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Dayton vs Cincinnati Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 59-66
17-25 42-41
Position#62
Record10-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#159
Record8-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game59.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Dayton v Cincinnati
14 Nov 2026
DAYT v CINC
upcoming
20 Dec 2024
DAYT59
CINC66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cincinnati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#243
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H14/11
NCAA
Capital Crusaders
#410
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H17/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H21/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
90-92
90
92
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H27/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H28/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#311
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H07/12
NCAA
Marquette
#67
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H15/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-26
36-43
41-28
35-27
29-28
45-25
51-33
39-59
41-37
43-52
41-34
44-33
32-35
45-34
41-25
45-37
26-36
45-27
27-28
39-37
147.0Avg total
78.6Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.767.2145.9+11.483%
Season at home (11)77.665.0142.6+12.691%
Season away (1)90.092.0182.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)78.668.4147.0+10.280%
Last 5 (5)77.065.2142.2+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.083.5159.5-7.50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.468.5141.9+4.962%
vs Weaker (11)80.864.9145.7+15.9100%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A27/03
NIT
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
109-54
109
54
+55
H05/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H09/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
86-49
86
49
+37
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A20/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
81-58
81
58
+23
A23/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H28/11
NCAA
Villanova
#138
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A03/12
NCAA
Howard
#302
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H08/12
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-32
0-0
45-53
0-0
55-32
0-0
54-22
0-0
37-19
0-0
46-37
0-0
42-22
0-0
44-27
0-0
32-28
0-0
44-32
0-0
45-29
0-0
36-29
0-0
46-33
0-0
31-26
0-0
28-37
0-0
32-31
0-0
36-32
0-0
48-35
0-0
30-31
0-0
38-34
142.6Avg total
80.5Scored
62.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.459.6140.0+20.989%
Season at home (6)84.558.3142.8+26.2100%
Season away (3)72.362.0134.3+10.367%
Last 10 (10)80.562.1142.6+18.480%
Last 5 (5)74.063.4137.4+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.067.3127.3-7.30%
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.167.8138.9+3.353%
vs Weaker (11)81.865.0146.8+16.882%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +9.2+9.22nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +9.2+9.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +9.2+9.22nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +9.2+9.2
DaytonCincinnati
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#243
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H14/11
NCAA
Capital Crusaders
#410
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H17/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H21/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A26/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H27/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H28/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H04/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#311
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H07/12
NCAA
Marquette
#67
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H15/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H18/12
NCAA
68.0Avg total
37.0Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.530.464.9+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (21)34.730.465.1+4.257%-
Last 30 away (9)34.230.364.6+3.956%-
Last 10 (10)37.031.068.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)33.431.665.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.038.575.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.231.062.2+0.244%-
vs Weaker (11)38.428.366.6+10.173%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A27/03
NIT
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H09/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A20/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A23/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H28/11
NCAA
Villanova
#138
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A03/12
NCAA
Howard
#302
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Xavier
#82
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H14/12
NCAA
68.2Avg total
38.7Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.130.764.8+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.631.166.8+4.559%-
Last 30 away (13)32.130.262.2+1.962%-
Last 10 (10)38.729.568.2+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.469.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)25.029.754.7-4.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.531.464.9+2.147%-
vs Weaker (11)37.029.666.6+7.482%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dayton wins
0
Cincinnati wins
DateGameScore
17/12/23Cincinnati v Dayton68-82
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HUNLV66-65
15/12/24HMarquette71-63
07/12/24HLehigh86-62
04/12/24HWestern Michigan77-69
28/11/24HUconn85-67
27/11/24HIowa State84-89
26/11/24ANorth Carolina90-92
21/11/24HNew Mexico State74-53
17/11/24HCapital Crusaders76-55
14/11/24HBall State77-69
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HXavier68-65
08/12/24HHoward84-67
03/12/24AVillanova60-68
28/11/24HAlabama State77-59
23/11/24AGeorgia Tech81-58
20/11/24ANorthern Kentucky76-60
16/11/24HNicholls State86-49
09/11/24HMorehead State83-56
05/11/24HArkansas-Pine Bluff109-54
27/03/24AIndiana State81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12111
Win %83%91%0%
Points / game78.777.690.0
Allowed / game67.265.092.0
Point differential+11.4+12.6-2.0
Avg total145.9142.6182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cincinnati
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %89%100%67%
Points / game80.484.572.3
Allowed / game59.658.362.0
Point differential+20.9+26.2+10.3
Avg total140.0142.8134.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%83%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Bonaventure1211192%72.260.2+11.9
2 Rhode Island1110191%85.770.9+14.8
3 Loyola Chicago109190%79.764.5+15.2
4 Dayton1210283%78.767.2+11.4
5 George Washington1210283%78.067.9+10.1
6 VCU Rams129375%76.660.6+16.0
7 Davidson118373%77.170.5+6.5
8 George Mason117464%75.863.5+12.3
9 Saint Josephs Hawks117464%75.969.0+6.9
10 Fordham127558%76.173.8+2.3
11 La Salle127558%76.275.5+0.8
12 St. Louis Billikens116555%77.773.3+4.5
13 Richmond Spiders114736%72.474.9-2.5
14 Duquesne113827%65.367.4-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa State109190%87.464.9+22.5
2 Cincinnati98189%80.459.6+20.9
3 Utah Utes108280%86.664.0+22.6
4 Texas Tech108280%84.863.9+20.9
5 Brigham Young108280%83.965.5+18.4
6 West Virginia108280%78.565.6+12.9
7 Kansas108280%78.467.3+11.1
8 Colorado108280%76.569.7+6.8
9 Arizona State108280%78.672.3+6.3
10 UCF Knights108280%80.374.8+5.5
11 Houston107370%77.155.7+21.4
12 Baylor107370%84.971.3+13.6
13 Oklahoma State107370%78.274.7+3.5
14 Kansas State106460%79.469.7+9.7
15 TCU106460%71.565.4+6.1
16 Arizona105550%84.770.3+14.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton174259
Cincinnati254166
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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