PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nevada vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 74-66
37-24 37-42
Position#25
Record23-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game66.6
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
Position#304
Record11-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game72.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nevada v Fresno State
07 Feb 2026
NEVA69
FRES59
12 Mar 2025
NEVA86
FRES71
10 Feb 2025
NEVA94
FRES69
01 Mar 2024
NEVA74
FRES66
10 Feb 2023
NEVA77
FRES66
21 Jan 2022
NEVA77
FRES73
17 Jan 2021
NEVA79
FRES65
15 Jan 2021
NEVA73
FRES57
14 Jan 2021
NEVA v FRES
upcoming
22 Feb 2020
NEVA78
FRES76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#52
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H25/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
55-89
55
89
-34
A29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H03/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A07/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
70-66 OT
70
66
+4
H10/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H21/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
84-63
84
63
+21
A24/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-27
42-37
24-38
31-51
49-24
41-36
36-27
41-36
30-27
30-33
35-45
47-38
28-36
41-30
44-21
32-37
34-29
50-34
39-28
38-46
144.3Avg total
75.7Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.566.6143.1+9.979%
Season at home (15)79.062.7141.7+16.387%
Season away (14)73.970.7144.6+3.171%
Last 10 (10)75.768.6144.3+7.180%
Last 5 (5)77.668.8146.4+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)70.471.9142.2-1.557%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.763.9145.6+17.894%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#70
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
61-73
61
73
-12
H04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A07/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A10/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A18/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
41-73
41
73
-32
H25/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-42
36-30
40-43
44-27
28-37
41-41
25-31
36-42
34-33
35-24
28-28
40-38
32-29
33-38
33-48
33-42
16-42
25-31
25-30
40-35
138.7Avg total
66.4Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)68.272.9141.1-4.639%
Season at home (16)70.571.2141.8-0.844%
Season away (12)65.275.0140.2-9.833%
Last 10 (10)66.472.3138.7-5.930%
Last 5 (5)62.674.6137.2-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)63.175.4138.5-12.311%
vs Similar (9)79.869.1148.9+10.789%
vs Weaker (2)83.061.0144.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: -7.0-7.02nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +1.5+1.5
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: -7.0-7.02nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +1.5+1.5
NevadaFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#52
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H25/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H03/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A07/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H10/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A18/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H21/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A24/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A28/02
NCAA
65.6Avg total
35.4Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.930.466.3+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.526.665.1+11.987%-
Last 30 away (15)33.334.367.5-1.053%-
Last 10 (10)35.430.265.6+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.031.867.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)31.432.463.7-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.828.868.6+11.188%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#70
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H24/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A10/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A18/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
16-42
16
42
-26
H25/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H28/02
NCAA
65.6Avg total
29.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.034.265.2-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.833.966.8-1.147%-
Last 30 away (13)28.734.563.2-5.823%-
Last 10 (10)29.336.365.6-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)26.835.462.2-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)28.335.864.2-7.526%-
vs Similar (9)35.333.168.4+2.244%-
vs Weaker (2)37.523.561.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Nevada wins
1
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
07/01/24Fresno State v Nevada57-72
25/02/23Fresno State v Nevada56-60
11/02/23Nevada v Fresno State77-66
05/02/22Fresno State v Nevada73-56
22/01/22Nevada v Fresno State77-73
17/01/21Nevada v Fresno State79-65
16/01/21Nevada v Fresno State73-57
23/02/20Nevada v Fresno State78-76
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/24AColorado State77-74
24/02/24ASan Jose State84-63
21/02/24HWyoming76-58
18/02/24AUNLV69-66
14/02/24HNew Mexico82-83
10/02/24HSan Diego State70-66 OT
07/02/24AUtah State77-63
03/02/24HSan Jose State90-60
29/01/24ANew Mexico55-89
25/01/24HColorado State77-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/24HUtah State73-77 OT
25/02/24HSan Diego State41-73
18/02/24ABoise State66-90
15/02/24HUNLV65-67
10/02/24AAir Force68-66
07/02/24ASan Jose State69-57
04/02/24HColorado State61-73
31/01/24AUNLV69-78
28/01/24HAir Force84-70
24/01/24HBoise State68-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW79%
HomeWWWLW87%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %79%87%71%
Points / game76.579.073.9
Allowed / game66.662.770.7
Point differential+9.9+16.3+3.1
Avg total143.1141.7144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%80%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL39%
HomeWLLLL44%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %39%44%33%
Points / game68.270.565.2
Allowed / game72.971.275.0
Point differential-4.6-0.8-9.8
Avg total141.1141.8140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)29% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %11%12%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon2925486%79.967.5+12.4
2 Utah State2823582%79.569.4+10.1
3 Nevada2923679%76.566.6+9.9
4 San Diego State2922776%75.266.0+9.2
5 New Mexico2821775%82.871.1+11.7
6 Boise State2820871%75.966.2+9.8
7 Colorado State2920969%76.868.1+8.7
8 UNLV27171063%74.268.4+5.9
9 Wyoming28131546%72.775.9-3.2
10 Fresno State28111739%68.272.9-4.6
11 Air Force2791833%66.671.6-5.0
12 San Jose State2992031%70.674.9-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada373774
Fresno State244266
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.