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Dayton vs UNLV Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 66-65
27-28 39-37
Position#62
Record9-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game67.5
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Position#165
Record5-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game71.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Dayton v UNLV
17 Dec 2024
DAYT66
UNLV65
06 Dec 2023
DAYT v UNLV
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNLV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#191
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H10/11
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H14/11
NCAA
Capital Crusaders
#410
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H17/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H21/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
90-92
90
92
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H27/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H28/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#311
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H07/12
NCAA
Marquette
#67
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-32
47-34
41-26
36-43
41-28
35-27
29-28
45-25
51-33
39-59
41-37
43-52
41-34
44-33
32-35
45-34
41-25
45-37
26-36
45-27
147.6Avg total
79.1Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.867.5147.3+12.482%
Season at home (10)78.865.0143.8+13.890%
Season away (1)90.092.0182.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)79.168.5147.6+10.680%
Last 5 (5)80.670.0150.6+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.083.5159.5-7.50%
vs Similar (17)73.368.1141.4+5.265%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)82.364.9147.2+17.4100%
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
A27/03
NIT
Alabama State
#156
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H05/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H09/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H15/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H21/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H24/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
58-80
58
80
-22
H29/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H30/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A07/12
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H15/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
26-44
0-0
42-47
0-0
46-41
0-0
47-38
0-0
34-30
0-0
40-50
0-0
35-29
0-0
45-40
0-0
46-17
0-0
34-42
0-0
37-34
0-0
35-31
0-0
32-45
0-0
26-35
0-0
25-26
0-0
36-40
0-0
27-39
0-0
38-44
0-0
34-29
0-0
38-36
146.0Avg total
72.3Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.871.8144.6+1.056%
Season at home (8)73.870.4144.1+3.462%
Season away (1)65.083.0148.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)72.373.7146.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)65.671.8137.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.380.7152.0-9.333%
vs Similar (13)72.670.3142.9+2.354%
vs Weaker (10)70.962.3133.2+8.690%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: -2.2-2.2
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: -2.2-2.2
DaytonUNLV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#191
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H10/11
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H14/11
NCAA
Capital Crusaders
#410
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H17/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H21/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A26/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H27/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H28/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H04/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#311
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H07/12
NCAA
Marquette
#67
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H15/12
NCAA
68.1Avg total
36.7Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.730.264.8+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.030.665.6+4.560%-
Last 30 away (10)33.929.463.3+4.560%-
Last 10 (10)36.731.468.1+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)36.233.469.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.038.575.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (17)31.230.461.6+0.847%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)39.528.367.8+11.280%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A27/03
NIT
Alabama State
#156
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H05/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H09/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H15/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
W
46-17
46
17
+29
H21/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H24/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H29/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H30/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A07/12
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H15/12
NCAA
67.6Avg total
34.2Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.831.965.7+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.630.465.1+4.274%-
Last 30 away (11)32.334.566.8-2.336%-
Last 10 (10)34.233.467.6+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)31.034.665.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.039.372.3-6.333%-
vs Similar (13)34.832.066.8+2.869%-
vs Weaker (10)32.626.859.4+5.870%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dayton wins
1
UNLV wins
DateGameScore
16/11/22UNLV v Dayton60-52
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HMarquette71-63
07/12/24HLehigh86-62
04/12/24HWestern Michigan77-69
28/11/24HUconn85-67
27/11/24HIowa State84-89
26/11/24ANorth Carolina90-92
21/11/24HNew Mexico State74-53
17/11/24HCapital Crusaders76-55
14/11/24HBall State77-69
10/11/24HNorthwestern71-66
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HPacific72-65
07/12/24ACreighton65-83
30/11/24HNorthwestern61-66
29/11/24HMississippi St.58-80
24/11/24HNew Mexico State72-65
21/11/24HPepperdine80-59
15/11/24HNebraska O.80-69
09/11/24HMemphis74-80
05/11/24HAlabama State93-79
27/03/24ASeton Hall68-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeLWWWW90%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11101
Win %82%90%0%
Points / game79.878.890.0
Allowed / game67.565.092.0
Point differential+12.4+13.8-2.0
Avg total147.3143.8182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UNLV
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW56%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games981
Win %56%62%0%
Points / game72.873.865.0
Allowed / game71.870.483.0
Point differential+1.0+3.4-18.0
Avg total144.6144.1148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rhode Island1110191%85.770.9+14.8
2 St. Bonaventure1110191%72.861.4+11.5
3 Loyola Chicago98189%80.665.0+15.6
4 VCU Rams119282%77.159.0+18.1
5 Dayton119282%79.867.5+12.4
6 George Washington119282%77.668.5+9.2
7 Davidson108280%78.771.4+7.3
8 George Mason107370%78.763.1+15.6
9 St. Louis Billikens106460%78.473.2+5.2
10 Saint Josephs Hawks106460%75.170.2+4.9
11 Fordham127558%76.173.8+2.3
12 La Salle116555%76.275.8+0.4
13 Richmond Spiders104640%70.973.1-2.2
14 Duquesne113827%65.367.4-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State10100100%87.664.5+23.1
2 San Diego State97278%75.764.7+11.0
3 New Mexico118373%87.875.8+12.0
4 Nevada118373%77.766.3+11.5
5 Boise State107370%79.468.0+11.4
6 Grand Canyon106460%78.872.8+6.0
7 UNLV95456%72.871.8+1.0
8 San Jose State126650%77.873.2+4.6
9 Colorado State105550%73.670.8+2.8
10 Wyoming105550%71.973.3-1.4
11 Fresno State114736%72.479.0-6.6
12 Air Force113827%66.368.7-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton273966
UNLV283765
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