3+15.3100%
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: -5.0-5.02nd half: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: -5.0-5.02nd half: +1.7+1.7
UMassDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#177
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H24/11
NCAA
Harvard
#247
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A27/11
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H01/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H07/12
NCAA
Massachusetts-Boston
#489
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H14/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H19/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H21/12
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A31/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H04/01
NCAA
65.4Avg total
34.0Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.134.269.3+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.933.468.3+1.542%-
Last 30 away (11)35.535.571.0-0.145%-
Last 10 (10)34.031.465.4+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.831.267.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.739.571.2-7.80%-
vs Similar (14)33.833.667.4+0.250%-
vs Weaker (10)39.031.870.8+7.260%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A26/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H27/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H28/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H04/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#311
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H07/12
NCAA
Marquette
#67
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H15/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H18/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
17-25
17
25
-8
H21/12
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H31/12
NCAA
George Washington
#96
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A04/01
NCAA
65.6Avg total
33.9Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.530.764.2+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (21)33.629.963.5+3.757%-
Last 30 away (9)33.232.665.8+0.744%-
Last 10 (10)33.931.765.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)26.630.657.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.038.575.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (18)30.231.361.5-1.239%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.628.066.6+10.678%-
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMass wins
6
Dayton wins
DateGameScore
07/01/24Dayton v UMass64-60
23/02/23UMass v Dayton54-72
11/03/22Dayton v UMass75-72
24/02/22Dayton v UMass82-61
15/02/20UMass v Dayton63-71
11/01/20Dayton v UMass88-60
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HRichmond Spiders64-72
31/12/24ASaint Josephs Hawks72-81
21/12/24HArizona State62-78
19/12/24HNortheastern77-72
14/12/24HMassachusetts-Boston86-52
07/12/24HUMass Lowell83-96
05/12/24HCentral Connecticut State69-73
01/12/24HNJIT80-68
27/11/24AHarvard62-54
24/11/24HFlorida State59-92
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25AGeorge Washington62-82
31/12/24HLa Salle84-70
21/12/24HCincinnati59-66
18/12/24HUNLV66-65
15/12/24HMarquette71-63
07/12/24HLehigh86-62
04/12/24HWestern Michigan77-69
28/11/24HUconn85-67
27/11/24HIowa State84-89
26/11/24ANorth Carolina90-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeLWWLL36%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %33%36%25%
Points / game73.575.867.2
Allowed / game75.076.371.5
Point differential-1.5-0.5-4.2
Avg total148.5152.1138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %7%9%0%
Dayton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL73%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15132
Win %73%85%0%
Points / game76.676.776.0
Allowed / game68.365.587.0
Point differential+8.3+11.2-11.0
Avg total144.9142.2163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)1410471%83.071.7+11.3
2 Kent State1410471%69.363.4+5.9
3 Akron149564%80.472.7+7.7
4 Ohio148657%78.974.3+4.6
5 Toledo148657%77.977.9+0.0
6 Ball State147750%75.270.9+4.3
7 Eastern Michigan147750%72.176.5-4.4
8 Bowling Green146843%78.074.9+3.1
9 Central Michigan146843%73.270.9+2.3
10 Buffalo145936%74.282.4-8.2
11 UMass1551033%73.575.0-1.5
12 Northern Illinois1441029%71.074.0-3.0
13 Western Michigan1431121%71.074.9-3.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Bonaventure1514193%73.361.1+12.3
2 Rhode Island1412286%81.870.4+11.4
3 George Washington1512380%78.767.0+11.7
4 VCU Rams1511473%77.962.6+15.3
5 Dayton1511473%76.668.3+8.3
6 Davidson1511473%76.369.5+6.7
7 George Mason1510567%74.161.8+12.3
8 Loyola Chicago1510567%76.567.8+8.7
9 Saint Josephs Hawks1510567%75.468.3+7.1
10 St. Louis Billikens159660%77.770.4+7.3
11 La Salle158753%77.474.5+2.9
12 Fordham158753%75.376.1-0.9
13 Richmond Spiders157847%71.373.0-1.7
14 Duquesne156940%67.964.8+3.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass364076
Dayton393372
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.