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Dayton vs UNLV Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 07 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Postponed
Position#30
Record6-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game64.1
vs
Position#115
Record3-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Dayton v UNLV
17 Dec 2024
DAYT66
UNLV65
06 Dec 2023
DAYT v UNLV
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UNLV win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fordham
#37
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H11/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A12/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A11/11
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A16/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H17/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
55-69
55
69
-14
A20/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H25/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A30/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
76-46
76
46
+30
H02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
42-35
36-30
20-38
27-24
36-23
25-35
41-36
30-32
40-35
38-40
50-41
28-36
27-33
37-35
40-34
35-37
30-26
40-16
36-30
134.3Avg total
69.4Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.064.1134.1+5.975%
Season at home (4)76.060.8136.8+15.2100%
Season away (4)64.067.5131.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)69.464.9134.3+4.570%
Last 5 (5)72.265.6137.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.069.0124.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.764.8134.4+4.967%
vs Weaker (17)71.960.1132.0+11.876%
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#41
L
66-91
66
91
-25
H02/03
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
69-67 OT
69
67
+2
A04/03
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
78-70 OT
78
70
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
76-87 OT
76
87
-11
A10/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H09/11
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H12/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A18/11
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H20/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#40
L
65-82
65
82
-17
H21/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-44
34-47
31-21
25-35
24-22
33-35
34-50
39-23
21-40
50-45
36-21
35-34
40-30
42-38
35-42
40-41
23-38
42-44
41-31
31-39
148.3Avg total
72.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.773.8146.5-1.250%
Season at home (5)70.875.0145.8-4.240%
Season away (1)82.068.0150.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.575.8148.3-3.350%
Last 5 (5)73.071.6144.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.877.4147.2-7.620%
vs Similar ◀ (17)72.873.6146.4-0.947%
vs Weaker (8)73.270.4143.6+2.962%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -1.0-1.0
DaytonUNLV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fordham
#37
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H11/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A12/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H07/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A11/11
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A16/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H25/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A30/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
40-16
40
16
+24
H02/12
NCAA
65.0Avg total
33.2Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.730.063.7+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.728.764.4+7.081%-
Last 30 away (14)31.431.662.9-0.243%-
Last 10 (10)33.231.865.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.632.868.4+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.036.064.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.932.267.1+2.867%-
vs Weaker (17)33.128.261.3+4.965%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#41
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H02/03
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
31-21
31
21
+10
A04/03
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
24-22
24
22
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A10/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
L
21-40
21
40
-19
H09/11
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H12/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A18/11
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H20/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#40
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H21/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H29/11
NCAA
65.6Avg total
31.7Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.634.868.3-1.245%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.033.967.9+0.147%-
Last 30 away (12)32.936.169.0-3.242%-
Last 10 (10)31.733.965.6-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.032.467.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.442.073.4-10.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.434.468.8+0.050%-
vs Weaker (8)33.231.164.4+2.162%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dayton wins
1
UNLV wins
DateGameScore
16/11/22UNLV v Dayton60-52
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HGrambling St.76-46
30/11/23ASMU Mustangs65-63
25/11/23HYoungstown State77-69
20/11/23AHouston55-69
17/11/23HSt. John's (N.Y.)88-81
16/11/23ALSU70-67
11/11/23ANorthwestern66-71
07/11/23HSiu Edwardsville63-47
12/03/23AVCU Rams56-68
11/03/23HFordham78-68
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23HAkron72-70
21/11/23HRichmond Spiders65-82
20/11/23HFlorida State75-83
18/11/23APepperdine82-68
12/11/23HStetson71-55
09/11/23HSouthern Univ.71-85
10/03/23ABoise State76-87 OT
08/03/23HAir Force78-70 OT
04/03/23ANevada69-67 OT
02/03/23HUtah State66-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game70.076.064.0
Allowed / game64.160.867.5
Point differential+5.9+15.2-3.5
Avg total134.1136.8131.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UNLV
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %50%40%100%
Points / game72.770.882.0
Allowed / game73.875.068.0
Point differential-1.2-4.2+14.0
Avg total146.5145.8150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Saint Josephs Hawks97278%75.263.1+12.1
2 George Mason97278%74.467.2+7.2
3 George Washington97278%82.175.6+6.6
4 La Salle97278%77.276.2+1.0
5 St. Bonaventure86275%74.665.8+8.9
6 Duquesne86275%78.570.4+8.1
7 Dayton86275%70.064.1+5.9
8 Davidson96367%70.766.7+4.0
9 Richmond Spiders95456%78.267.6+10.7
10 Rhode Island95456%74.170.6+3.6
11 Loyola Chicago95456%71.270.2+1.0
12 St. Louis Billikens105550%74.675.7-1.1
13 Fordham94544%74.069.6+4.4
14 VCU Rams94544%69.366.9+2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nevada660100%84.364.3+20.0
2 Colorado State880100%85.270.1+15.1
3 New Mexico87188%85.568.1+17.4
4 Utah State87188%80.965.0+15.9
5 Grand Canyon87188%80.168.9+11.2
6 San Diego State97278%77.668.6+9.0
7 Air Force97278%67.860.9+6.9
8 Wyoming85362%76.469.8+6.6
9 Boise State85362%68.566.9+1.6
10 San Jose State105550%74.167.8+6.3
11 UNLV63350%72.773.8-1.2
12 Fresno State84450%72.275.6-3.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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